{smcl}
{com}{sf}{ul off}{txt}{.-}
      name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}C:\Users\mzarit\Documents\Pitt\Krause\December 2016 Work\Log files\Regional Convergence.Krause & Zarit.11-28-2016.DEEP_SOUTH.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}opened on:  {res}28 Nov 2016, 15:17:23

{com}. do "C:\Users\mzarit\AppData\Local\Temp\STD0p000000.tmp"
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. set more off
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. tsset state_fips year, yearly
{res}{txt}{col 8}panel variable:  {res}state_fips (unbalanced)
{txt}{col 9}time variable:  {res}{col 25}year, 1942 to 2010
{txt}{col 17}delta:  {res}1 year
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. preserve
{txt}
{com}. 
. *************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *****************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** I.A: NON-SOUTHERN STATES (N = 35): FULL TIME PERIOD (1942 - 2010): BIVARIATE DYNAMIC PANEL ARDL(4,3)--ECM REGRESSION MODELS OF STATE REAL PER CAPITA PERSONAL INCOME [real_pc_inc_ann] /// 
> ///       & STATE klarnerranney INDEX FOR PARTISAN COMPETITION IN LEGISLATURE/REPRESENTATIVE ASSEMBLIES [klarnerranney] WITH TWO-WAY FIXED EFFECTS [STATE AND TIME UNIT EFFECTS]  ***
> 
. 
. 
. 
. // (4,3)  MODEL
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if nonsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}     2,425{col 27}-17948.01{col 38}-17020.72{col 49}   124{col 58} 34289.43{col 69} 35007.84
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if nonsouth==1, lag(8) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     2,425
{txt}maximum lag: {res}8{col 49}{txt}F(123,      2301){col 67}= {res}     33.34
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0364315{col 34}{space 2} .0087799{col 45}{space 1}   -4.15{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-.0536488{col 75}{space 3}-.0192143
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.4145356{col 34}{space 2} .4432394{col 45}{space 1}   -0.94{col 54}{space 3}0.350{col 62}{space 4}-1.283726{col 75}{space 3} .4546549
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3057422{col 34}{space 2} .0620701{col 45}{space 1}    4.93{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  .184023{col 75}{space 3} .4274613
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.645713{col 34}{space 2} .7883992{col 45}{space 1}   -2.09{col 54}{space 3}0.037{col 62}{space 4}-3.191761{col 75}{space 3}-.0996661
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0576346{col 34}{space 2}  .046639{col 45}{space 1}   -1.24{col 54}{space 3}0.217{col 62}{space 4}-.1490935{col 75}{space 3} .0338242
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.589229{col 34}{space 2} .6981166{col 45}{space 1}    2.28{col 54}{space 3}0.023{col 62}{space 4} .2202252{col 75}{space 3} 2.958232
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0588272{col 34}{space 2} .0420149{col 45}{space 1}   -1.40{col 54}{space 3}0.162{col 62}{space 4}-.1412182{col 75}{space 3} .0235638
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1522648{col 34}{space 2} .7070667{col 45}{space 1}   -0.22{col 54}{space 3}0.830{col 62}{space 4}-1.538819{col 75}{space 3}  1.23429
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 70.21957{col 34}{space 2}    247.2{col 45}{space 1}    0.28{col 54}{space 3}0.776{col 62}{space 4}-414.5385{col 75}{space 3} 554.9776
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-319.3377{col 34}{space 2} 307.7978{col 45}{space 1}   -1.04{col 54}{space 3}0.300{col 62}{space 4}-922.9278{col 75}{space 3} 284.2524
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-21.26208{col 34}{space 2}  33.4873{col 45}{space 1}   -0.63{col 54}{space 3}0.526{col 62}{space 4}-86.93051{col 75}{space 3} 44.40636
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 67.36005{col 34}{space 2} 121.9096{col 45}{space 1}    0.55{col 54}{space 3}0.581{col 62}{space 4}-171.7042{col 75}{space 3} 306.4243
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 330.8372{col 34}{space 2}  151.173{col 45}{space 1}    2.19{col 54}{space 3}0.029{col 62}{space 4} 34.38755{col 75}{space 3} 627.2868
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-604.3222{col 34}{space 2} 457.0323{col 45}{space 1}   -1.32{col 54}{space 3}0.186{col 62}{space 4}-1500.561{col 75}{space 3} 291.9161
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 821.2328{col 34}{space 2} 305.2892{col 45}{space 1}    2.69{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4} 222.5619{col 75}{space 3} 1419.904
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 6229.442{col 34}{space 2} 1018.276{col 45}{space 1}    6.12{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 4232.607{col 75}{space 3} 8226.277
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-3.375427{col 34}{space 2} 18.31979{col 45}{space 1}   -0.18{col 54}{space 3}0.854{col 62}{space 4}-39.30046{col 75}{space 3}  32.5496
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 16.15087{col 34}{space 2} 21.11901{col 45}{space 1}    0.76{col 54}{space 3}0.444{col 62}{space 4}-25.26342{col 75}{space 3} 57.56516
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 20.20914{col 34}{space 2} 19.16697{col 45}{space 1}    1.05{col 54}{space 3}0.292{col 62}{space 4} -17.3772{col 75}{space 3} 57.79548
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-25.35006{col 34}{space 2}  21.7937{col 45}{space 1}   -1.16{col 54}{space 3}0.245{col 62}{space 4}-68.08741{col 75}{space 3} 17.38729
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-18.98959{col 34}{space 2} 19.99985{col 45}{space 1}   -0.95{col 54}{space 3}0.342{col 62}{space 4}-58.20921{col 75}{space 3} 20.23003
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-9.743189{col 34}{space 2}  26.9818{col 45}{space 1}   -0.36{col 54}{space 3}0.718{col 62}{space 4}-62.65437{col 75}{space 3}   43.168
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 18}4  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-182.7657{col 34}{space 2} 100.2809{col 45}{space 1}   -1.82{col 54}{space 3}0.069{col 62}{space 4}-379.4162{col 75}{space 3} 13.88475
{txt}{space 18}6  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-97.38762{col 34}{space 2} 95.87434{col 45}{space 1}   -1.02{col 54}{space 3}0.310{col 62}{space 4}-285.3968{col 75}{space 3} 90.62153
{txt}{space 18}8  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-116.4187{col 34}{space 2} 104.1339{col 45}{space 1}   -1.12{col 54}{space 3}0.264{col 62}{space 4}-320.6249{col 75}{space 3} 87.78744
{txt}{space 18}9  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 37.79776{col 34}{space 2} 113.6897{col 45}{space 1}    0.33{col 54}{space 3}0.740{col 62}{space 4}-185.1472{col 75}{space 3} 260.7427
{txt}{space 17}10  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-91.12759{col 34}{space 2} 102.5429{col 45}{space 1}   -0.89{col 54}{space 3}0.374{col 62}{space 4}-292.2138{col 75}{space 3} 109.9586
{txt}{space 17}15  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-101.8392{col 34}{space 2} 116.5599{col 45}{space 1}   -0.87{col 54}{space 3}0.382{col 62}{space 4}-330.4126{col 75}{space 3} 126.7343
{txt}{space 17}16  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-183.3995{col 34}{space 2} 104.0264{col 45}{space 1}   -1.76{col 54}{space 3}0.078{col 62}{space 4}-387.3947{col 75}{space 3} 20.59577
{txt}{space 17}17  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-104.3699{col 34}{space 2} 97.06417{col 45}{space 1}   -1.08{col 54}{space 3}0.282{col 62}{space 4}-294.7123{col 75}{space 3} 85.97246
{txt}{space 17}18  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-181.5767{col 34}{space 2} 99.27764{col 45}{space 1}   -1.83{col 54}{space 3}0.068{col 62}{space 4}-376.2597{col 75}{space 3} 13.10631
{txt}{space 17}19  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-100.4325{col 34}{space 2} 101.4103{col 45}{space 1}   -0.99{col 54}{space 3}0.322{col 62}{space 4}-299.2977{col 75}{space 3} 98.43263
{txt}{space 17}20  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-121.2009{col 34}{space 2} 101.3579{col 45}{space 1}   -1.20{col 54}{space 3}0.232{col 62}{space 4}-319.9633{col 75}{space 3} 77.56152
{txt}{space 17}21  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-262.4809{col 34}{space 2}  106.388{col 45}{space 1}   -2.47{col 54}{space 3}0.014{col 62}{space 4}-471.1072{col 75}{space 3}-53.85449
{txt}{space 17}23  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-215.4462{col 34}{space 2} 99.35622{col 45}{space 1}   -2.17{col 54}{space 3}0.030{col 62}{space 4}-410.2833{col 75}{space 3}-20.60908
{txt}{space 17}24  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-62.07434{col 34}{space 2} 104.5538{col 45}{space 1}   -0.59{col 54}{space 3}0.553{col 62}{space 4}-267.1038{col 75}{space 3} 142.9551
{txt}{space 17}25  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-57.43646{col 34}{space 2} 108.8246{col 45}{space 1}   -0.53{col 54}{space 3}0.598{col 62}{space 4}-270.8409{col 75}{space 3}  155.968
{txt}{space 17}26  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-166.2676{col 34}{space 2} 100.2643{col 45}{space 1}   -1.66{col 54}{space 3}0.097{col 62}{space 4}-362.8854{col 75}{space 3} 30.35022
{txt}{space 17}27  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-90.65082{col 34}{space 2}  96.3904{col 45}{space 1}   -0.94{col 54}{space 3}0.347{col 62}{space 4} -279.672{col 75}{space 3} 98.37032
{txt}{space 17}29  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-204.6877{col 34}{space 2} 99.34079{col 45}{space 1}   -2.06{col 54}{space 3}0.039{col 62}{space 4}-399.4946{col 75}{space 3}-9.880888
{txt}{space 17}30  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  -172.05{col 34}{space 2} 106.4347{col 45}{space 1}   -1.62{col 54}{space 3}0.106{col 62}{space 4}-380.7681{col 75}{space 3} 36.66797
{txt}{space 17}32  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -95.2729{col 34}{space 2} 107.4572{col 45}{space 1}   -0.89{col 54}{space 3}0.375{col 62}{space 4} -305.996{col 75}{space 3} 115.4502
{txt}{space 17}33  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-96.53424{col 34}{space 2}   104.57{col 45}{space 1}   -0.92{col 54}{space 3}0.356{col 62}{space 4}-301.5955{col 75}{space 3}  108.527
{txt}{space 17}34  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-4.162483{col 34}{space 2}  106.231{col 45}{space 1}   -0.04{col 54}{space 3}0.969{col 62}{space 4}-212.4809{col 75}{space 3}  204.156
{txt}{space 17}35  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-241.8512{col 34}{space 2} 101.1165{col 45}{space 1}   -2.39{col 54}{space 3}0.017{col 62}{space 4}-440.1402{col 75}{space 3}-43.56229
{txt}{space 17}36  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-50.13653{col 34}{space 2} 105.0406{col 45}{space 1}   -0.48{col 54}{space 3}0.633{col 62}{space 4}-256.1206{col 75}{space 3} 155.8476
{txt}{space 17}38  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-71.47795{col 34}{space 2} 125.5139{col 45}{space 1}   -0.57{col 54}{space 3}0.569{col 62}{space 4}-317.6102{col 75}{space 3} 174.6543
{txt}{space 17}39  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-173.6373{col 34}{space 2} 97.92015{col 45}{space 1}   -1.77{col 54}{space 3}0.076{col 62}{space 4}-365.6583{col 75}{space 3} 18.38367
{txt}{space 17}40  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -238.276{col 34}{space 2} 103.7745{col 45}{space 1}   -2.30{col 54}{space 3}0.022{col 62}{space 4}-441.7772{col 75}{space 3}-34.77469
{txt}{space 17}41  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-165.4495{col 34}{space 2} 96.05145{col 45}{space 1}   -1.72{col 54}{space 3}0.085{col 62}{space 4}-353.8059{col 75}{space 3} 22.90701
{txt}{space 17}42  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-141.2029{col 34}{space 2}  96.8989{col 45}{space 1}   -1.46{col 54}{space 3}0.145{col 62}{space 4}-331.2212{col 75}{space 3} 48.81544
{txt}{space 17}44  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -166.891{col 34}{space 2} 101.4223{col 45}{space 1}   -1.65{col 54}{space 3}0.100{col 62}{space 4}-365.7796{col 75}{space 3} 31.99762
{txt}{space 17}46  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-87.55338{col 34}{space 2} 116.5558{col 45}{space 1}   -0.75{col 54}{space 3}0.453{col 62}{space 4}-316.1188{col 75}{space 3} 141.0121
{txt}{space 17}49  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-219.8238{col 34}{space 2} 102.3357{col 45}{space 1}   -2.15{col 54}{space 3}0.032{col 62}{space 4}-420.5037{col 75}{space 3}-19.14395
{txt}{space 17}50  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-160.4984{col 34}{space 2} 100.1518{col 45}{space 1}   -1.60{col 54}{space 3}0.109{col 62}{space 4}-356.8957{col 75}{space 3} 35.89889
{txt}{space 17}53  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-104.6304{col 34}{space 2} 96.15429{col 45}{space 1}   -1.09{col 54}{space 3}0.277{col 62}{space 4}-293.1886{col 75}{space 3} 83.92769
{txt}{space 17}54  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-293.2653{col 34}{space 2} 105.0065{col 45}{space 1}   -2.79{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4}-499.1827{col 75}{space 3}-87.34798
{txt}{space 17}55  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-142.2186{col 34}{space 2} 95.30174{col 45}{space 1}   -1.49{col 54}{space 3}0.136{col 62}{space 4}-329.1049{col 75}{space 3} 44.66764
{txt}{space 17}56  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-45.16094{col 34}{space 2} 120.2285{col 45}{space 1}   -0.38{col 54}{space 3}0.707{col 62}{space 4}-280.9286{col 75}{space 3} 190.6067
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1947  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 112.7629{col 34}{space 2}  87.9645{col 45}{space 1}    1.28{col 54}{space 3}0.200{col 62}{space 4}-59.73509{col 75}{space 3} 285.2609
{txt}{space 15}1948  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 493.2141{col 34}{space 2} 78.74496{col 45}{space 1}    6.26{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 338.7955{col 75}{space 3} 647.6326
{txt}{space 15}1949  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  113.171{col 34}{space 2} 100.7743{col 45}{space 1}    1.12{col 54}{space 3}0.262{col 62}{space 4}-84.44701{col 75}{space 3}  310.789
{txt}{space 15}1950  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 586.7969{col 34}{space 2} 94.58181{col 45}{space 1}    6.20{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 401.3223{col 75}{space 3} 772.2714
{txt}{space 15}1951  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}   402.94{col 34}{space 2} 93.21259{col 45}{space 1}    4.32{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 220.1506{col 75}{space 3} 585.7295
{txt}{space 15}1952  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 481.4886{col 34}{space 2} 77.39933{col 45}{space 1}    6.22{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 329.7089{col 75}{space 3} 633.2683
{txt}{space 15}1953  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 363.6319{col 34}{space 2} 80.76296{col 45}{space 1}    4.50{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 205.2561{col 75}{space 3} 522.0077
{txt}{space 15}1954  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 126.4241{col 34}{space 2} 78.26649{col 45}{space 1}    1.62{col 54}{space 3}0.106{col 62}{space 4}-27.05614{col 75}{space 3} 279.9043
{txt}{space 15}1955  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 689.0467{col 34}{space 2} 75.86192{col 45}{space 1}    9.08{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 540.2818{col 75}{space 3} 837.8116
{txt}{space 15}1956  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 421.0993{col 34}{space 2} 92.81082{col 45}{space 1}    4.54{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 239.0977{col 75}{space 3} 603.1009
{txt}{space 15}1957  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 307.3495{col 34}{space 2} 91.20546{col 45}{space 1}    3.37{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}  128.496{col 75}{space 3}  486.203
{txt}{space 15}1958  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 286.6569{col 34}{space 2} 79.94973{col 45}{space 1}    3.59{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 129.8759{col 75}{space 3}  443.438
{txt}{space 15}1959  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 595.6316{col 34}{space 2} 81.51514{col 45}{space 1}    7.31{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 435.7807{col 75}{space 3} 755.4824
{txt}{space 15}1960  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  313.651{col 34}{space 2} 96.73635{col 45}{space 1}    3.24{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 123.9515{col 75}{space 3} 503.3506
{txt}{space 15}1961  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 416.5859{col 34}{space 2} 86.88971{col 45}{space 1}    4.79{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 246.1956{col 75}{space 3} 586.9762
{txt}{space 15}1962  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 662.0875{col 34}{space 2} 87.64652{col 45}{space 1}    7.55{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  490.213{col 75}{space 3} 833.9619
{txt}{space 15}1963  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  416.569{col 34}{space 2} 84.85249{col 45}{space 1}    4.91{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 250.1737{col 75}{space 3} 582.9644
{txt}{space 15}1964  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 611.4042{col 34}{space 2} 84.27495{col 45}{space 1}    7.25{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 446.1414{col 75}{space 3}  776.667
{txt}{space 15}1965  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 718.3768{col 34}{space 2} 89.04849{col 45}{space 1}    8.07{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 543.7531{col 75}{space 3} 893.0005
{txt}{space 15}1966  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 656.2616{col 34}{space 2} 91.75028{col 45}{space 1}    7.15{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 476.3397{col 75}{space 3} 836.1835
{txt}{space 15}1967  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 593.2493{col 34}{space 2}  83.5936{col 45}{space 1}    7.10{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 429.3227{col 75}{space 3}  757.176
{txt}{space 15}1968  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 690.8663{col 34}{space 2} 85.57815{col 45}{space 1}    8.07{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 523.0479{col 75}{space 3} 858.6846
{txt}{space 15}1969  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 683.8922{col 34}{space 2} 90.14829{col 45}{space 1}    7.59{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 507.1118{col 75}{space 3} 860.6725
{txt}{space 15}1970  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  496.558{col 34}{space 2} 88.97668{col 45}{space 1}    5.58{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 322.0751{col 75}{space 3} 671.0408
{txt}{space 15}1971  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 648.9655{col 34}{space 2} 77.97791{col 45}{space 1}    8.32{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 496.0512{col 75}{space 3} 801.8798
{txt}{space 15}1972  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 967.9608{col 34}{space 2} 86.58032{col 45}{space 1}   11.18{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 798.1772{col 75}{space 3} 1137.744
{txt}{space 15}1973  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 983.3312{col 34}{space 2} 130.5138{col 45}{space 1}    7.53{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 727.3942{col 75}{space 3} 1239.268
{txt}{space 15}1974  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 221.1546{col 34}{space 2} 89.88211{col 45}{space 1}    2.46{col 54}{space 3}0.014{col 62}{space 4} 44.89614{col 75}{space 3}  397.413
{txt}{space 15}1975  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 496.8465{col 34}{space 2} 100.1274{col 45}{space 1}    4.96{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 300.4971{col 75}{space 3}  693.196
{txt}{space 15}1976  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 799.2117{col 34}{space 2} 91.84723{col 45}{space 1}    8.70{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 619.0997{col 75}{space 3} 979.3237
{txt}{space 15}1977  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 558.9191{col 34}{space 2} 123.2897{col 45}{space 1}    4.53{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 317.1485{col 75}{space 3} 800.6897
{txt}{space 15}1978  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 821.8724{col 34}{space 2} 107.8048{col 45}{space 1}    7.62{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 610.4676{col 75}{space 3} 1033.277
{txt}{space 15}1979  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 328.2766{col 34}{space 2} 89.39094{col 45}{space 1}    3.67{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 152.9814{col 75}{space 3} 503.5719
{txt}{space 15}1980  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 151.0074{col 34}{space 2} 94.43908{col 45}{space 1}    1.60{col 54}{space 3}0.110{col 62}{space 4} -34.1872{col 75}{space 3}  336.202
{txt}{space 15}1981  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 633.9418{col 34}{space 2} 84.45752{col 45}{space 1}    7.51{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 468.3209{col 75}{space 3} 799.5626
{txt}{space 15}1982  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 485.3164{col 34}{space 2} 102.1933{col 45}{space 1}    4.75{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 284.9158{col 75}{space 3} 685.7171
{txt}{space 15}1983  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 636.9608{col 34}{space 2}  103.003{col 45}{space 1}    6.18{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 434.9723{col 75}{space 3} 838.9493
{txt}{space 15}1984  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 973.0097{col 34}{space 2}  91.8272{col 45}{space 1}   10.60{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  792.937{col 75}{space 3} 1153.082
{txt}{space 15}1985  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 643.3469{col 34}{space 2} 98.00595{col 45}{space 1}    6.56{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 451.1576{col 75}{space 3} 835.5361
{txt}{space 15}1986  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 817.4465{col 34}{space 2} 87.19445{col 45}{space 1}    9.37{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 646.4586{col 75}{space 3} 988.4345
{txt}{space 15}1987  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  657.866{col 34}{space 2} 89.04394{col 45}{space 1}    7.39{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 483.2512{col 75}{space 3} 832.4808
{txt}{space 15}1988  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 810.4037{col 34}{space 2} 101.3237{col 45}{space 1}    8.00{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 611.7084{col 75}{space 3} 1009.099
{txt}{space 15}1989  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 802.9925{col 34}{space 2} 100.2382{col 45}{space 1}    8.01{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 606.4257{col 75}{space 3} 999.5592
{txt}{space 15}1990  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 461.8042{col 34}{space 2}  102.993{col 45}{space 1}    4.48{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 259.8354{col 75}{space 3} 663.7731
{txt}{space 15}1991  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 422.0442{col 34}{space 2} 95.06603{col 45}{space 1}    4.44{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 235.6201{col 75}{space 3} 608.4683
{txt}{space 15}1992  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  896.054{col 34}{space 2} 94.49722{col 45}{space 1}    9.48{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 710.7453{col 75}{space 3} 1081.363
{txt}{space 15}1993  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 476.5041{col 34}{space 2} 110.0458{col 45}{space 1}    4.33{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 260.7048{col 75}{space 3} 692.3035
{txt}{space 15}1994  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 800.4744{col 34}{space 2} 103.1222{col 45}{space 1}    7.76{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 598.2522{col 75}{space 3} 1002.697
{txt}{space 15}1995  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 648.8911{col 34}{space 2} 103.6179{col 45}{space 1}    6.26{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  445.697{col 75}{space 3} 852.0853
{txt}{space 15}1996  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  840.538{col 34}{space 2} 106.4525{col 45}{space 1}    7.90{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 631.7852{col 75}{space 3} 1049.291
{txt}{space 15}1997  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 858.2136{col 34}{space 2} 105.0438{col 45}{space 1}    8.17{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 652.2232{col 75}{space 3} 1064.204
{txt}{space 15}1998  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1219.059{col 34}{space 2} 108.6916{col 45}{space 1}   11.22{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1005.915{col 75}{space 3} 1432.203
{txt}{space 15}1999  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 693.6734{col 34}{space 2} 116.4417{col 45}{space 1}    5.96{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 465.3317{col 75}{space 3} 922.0151
{txt}{space 15}2000  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1187.21{col 34}{space 2} 107.6052{col 45}{space 1}   11.03{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 976.1962{col 75}{space 3} 1398.223
{txt}{space 15}2001  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  646.935{col 34}{space 2} 123.2916{col 45}{space 1}    5.25{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 405.1607{col 75}{space 3} 888.7094
{txt}{space 15}2002  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 631.5908{col 34}{space 2} 116.2595{col 45}{space 1}    5.43{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 403.6065{col 75}{space 3} 859.5751
{txt}{space 15}2003  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 780.6068{col 34}{space 2} 114.5974{col 45}{space 1}    6.81{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 555.8819{col 75}{space 3} 1005.332
{txt}{space 15}2004  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1041.17{col 34}{space 2} 125.7933{col 45}{space 1}    8.28{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 794.4899{col 75}{space 3}  1287.85
{txt}{space 15}2005  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 685.4185{col 34}{space 2}  131.866{col 45}{space 1}    5.20{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 426.8298{col 75}{space 3} 944.0072
{txt}{space 15}2006  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1198.525{col 34}{space 2} 137.1929{col 45}{space 1}    8.74{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}   929.49{col 75}{space 3} 1467.559
{txt}{space 15}2007  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  888.337{col 34}{space 2} 128.4807{col 45}{space 1}    6.91{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  636.387{col 75}{space 3} 1140.287
{txt}{space 15}2008  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  757.144{col 34}{space 2} 144.7787{col 45}{space 1}    5.23{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 473.2336{col 75}{space 3} 1041.054
{txt}{space 15}2009  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-86.97176{col 34}{space 2} 137.5013{col 45}{space 1}   -0.63{col 54}{space 3}0.527{col 62}{space 4}-356.6113{col 75}{space 3} 182.6678
{txt}{space 15}2010  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1132.869{col 34}{space 2}  122.118{col 45}{space 1}    9.28{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 893.3961{col 75}{space 3} 1372.342
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-732.9882{col 34}{space 2} 297.8673{col 45}{space 1}   -2.46{col 54}{space 3}0.014{col 62}{space 4}-1317.105{col 75}{space 3}-148.8718
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallfull if nonsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(914 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,  2301) ={res}   17.22
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY) *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,  2301) ={res}    8.62
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0002
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2087495{col 26}{space 2} 1.163713{col 37}{space 1}   -0.18{col 46}{space 3}0.858{col 54}{space 4}-2.490785{col 67}{space 3} 2.073286
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-11.37848{col 26}{space 2} 11.94227{col 37}{space 1}   -0.95{col 46}{space 3}0.341{col 54}{space 4} -34.7849{col 67}{space 3} 12.02794
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
.  
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. qui reg d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l4.d.klarnerranney l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1  i.state_fips i.year if nonsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}     2,388{col 27}-8960.643{col 38} -8657.83{col 49}   119{col 58} 17553.66{col 69} 18241.27
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. newey d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l4.d.klarnerranney l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1  i.state_fips i.year if nonsouth==1, lag(8) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     2,388
{txt}maximum lag: {res}8{col 49}{txt}F(118,      2269){col 67}= {res}      3.39
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 16}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 17}{c |}{col 29}  Newey-West
{col 1}D.klarnerranney{col 17}{c |}      Coef.{col 29}   Std. Err.{col 41}      t{col 49}   P>|t|{col 57}     [95% Con{col 70}f. Interval]
{hline 16}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -.137592{col 29}{space 2} .0165743{col 40}{space 1}   -8.30{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-.1700943{col 70}{space 3}-.1050897
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0001264{col 29}{space 2} .0002261{col 40}{space 1}   -0.56{col 49}{space 3}0.576{col 57}{space 4}-.0005699{col 70}{space 3} .0003171
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0479009{col 29}{space 2} .0134158{col 40}{space 1}    3.57{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} .0215925{col 70}{space 3} .0742094
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}D1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0019237{col 29}{space 2}  .000759{col 40}{space 1}   -2.53{col 49}{space 3}0.011{col 57}{space 4}-.0034121{col 70}{space 3}-.0004353
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.2289073{col 29}{space 2} .0382015{col 40}{space 1}   -5.99{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-.3038208{col 70}{space 3}-.1539937
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0002676{col 29}{space 2} .0007886{col 40}{space 1}   -0.34{col 49}{space 3}0.734{col 57}{space 4} -.001814{col 70}{space 3} .0012788
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L3D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0229044{col 29}{space 2} .0097341{col 40}{space 1}    2.35{col 49}{space 3}0.019{col 57}{space 4} .0038158{col 70}{space 3} .0419931
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0002643{col 29}{space 2} .0008628{col 40}{space 1}    0.31{col 49}{space 3}0.759{col 57}{space 4}-.0014276{col 70}{space 3} .0019563
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L4D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0986395{col 29}{space 2} .0349888{col 40}{space 1}   -2.82{col 49}{space 3}0.005{col 57}{space 4}-.1672529{col 70}{space 3}-.0300261
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 11}L3D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  -.00072{col 29}{space 2}  .000946{col 40}{space 1}   -0.76{col 49}{space 3}0.447{col 57}{space 4}-.0025751{col 70}{space 3} .0011351
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 6}gov_party {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .3605423{col 29}{space 2} .6184203{col 40}{space 1}    0.58{col 49}{space 3}0.560{col 57}{space 4}-.8521861{col 70}{space 3} 1.573271
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.5511062{col 29}{space 2} .4532654{col 40}{space 1}   -1.22{col 49}{space 3}0.224{col 57}{space 4}-1.439964{col 70}{space 3} .3377517
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}dem_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.059526{col 29}{space 2} .9385301{col 40}{space 1}    1.13{col 49}{space 3}0.259{col 57}{space 4}-.7809413{col 70}{space 3} 2.899993
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.4788454{col 29}{space 2} .6073186{col 40}{space 1}   -0.79{col 49}{space 3}0.431{col 57}{space 4}-1.669803{col 70}{space 3} .7121125
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}rep_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.809356{col 29}{space 2} .8235914{col 40}{space 1}    2.20{col 49}{space 3}0.028{col 57}{space 4} .1942853{col 70}{space 3} 3.424427
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.775462{col 29}{space 2} .5503547{col 40}{space 1}   -3.23{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4}-2.854713{col 70}{space 3}-.6962106
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 1}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .1088231{col 29}{space 2}  .818981{col 40}{space 1}    0.13{col 49}{space 3}0.894{col 57}{space 4}-1.497207{col 70}{space 3} 1.714853
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.575942{col 29}{space 2} 3.330247{col 40}{space 1}   -1.07{col 49}{space 3}0.283{col 57}{space 4}-10.10659{col 70}{space 3} 2.954706
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 5}state_fips {c |}
{space 13}4  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.044523{col 29}{space 2} 2.053677{col 40}{space 1}   -1.00{col 49}{space 3}0.320{col 57}{space 4}-6.071804{col 70}{space 3} 1.982758
{txt}{space 13}6  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.226748{col 29}{space 2} 1.723209{col 40}{space 1}   -0.71{col 49}{space 3}0.477{col 57}{space 4}-4.605979{col 70}{space 3} 2.152483
{txt}{space 13}8  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.3946487{col 29}{space 2}  1.87045{col 40}{space 1}   -0.21{col 49}{space 3}0.833{col 57}{space 4} -4.06262{col 70}{space 3} 3.273323
{txt}{space 13}9  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.269111{col 29}{space 2} 1.824762{col 40}{space 1}   -0.70{col 49}{space 3}0.487{col 57}{space 4}-4.847488{col 70}{space 3} 2.309265
{txt}{space 12}10  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.3728548{col 29}{space 2} 1.858804{col 40}{space 1}   -0.20{col 49}{space 3}0.841{col 57}{space 4}-4.017988{col 70}{space 3} 3.272279
{txt}{space 12}15  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-7.814942{col 29}{space 2}  2.12012{col 40}{space 1}   -3.69{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-11.97252{col 70}{space 3}-3.657366
{txt}{space 12}16  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.647775{col 29}{space 2} 2.549302{col 40}{space 1}   -1.82{col 49}{space 3}0.068{col 57}{space 4}-9.646982{col 70}{space 3} .3514321
{txt}{space 12}17  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .3751102{col 29}{space 2} 1.670588{col 40}{space 1}    0.22{col 49}{space 3}0.822{col 57}{space 4}-2.900929{col 70}{space 3} 3.651149
{txt}{space 12}18  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.278291{col 29}{space 2} 2.016105{col 40}{space 1}   -0.63{col 49}{space 3}0.526{col 57}{space 4}-5.231893{col 70}{space 3} 2.675311
{txt}{space 12}19  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.435567{col 29}{space 2} 2.076758{col 40}{space 1}   -0.69{col 49}{space 3}0.489{col 57}{space 4} -5.50811{col 70}{space 3} 2.636976
{txt}{space 12}20  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -2.99685{col 29}{space 2} 2.091529{col 40}{space 1}   -1.43{col 49}{space 3}0.152{col 57}{space 4}-7.098359{col 70}{space 3} 1.104658
{txt}{space 12}21  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -3.70818{col 29}{space 2} 2.662236{col 40}{space 1}   -1.39{col 49}{space 3}0.164{col 57}{space 4}-8.928852{col 70}{space 3} 1.512492
{txt}{space 12}23  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.072736{col 29}{space 2} 2.262828{col 40}{space 1}   -0.47{col 49}{space 3}0.635{col 57}{space 4}-5.510165{col 70}{space 3} 3.364692
{txt}{space 12}24  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -6.07664{col 29}{space 2} 2.200964{col 40}{space 1}   -2.76{col 49}{space 3}0.006{col 57}{space 4}-10.39275{col 70}{space 3}-1.760528
{txt}{space 12}25  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.002296{col 29}{space 2}  2.15914{col 40}{space 1}   -2.32{col 49}{space 3}0.021{col 57}{space 4}-9.236391{col 70}{space 3}-.7682016
{txt}{space 12}26  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.2904377{col 29}{space 2}  2.01968{col 40}{space 1}   -0.14{col 49}{space 3}0.886{col 57}{space 4} -4.25105{col 70}{space 3} 3.670174
{txt}{space 12}27  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.223558{col 29}{space 2} 2.090041{col 40}{space 1}   -0.59{col 49}{space 3}0.558{col 57}{space 4}-5.322149{col 70}{space 3} 2.875033
{txt}{space 12}29  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -2.54852{col 29}{space 2} 2.087462{col 40}{space 1}   -1.22{col 49}{space 3}0.222{col 57}{space 4}-6.642055{col 70}{space 3} 1.545014
{txt}{space 12}30  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.1494564{col 29}{space 2} 2.077579{col 40}{space 1}   -0.07{col 49}{space 3}0.943{col 57}{space 4}-4.223611{col 70}{space 3} 3.924698
{txt}{space 12}32  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.2940129{col 29}{space 2} 2.254141{col 40}{space 1}   -0.13{col 49}{space 3}0.896{col 57}{space 4}-4.714406{col 70}{space 3} 4.126381
{txt}{space 12}33  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.105077{col 29}{space 2} 1.916916{col 40}{space 1}   -1.62{col 49}{space 3}0.105{col 57}{space 4}-6.864169{col 70}{space 3} .6540153
{txt}{space 12}34  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.9226642{col 29}{space 2}  1.87061{col 40}{space 1}   -0.49{col 49}{space 3}0.622{col 57}{space 4}-4.590949{col 70}{space 3} 2.745621
{txt}{space 12}35  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.161346{col 29}{space 2} 2.567621{col 40}{space 1}   -1.23{col 49}{space 3}0.218{col 57}{space 4}-8.196477{col 70}{space 3} 1.873785
{txt}{space 12}36  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .4846769{col 29}{space 2} 1.616171{col 40}{space 1}    0.30{col 49}{space 3}0.764{col 57}{space 4}-2.684651{col 70}{space 3} 3.654005
{txt}{space 12}38  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.654961{col 29}{space 2} 2.696908{col 40}{space 1}   -1.36{col 49}{space 3}0.175{col 57}{space 4}-8.943624{col 70}{space 3} 1.633703
{txt}{space 12}39  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.536612{col 29}{space 2} 2.079665{col 40}{space 1}   -0.74{col 49}{space 3}0.460{col 57}{space 4}-5.614856{col 70}{space 3} 2.541631
{txt}{space 12}40  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -4.84471{col 29}{space 2} 2.490884{col 40}{space 1}   -1.94{col 49}{space 3}0.052{col 57}{space 4}-9.729357{col 70}{space 3} .0399383
{txt}{space 12}41  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.4845337{col 29}{space 2} 2.129712{col 40}{space 1}   -0.23{col 49}{space 3}0.820{col 57}{space 4}-4.660921{col 70}{space 3} 3.691854
{txt}{space 12}42  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .2139499{col 29}{space 2} 1.818967{col 40}{space 1}    0.12{col 49}{space 3}0.906{col 57}{space 4}-3.353064{col 70}{space 3} 3.780963
{txt}{space 12}44  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.863952{col 29}{space 2} 2.366038{col 40}{space 1}   -2.48{col 49}{space 3}0.013{col 57}{space 4}-10.50378{col 70}{space 3}-1.224127
{txt}{space 12}46  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.052472{col 29}{space 2} 2.431092{col 40}{space 1}   -1.67{col 49}{space 3}0.096{col 57}{space 4}-8.819867{col 70}{space 3} .7149234
{txt}{space 12}49  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.341673{col 29}{space 2} 2.639916{col 40}{space 1}   -1.27{col 49}{space 3}0.206{col 57}{space 4}-8.518575{col 70}{space 3}  1.83523
{txt}{space 12}50  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.654112{col 29}{space 2} 2.210203{col 40}{space 1}   -1.20{col 49}{space 3}0.230{col 57}{space 4}-6.988342{col 70}{space 3} 1.680118
{txt}{space 12}53  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}   .05972{col 29}{space 2} 2.048834{col 40}{space 1}    0.03{col 49}{space 3}0.977{col 57}{space 4}-3.958063{col 70}{space 3} 4.077503
{txt}{space 12}54  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-6.150748{col 29}{space 2} 2.573365{col 40}{space 1}   -2.39{col 49}{space 3}0.017{col 57}{space 4}-11.19714{col 70}{space 3}-1.104354
{txt}{space 12}55  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.4984865{col 29}{space 2}  1.99722{col 40}{space 1}   -0.25{col 49}{space 3}0.803{col 57}{space 4}-4.415056{col 70}{space 3} 3.418083
{txt}{space 12}56  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.340801{col 29}{space 2} 1.978765{col 40}{space 1}   -1.69{col 49}{space 3}0.091{col 57}{space 4}-7.221178{col 70}{space 3} .5395765
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 11}year {c |}
{space 10}1948  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 7.267046{col 29}{space 2}  2.74215{col 40}{space 1}    2.65{col 49}{space 3}0.008{col 57}{space 4} 1.889663{col 70}{space 3} 12.64443
{txt}{space 10}1949  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 21.96063{col 29}{space 2} 4.994522{col 40}{space 1}    4.40{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 12.16632{col 70}{space 3} 31.75494
{txt}{space 10}1950  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 8.850671{col 29}{space 2} 3.170925{col 40}{space 1}    2.79{col 49}{space 3}0.005{col 57}{space 4} 2.632455{col 70}{space 3} 15.06889
{txt}{space 10}1951  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 6.905439{col 29}{space 2} 3.269823{col 40}{space 1}    2.11{col 49}{space 3}0.035{col 57}{space 4} .4932829{col 70}{space 3}  13.3176
{txt}{space 10}1952  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 8.308477{col 29}{space 2} 3.000974{col 40}{space 1}    2.77{col 49}{space 3}0.006{col 57}{space 4} 2.423537{col 70}{space 3} 14.19342
{txt}{space 10}1953  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 6.673419{col 29}{space 2} 3.854465{col 40}{space 1}    1.73{col 49}{space 3}0.084{col 57}{space 4}-.8852248{col 70}{space 3} 14.23206
{txt}{space 10}1954  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  8.17183{col 29}{space 2} 2.998335{col 40}{space 1}    2.73{col 49}{space 3}0.006{col 57}{space 4} 2.292066{col 70}{space 3}  14.0516
{txt}{space 10}1955  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 14.60128{col 29}{space 2} 3.860338{col 40}{space 1}    3.78{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 7.031114{col 70}{space 3} 22.17144
{txt}{space 10}1956  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 9.816914{col 29}{space 2} 3.089525{col 40}{space 1}    3.18{col 49}{space 3}0.002{col 57}{space 4} 3.758324{col 70}{space 3}  15.8755
{txt}{space 10}1957  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 14.84983{col 29}{space 2} 4.058861{col 40}{space 1}    3.66{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.890363{col 70}{space 3}  22.8093
{txt}{space 10}1958  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 10.66762{col 29}{space 2}  3.10503{col 40}{space 1}    3.44{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 4.578624{col 70}{space 3} 16.75661
{txt}{space 10}1959  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.06529{col 29}{space 2} 4.308696{col 40}{space 1}    3.03{col 49}{space 3}0.002{col 57}{space 4} 4.615894{col 70}{space 3} 21.51469
{txt}{space 10}1960  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 10.71093{col 29}{space 2} 3.153473{col 40}{space 1}    3.40{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 4.526942{col 70}{space 3} 16.89493
{txt}{space 10}1961  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 10.44129{col 29}{space 2} 3.821945{col 40}{space 1}    2.73{col 49}{space 3}0.006{col 57}{space 4} 2.946423{col 70}{space 3} 17.93617
{txt}{space 10}1962  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 11.31113{col 29}{space 2} 3.106256{col 40}{space 1}    3.64{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 5.219727{col 70}{space 3} 17.40252
{txt}{space 10}1963  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  11.1501{col 29}{space 2} 3.405304{col 40}{space 1}    3.27{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 4.472263{col 70}{space 3} 17.82793
{txt}{space 10}1964  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 11.23515{col 29}{space 2} 3.167356{col 40}{space 1}    3.55{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 5.023935{col 70}{space 3} 17.44637
{txt}{space 10}1965  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.17528{col 29}{space 2} 3.887873{col 40}{space 1}    3.39{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 5.551127{col 70}{space 3} 20.79944
{txt}{space 10}1966  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 11.19783{col 29}{space 2} 3.217117{col 40}{space 1}    3.48{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 4.889027{col 70}{space 3} 17.50663
{txt}{space 10}1967  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 14.51992{col 29}{space 2} 4.848551{col 40}{space 1}    2.99{col 49}{space 3}0.003{col 57}{space 4} 5.011866{col 70}{space 3} 24.02798
{txt}{space 10}1968  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 11.96808{col 29}{space 2} 3.239107{col 40}{space 1}    3.69{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 5.616156{col 70}{space 3}    18.32
{txt}{space 10}1969  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 11.81683{col 29}{space 2}  3.69713{col 40}{space 1}    3.20{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 4.566724{col 70}{space 3} 19.06694
{txt}{space 10}1970  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 10.85318{col 29}{space 2}  3.10494{col 40}{space 1}    3.50{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 4.764366{col 70}{space 3}   16.942
{txt}{space 10}1971  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 16.27001{col 29}{space 2} 3.614039{col 40}{space 1}    4.50{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 9.182842{col 70}{space 3} 23.35718
{txt}{space 10}1972  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.29384{col 29}{space 2} 3.372589{col 40}{space 1}    3.94{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.680157{col 70}{space 3} 19.90752
{txt}{space 10}1973  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.26671{col 29}{space 2} 3.851862{col 40}{space 1}    3.44{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 5.713173{col 70}{space 3} 20.82025
{txt}{space 10}1974  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 10.47626{col 29}{space 2} 3.417204{col 40}{space 1}    3.07{col 49}{space 3}0.002{col 57}{space 4} 3.775092{col 70}{space 3} 17.17743
{txt}{space 10}1975  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 8.069368{col 29}{space 2} 4.323324{col 40}{space 1}    1.87{col 49}{space 3}0.062{col 57}{space 4}-.4087132{col 70}{space 3} 16.54745
{txt}{space 10}1976  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.22699{col 29}{space 2} 3.397274{col 40}{space 1}    3.60{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 5.564906{col 70}{space 3} 18.88908
{txt}{space 10}1977  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 10.07118{col 29}{space 2} 3.901449{col 40}{space 1}    2.58{col 49}{space 3}0.010{col 57}{space 4} 2.420399{col 70}{space 3} 17.72196
{txt}{space 10}1978  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.25353{col 29}{space 2} 3.394305{col 40}{space 1}    3.61{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 5.597268{col 70}{space 3}  18.9098
{txt}{space 10}1979  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.00063{col 29}{space 2} 3.661514{col 40}{space 1}    3.28{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 4.820359{col 70}{space 3} 19.18089
{txt}{space 10}1980  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 11.27897{col 29}{space 2} 3.315391{col 40}{space 1}    3.40{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 4.777458{col 70}{space 3} 17.78049
{txt}{space 10}1981  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.87105{col 29}{space 2} 3.703945{col 40}{space 1}    3.47{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 5.607578{col 70}{space 3} 20.13452
{txt}{space 10}1982  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 11.94273{col 29}{space 2} 3.435626{col 40}{space 1}    3.48{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 5.205433{col 70}{space 3} 18.68003
{txt}{space 10}1983  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 11.26633{col 29}{space 2} 3.786578{col 40}{space 1}    2.98{col 49}{space 3}0.003{col 57}{space 4} 3.840808{col 70}{space 3} 18.69184
{txt}{space 10}1984  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.77977{col 29}{space 2} 3.400747{col 40}{space 1}    3.76{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.110872{col 70}{space 3} 19.44867
{txt}{space 10}1985  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.86014{col 29}{space 2} 3.687852{col 40}{space 1}    3.76{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.628219{col 70}{space 3} 21.09205
{txt}{space 10}1986  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.86142{col 29}{space 2} 3.371503{col 40}{space 1}    3.81{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.249873{col 70}{space 3} 19.47298
{txt}{space 10}1987  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  15.2214{col 29}{space 2} 3.529464{col 40}{space 1}    4.31{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 8.300088{col 70}{space 3} 22.14272
{txt}{space 10}1988  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.86013{col 29}{space 2} 3.412542{col 40}{space 1}    3.77{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.168106{col 70}{space 3} 19.55216
{txt}{space 10}1989  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 14.18743{col 29}{space 2} 3.651394{col 40}{space 1}    3.89{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}  7.02701{col 70}{space 3} 21.34785
{txt}{space 10}1990  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.45399{col 29}{space 2} 3.436863{col 40}{space 1}    3.62{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 5.714264{col 70}{space 3} 19.19371
{txt}{space 10}1991  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 14.12644{col 29}{space 2} 3.749618{col 40}{space 1}    3.77{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.773407{col 70}{space 3} 21.47948
{txt}{space 10}1992  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  12.8808{col 29}{space 2} 3.568227{col 40}{space 1}    3.61{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 5.883473{col 70}{space 3} 19.87813
{txt}{space 10}1993  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.93534{col 29}{space 2} 3.861247{col 40}{space 1}    3.35{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 5.363392{col 70}{space 3} 20.50728
{txt}{space 10}1994  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.29051{col 29}{space 2} 3.586531{col 40}{space 1}    3.71{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.257289{col 70}{space 3} 20.32374
{txt}{space 10}1995  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 11.59727{col 29}{space 2} 4.167854{col 40}{space 1}    2.78{col 49}{space 3}0.005{col 57}{space 4} 3.424067{col 70}{space 3} 19.77048
{txt}{space 10}1996  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.38746{col 29}{space 2}  3.58392{col 40}{space 1}    3.74{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.359354{col 70}{space 3} 20.41556
{txt}{space 10}1997  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  12.0848{col 29}{space 2} 3.912334{col 40}{space 1}    3.09{col 49}{space 3}0.002{col 57}{space 4} 4.412671{col 70}{space 3} 19.75692
{txt}{space 10}1998  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.98931{col 29}{space 2} 3.716858{col 40}{space 1}    3.76{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.700516{col 70}{space 3} 21.27811
{txt}{space 10}1999  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.39643{col 29}{space 2} 3.871781{col 40}{space 1}    3.46{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 5.803828{col 70}{space 3} 20.98903
{txt}{space 10}2000  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  14.4209{col 29}{space 2} 3.784754{col 40}{space 1}    3.81{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.998965{col 70}{space 3} 21.84284
{txt}{space 10}2001  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  13.3779{col 29}{space 2} 3.978476{col 40}{space 1}    3.36{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 5.576072{col 70}{space 3} 21.17974
{txt}{space 10}2002  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  13.3709{col 29}{space 2} 3.845819{col 40}{space 1}    3.48{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 5.829207{col 70}{space 3} 20.91259
{txt}{space 10}2003  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.57914{col 29}{space 2} 4.022276{col 40}{space 1}    3.13{col 49}{space 3}0.002{col 57}{space 4}  4.69142{col 70}{space 3} 20.46687
{txt}{space 10}2004  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.73539{col 29}{space 2} 3.954172{col 40}{space 1}    3.47{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 5.981215{col 70}{space 3} 21.48956
{txt}{space 10}2005  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.51015{col 29}{space 2} 4.097502{col 40}{space 1}    3.05{col 49}{space 3}0.002{col 57}{space 4} 4.474905{col 70}{space 3} 20.54539
{txt}{space 10}2006  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.85874{col 29}{space 2} 3.982631{col 40}{space 1}    3.48{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 6.048762{col 70}{space 3} 21.66872
{txt}{space 10}2007  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.39107{col 29}{space 2} 4.196857{col 40}{space 1}    3.19{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 5.160994{col 70}{space 3} 21.62115
{txt}{space 10}2008  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.11525{col 29}{space 2} 4.056347{col 40}{space 1}    3.23{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4}  5.16071{col 70}{space 3} 21.06979
{txt}{space 10}2009  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 8.326075{col 29}{space 2} 4.136227{col 40}{space 1}    2.01{col 49}{space 3}0.044{col 57}{space 4} .2148922{col 70}{space 3} 16.43726
{txt}{space 10}2010  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 8.048323{col 29}{space 2} 4.718607{col 40}{space 1}    1.71{col 49}{space 3}0.088{col 57}{space 4}-1.204914{col 70}{space 3} 17.30156
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 10}_cons {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.379033{col 29}{space 2} 4.313075{col 40}{space 1}    0.32{col 49}{space 3}0.749{col 57}{space 4}-7.078949{col 70}{space 3} 9.837016
{txt}{hline 16}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict klarnerranneyhatallfull if nonsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(951 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,  2269) ={res}   68.92
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY) *
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,  2269) ={res}   34.47
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann + L3D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.002647{col 26}{space 2} .0013919{col 37}{space 1}   -1.90{col 46}{space 3}0.057{col 54}{space 4}-.0053766{col 67}{space 3} .0000826
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0009185{col 26}{space 2} .0016421{col 37}{space 1}   -0.56{col 46}{space 3}0.576{col 54}{space 4}-.0041369{col 67}{space 3}    .0023
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. // (5,4)  MODEL
. 
. 
. 
. *** I.B: NON-SOUTHERN STATES (N = 35): PRE-PARTISAN ALIGNMENT TIME PERIOD (1942 -1980) ***
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney  l4.d.real_pc_inc_ann l3.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified  i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & nonsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}     1,250{col 27} -9226.52{col 38}-8733.308{col 49}    95{col 58} 17656.62{col 69} 18144.05
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney  l4.d.real_pc_inc_ann l3.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified  i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & nonsouth==1, lag(6) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     1,250
{txt}maximum lag: {res}6{col 49}{txt}F( 94,      1155){col 67}= {res}     21.93
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2102484{col 34}{space 2} .0392908{col 45}{space 1}   -5.35{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-.2873378{col 75}{space 3}-.1331591
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.155505{col 34}{space 2} .6680897{col 45}{space 1}   -1.73{col 54}{space 3}0.084{col 62}{space 4}-2.466311{col 75}{space 3} .1553002
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3634414{col 34}{space 2} .1074246{col 45}{space 1}    3.38{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} .1526722{col 75}{space 3} .5742106
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.692851{col 34}{space 2} .9081735{col 45}{space 1}   -1.86{col 54}{space 3}0.063{col 62}{space 4}-3.474706{col 75}{space 3} .0890036
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0639549{col 34}{space 2} .0706038{col 45}{space 1}   -0.91{col 54}{space 3}0.365{col 62}{space 4}-.2024809{col 75}{space 3} .0745711
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2.365135{col 34}{space 2} .9571813{col 45}{space 1}    2.47{col 54}{space 3}0.014{col 62}{space 4} .4871263{col 75}{space 3} 4.243144
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -.021964{col 34}{space 2} .0597927{col 45}{space 1}   -0.37{col 54}{space 3}0.713{col 62}{space 4}-.1392785{col 75}{space 3} .0953504
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1603115{col 34}{space 2} .8807057{col 45}{space 1}   -0.18{col 54}{space 3}0.856{col 62}{space 4}-1.888274{col 75}{space 3} 1.567651
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L4D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0646134{col 34}{space 2} .0479819{col 45}{space 1}    1.35{col 54}{space 3}0.178{col 62}{space 4}-.0295281{col 75}{space 3} .1587549
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .8603252{col 34}{space 2} .8533842{col 45}{space 1}    1.01{col 54}{space 3}0.314{col 62}{space 4}-.8140316{col 75}{space 3} 2.534682
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-163.8181{col 34}{space 2} 199.3692{col 45}{space 1}   -0.82{col 54}{space 3}0.411{col 62}{space 4}-554.9844{col 75}{space 3} 227.3483
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-85.70036{col 34}{space 2}  303.293{col 45}{space 1}   -0.28{col 54}{space 3}0.778{col 62}{space 4}-680.7673{col 75}{space 3} 509.3665
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 6.261296{col 34}{space 2} 70.45291{col 45}{space 1}    0.09{col 54}{space 3}0.929{col 62}{space 4}-131.9687{col 75}{space 3} 144.4913
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 178.8202{col 34}{space 2} 193.1121{col 45}{space 1}    0.93{col 54}{space 3}0.355{col 62}{space 4}-200.0697{col 75}{space 3} 557.7101
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 223.6869{col 34}{space 2} 222.9455{col 45}{space 1}    1.00{col 54}{space 3}0.316{col 62}{space 4}-213.7367{col 75}{space 3} 661.1105
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 399.2184{col 34}{space 2} 634.6494{col 45}{space 1}    0.63{col 54}{space 3}0.529{col 62}{space 4}-845.9765{col 75}{space 3} 1644.413
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  599.532{col 34}{space 2} 573.5132{col 45}{space 1}    1.05{col 54}{space 3}0.296{col 62}{space 4}-525.7125{col 75}{space 3} 1724.776
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 5246.986{col 34}{space 2} 1450.974{col 45}{space 1}    3.62{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 2400.146{col 75}{space 3} 8093.825
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 42.64286{col 34}{space 2} 29.04057{col 45}{space 1}    1.47{col 54}{space 3}0.142{col 62}{space 4}-14.33532{col 75}{space 3} 99.62104
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-19.30117{col 34}{space 2} 30.88472{col 45}{space 1}   -0.62{col 54}{space 3}0.532{col 62}{space 4} -79.8976{col 75}{space 3} 41.29526
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-22.01443{col 34}{space 2} 31.78276{col 45}{space 1}   -0.69{col 54}{space 3}0.489{col 62}{space 4}-84.37284{col 75}{space 3} 40.34398
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 10.36035{col 34}{space 2} 32.79809{col 45}{space 1}    0.32{col 54}{space 3}0.752{col 62}{space 4}-53.99015{col 75}{space 3} 74.71086
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-13.31427{col 34}{space 2}  29.8187{col 45}{space 1}   -0.45{col 54}{space 3}0.655{col 62}{space 4}-71.81915{col 75}{space 3}  45.1906
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-51.15509{col 34}{space 2} 39.53759{col 45}{space 1}   -1.29{col 54}{space 3}0.196{col 62}{space 4}-128.7286{col 75}{space 3} 26.41844
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 18}4  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1224.058{col 34}{space 2} 340.4355{col 45}{space 1}   -3.60{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}    -1892{col 75}{space 3}-556.1172
{txt}{space 18}6  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-687.9163{col 34}{space 2} 286.5184{col 45}{space 1}   -2.40{col 54}{space 3}0.017{col 62}{space 4}-1250.071{col 75}{space 3}-125.7614
{txt}{space 18}8  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1041.288{col 34}{space 2} 324.8963{col 45}{space 1}   -3.20{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-1678.741{col 75}{space 3}-403.8344
{txt}{space 18}9  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-620.9278{col 34}{space 2} 286.0055{col 45}{space 1}   -2.17{col 54}{space 3}0.030{col 62}{space 4}-1182.076{col 75}{space 3}-59.77924
{txt}{space 17}10  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-717.1564{col 34}{space 2} 288.0191{col 45}{space 1}   -2.49{col 54}{space 3}0.013{col 62}{space 4}-1282.256{col 75}{space 3}-152.0571
{txt}{space 17}15  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-663.2723{col 34}{space 2} 292.6984{col 45}{space 1}   -2.27{col 54}{space 3}0.024{col 62}{space 4}-1237.552{col 75}{space 3}-88.99213
{txt}{space 17}16  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1267.149{col 34}{space 2} 352.9806{col 45}{space 1}   -3.59{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-1959.704{col 75}{space 3} -574.594
{txt}{space 17}17  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-773.5818{col 34}{space 2} 290.9171{col 45}{space 1}   -2.66{col 54}{space 3}0.008{col 62}{space 4}-1344.367{col 75}{space 3}-202.7966
{txt}{space 17}18  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1103.603{col 34}{space 2} 321.0696{col 45}{space 1}   -3.44{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-1733.548{col 75}{space 3}-473.6584
{txt}{space 17}19  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1107.041{col 34}{space 2} 339.5942{col 45}{space 1}   -3.26{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-1773.331{col 75}{space 3}-440.7499
{txt}{space 17}20  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1134.383{col 34}{space 2} 334.6088{col 45}{space 1}   -3.39{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-1790.892{col 75}{space 3}-477.8734
{txt}{space 17}21  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1529.357{col 34}{space 2}  381.077{col 45}{space 1}   -4.01{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-2277.037{col 75}{space 3}-781.6759
{txt}{space 17}23  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1439.368{col 34}{space 2} 357.5809{col 45}{space 1}   -4.03{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-2140.949{col 75}{space 3}-737.7872
{txt}{space 17}24  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-920.3444{col 34}{space 2} 308.4581{col 45}{space 1}   -2.98{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4}-1525.545{col 75}{space 3}-315.1434
{txt}{space 17}25  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-952.7121{col 34}{space 2}  307.901{col 45}{space 1}   -3.09{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} -1556.82{col 75}{space 3}-348.6042
{txt}{space 17}26  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-927.7542{col 34}{space 2} 302.2114{col 45}{space 1}   -3.07{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4}-1520.699{col 75}{space 3}-334.8094
{txt}{space 17}27  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1064.667{col 34}{space 2} 325.0199{col 45}{space 1}   -3.28{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-1702.363{col 75}{space 3}-426.9717
{txt}{space 17}29  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1187.725{col 34}{space 2} 335.2186{col 45}{space 1}   -3.54{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} -1845.43{col 75}{space 3}-530.0189
{txt}{space 17}30  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1145.061{col 34}{space 2} 340.0843{col 45}{space 1}   -3.37{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-1812.313{col 75}{space 3}-477.8085
{txt}{space 17}32  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-646.0855{col 34}{space 2} 290.8732{col 45}{space 1}   -2.22{col 54}{space 3}0.027{col 62}{space 4}-1216.785{col 75}{space 3}-75.38641
{txt}{space 17}33  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1154.731{col 34}{space 2} 329.6053{col 45}{space 1}   -3.50{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-1801.423{col 75}{space 3}-508.0389
{txt}{space 17}34  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-746.8618{col 34}{space 2} 290.2515{col 45}{space 1}   -2.57{col 54}{space 3}0.010{col 62}{space 4}-1316.341{col 75}{space 3}-177.3826
{txt}{space 17}35  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1438.982{col 34}{space 2} 366.9819{col 45}{space 1}   -3.92{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-2159.008{col 75}{space 3}-718.9564
{txt}{space 17}36  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-731.7862{col 34}{space 2} 287.6059{col 45}{space 1}   -2.54{col 54}{space 3}0.011{col 62}{space 4}-1296.075{col 75}{space 3}-167.4976
{txt}{space 17}38  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1281.317{col 34}{space 2}  395.881{col 45}{space 1}   -3.24{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-2058.043{col 75}{space 3}-504.5903
{txt}{space 17}39  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1019.316{col 34}{space 2} 311.5415{col 45}{space 1}   -3.27{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-1630.566{col 75}{space 3}-408.0649
{txt}{space 17}40  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1414.759{col 34}{space 2} 369.7358{col 45}{space 1}   -3.83{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-2140.188{col 75}{space 3}-689.3302
{txt}{space 17}41  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -1044.04{col 34}{space 2} 313.3212{col 45}{space 1}   -3.33{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-1658.782{col 75}{space 3}-429.2971
{txt}{space 17}42  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1048.667{col 34}{space 2} 313.7873{col 45}{space 1}   -3.34{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-1664.324{col 75}{space 3}-433.0098
{txt}{space 17}44  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1133.879{col 34}{space 2} 324.6663{col 45}{space 1}   -3.49{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-1770.881{col 75}{space 3} -496.877
{txt}{space 17}46  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1329.919{col 34}{space 2}  393.812{col 45}{space 1}   -3.38{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-2102.586{col 75}{space 3}-557.2519
{txt}{space 17}49  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1337.464{col 34}{space 2} 350.7067{col 45}{space 1}   -3.81{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-2025.558{col 75}{space 3}-649.3707
{txt}{space 17}50  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1374.609{col 34}{space 2} 355.5639{col 45}{space 1}   -3.87{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-2072.232{col 75}{space 3} -676.985
{txt}{space 17}53  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-910.4466{col 34}{space 2} 302.9428{col 45}{space 1}   -3.01{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4}-1504.826{col 75}{space 3}-316.0668
{txt}{space 17}54  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1551.838{col 34}{space 2} 375.2692{col 45}{space 1}   -4.14{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-2288.124{col 75}{space 3}-815.5523
{txt}{space 17}55  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1081.486{col 34}{space 2} 321.5188{col 45}{space 1}   -3.36{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-1712.312{col 75}{space 3}-450.6594
{txt}{space 17}56  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-913.7133{col 34}{space 2} 327.4342{col 45}{space 1}   -2.79{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4}-1556.146{col 75}{space 3}-271.2809
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1948  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 343.6962{col 34}{space 2}  88.0849{col 45}{space 1}    3.90{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 170.8718{col 75}{space 3} 516.5205
{txt}{space 15}1949  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-21.34236{col 34}{space 2} 148.3207{col 45}{space 1}   -0.14{col 54}{space 3}0.886{col 62}{space 4}-312.3505{col 75}{space 3} 269.6658
{txt}{space 15}1950  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 497.8761{col 34}{space 2} 146.0751{col 45}{space 1}    3.41{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 211.2739{col 75}{space 3} 784.4783
{txt}{space 15}1951  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 320.9274{col 34}{space 2} 155.7829{col 45}{space 1}    2.06{col 54}{space 3}0.040{col 62}{space 4} 15.27822{col 75}{space 3} 626.5766
{txt}{space 15}1952  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  417.097{col 34}{space 2} 118.2808{col 45}{space 1}    3.53{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 185.0277{col 75}{space 3} 649.1663
{txt}{space 15}1953  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 363.8694{col 34}{space 2} 125.6029{col 45}{space 1}    2.90{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4} 117.4341{col 75}{space 3} 610.3048
{txt}{space 15}1954  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 130.9112{col 34}{space 2} 122.5933{col 45}{space 1}    1.07{col 54}{space 3}0.286{col 62}{space 4}-109.6193{col 75}{space 3} 371.4417
{txt}{space 15}1955  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 696.6842{col 34}{space 2} 105.8926{col 45}{space 1}    6.58{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 488.9207{col 75}{space 3} 904.4476
{txt}{space 15}1956  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 447.8756{col 34}{space 2} 153.6162{col 45}{space 1}    2.92{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4} 146.4776{col 75}{space 3} 749.2737
{txt}{space 15}1957  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 412.8414{col 34}{space 2} 141.4435{col 45}{space 1}    2.92{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4} 135.3264{col 75}{space 3} 690.3564
{txt}{space 15}1958  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 398.5443{col 34}{space 2} 118.6153{col 45}{space 1}    3.36{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 165.8187{col 75}{space 3} 631.2698
{txt}{space 15}1959  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 673.5412{col 34}{space 2} 106.7688{col 45}{space 1}    6.31{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 464.0587{col 75}{space 3} 883.0238
{txt}{space 15}1960  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 436.2765{col 34}{space 2} 156.0817{col 45}{space 1}    2.80{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4} 130.0411{col 75}{space 3} 742.5118
{txt}{space 15}1961  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  575.647{col 34}{space 2} 139.9928{col 45}{space 1}    4.11{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 300.9784{col 75}{space 3} 850.3156
{txt}{space 15}1962  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  854.599{col 34}{space 2} 142.9834{col 45}{space 1}    5.98{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 574.0627{col 75}{space 3} 1135.135
{txt}{space 15}1963  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 588.7263{col 34}{space 2} 156.1903{col 45}{space 1}    3.77{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 282.2778{col 75}{space 3} 895.1747
{txt}{space 15}1964  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 843.9374{col 34}{space 2} 146.4436{col 45}{space 1}    5.76{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 556.6122{col 75}{space 3} 1131.263
{txt}{space 15}1965  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 985.4163{col 34}{space 2} 173.3329{col 45}{space 1}    5.69{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 645.3338{col 75}{space 3} 1325.499
{txt}{space 15}1966  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 963.5899{col 34}{space 2} 180.1387{col 45}{space 1}    5.35{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 610.1542{col 75}{space 3} 1317.026
{txt}{space 15}1967  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1002.235{col 34}{space 2} 178.0228{col 45}{space 1}    5.63{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 652.9511{col 75}{space 3}  1351.52
{txt}{space 15}1968  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1137.759{col 34}{space 2} 182.1095{col 45}{space 1}    6.25{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 780.4566{col 75}{space 3} 1495.062
{txt}{space 15}1969  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1165.344{col 34}{space 2} 200.7235{col 45}{space 1}    5.81{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 771.5207{col 75}{space 3} 1559.168
{txt}{space 15}1970  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1042.423{col 34}{space 2} 208.2927{col 45}{space 1}    5.00{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 633.7481{col 75}{space 3} 1451.097
{txt}{space 15}1971  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1240.207{col 34}{space 2} 201.5737{col 45}{space 1}    6.15{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 844.7153{col 75}{space 3} 1635.699
{txt}{space 15}1972  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1567.77{col 34}{space 2} 224.2277{col 45}{space 1}    6.99{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1127.831{col 75}{space 3} 2007.709
{txt}{space 15}1973  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1668.332{col 34}{space 2} 280.8385{col 45}{space 1}    5.94{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1117.321{col 75}{space 3} 2219.343
{txt}{space 15}1974  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1012.916{col 34}{space 2} 244.3171{col 45}{space 1}    4.15{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 533.5614{col 75}{space 3} 1492.272
{txt}{space 15}1975  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1318.102{col 34}{space 2} 190.5276{col 45}{space 1}    6.92{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 944.2831{col 75}{space 3} 1691.921
{txt}{space 15}1976  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1556.977{col 34}{space 2} 220.0139{col 45}{space 1}    7.08{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1125.306{col 75}{space 3} 1988.649
{txt}{space 15}1977  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1398.857{col 34}{space 2} 287.6997{col 45}{space 1}    4.86{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 834.3843{col 75}{space 3} 1963.329
{txt}{space 15}1978  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1748.885{col 34}{space 2} 294.8861{col 45}{space 1}    5.93{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1170.313{col 75}{space 3} 2327.458
{txt}{space 15}1979  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1286.905{col 34}{space 2} 283.9788{col 45}{space 1}    4.53{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 729.7331{col 75}{space 3} 1844.077
{txt}{space 15}1980  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1117.344{col 34}{space 2} 241.1463{col 45}{space 1}    4.63{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 644.2099{col 75}{space 3} 1590.478
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1677.382{col 34}{space 2} 747.6436{col 45}{space 1}    2.24{col 54}{space 3}0.025{col 62}{space 4} 210.4904{col 75}{space 3} 3144.274
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallpre if year<=1980 & nonsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,089 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,  1155) ={res}   28.63
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY) *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,  1155) ={res}   14.34
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney +  l3.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney + L3D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.372298{col 26}{space 2} 1.884882{col 37}{space 1}    0.73{col 46}{space 3}0.467{col 54}{space 4}-2.325878{col 67}{space 3} 5.070473
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-5.495904{col 26}{space 2} 2.969035{col 37}{space 1}   -1.85{col 46}{space 3}0.064{col 54}{space 4}-11.31511{col 67}{space 3} .3232989
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. sum klarnerranney   if real_pc_inc_annhatallpre!=. & year <= 1980 & nonsouth==1, detail

         {txt}Annual Ranney Measure of State Legislative
               Partisan Balance (Klarner Data)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res}  7.89236       2.666667
{txt} 5%    {res}  25.6472       2.666667
{txt}10%    {res} 34.82143       4.966588       {txt}Obs         {res}      1,250
{txt}25%    {res} 52.38095       4.966588       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}      1,250

{txt}50%    {res} 72.41176                      {txt}Mean          {res} 68.14335
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 22.85849
{txt}75%    {res}  86.9281            100
{txt}90%    {res} 95.42857            100       {txt}Variance      {res} 522.5105
{txt}95%    {res} 98.21675            100       {txt}Skewness      {res} -.646602
{txt}99%    {res} 99.78022            100       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 2.656422
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS  OF klarnerranney ON real_pc_inc_ann:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD *
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*88  - (_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*57.88889

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*88 - (_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*57.88889

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-165.4878{col 26}{space 2} 89.40095{col 37}{space 1}   -1.85{col 46}{space 3}0.064{col 54}{space 4}-340.7104{col 67}{space 3} 9.734889
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
.  
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. qui reg d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l4.d.klarnerranney l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1  i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & nonsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}     1,250{col 27}-4935.192{col 38}-4726.702{col 49}    89{col 58} 9631.404{col 69} 10088.05
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. 
. newey d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l4.d.klarnerranney l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1  i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & nonsouth==1, lag(6) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     1,250
{txt}maximum lag: {res}6{col 49}{txt}F( 88,      1161){col 67}= {res}      3.84
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 16}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 17}{c |}{col 29}  Newey-West
{col 1}D.klarnerranney{col 17}{c |}      Coef.{col 29}   Std. Err.{col 41}      t{col 49}   P>|t|{col 57}     [95% Con{col 70}f. Interval]
{hline 16}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -.198194{col 29}{space 2} .0292534{col 40}{space 1}   -6.78{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-.2555894{col 70}{space 3}-.1407985
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0012876{col 29}{space 2} .0008686{col 40}{space 1}   -1.48{col 49}{space 3}0.138{col 57}{space 4}-.0029919{col 70}{space 3} .0004166
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0948254{col 29}{space 2} .0215474{col 40}{space 1}    4.40{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} .0525492{col 70}{space 3} .1371015
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}D1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0027675{col 29}{space 2}  .001281{col 40}{space 1}   -2.16{col 49}{space 3}0.031{col 57}{space 4} -.005281{col 70}{space 3}-.0002541
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.2700572{col 29}{space 2} .0482457{col 40}{space 1}   -5.60{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-.3647157{col 70}{space 3}-.1753987
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0000931{col 29}{space 2} .0014606{col 40}{space 1}    0.06{col 49}{space 3}0.949{col 57}{space 4}-.0027725{col 70}{space 3} .0029587
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L3D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0554111{col 29}{space 2} .0140777{col 40}{space 1}    3.94{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} .0277906{col 70}{space 3} .0830317
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0006506{col 29}{space 2} .0012306{col 40}{space 1}    0.53{col 49}{space 3}0.597{col 57}{space 4}-.0017638{col 70}{space 3}  .003065
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L4D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.1204038{col 29}{space 2} .0431831{col 40}{space 1}   -2.79{col 49}{space 3}0.005{col 57}{space 4}-.2051295{col 70}{space 3}-.0356781
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 11}L3D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0011072{col 29}{space 2} .0014681{col 40}{space 1}    0.75{col 49}{space 3}0.451{col 57}{space 4}-.0017733{col 70}{space 3} .0039877
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 6}gov_party {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.477599{col 29}{space 2} 1.129338{col 40}{space 1}    1.31{col 49}{space 3}0.191{col 57}{space 4}-.7381728{col 70}{space 3}  3.69337
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.216989{col 29}{space 2} .7642833{col 40}{space 1}   -1.59{col 49}{space 3}0.112{col 57}{space 4} -2.71652{col 70}{space 3}  .282542
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}dem_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.560678{col 29}{space 2} 1.728231{col 40}{space 1}   -0.90{col 49}{space 3}0.367{col 57}{space 4}-4.951484{col 70}{space 3} 1.830128
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .9965532{col 29}{space 2} 1.010177{col 40}{space 1}    0.99{col 49}{space 3}0.324{col 57}{space 4}-.9854243{col 70}{space 3} 2.978531
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}rep_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.000819{col 29}{space 2} 1.369341{col 40}{space 1}    1.46{col 49}{space 3}0.144{col 57}{space 4}-.6858416{col 70}{space 3}  4.68748
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.788508{col 29}{space 2} .8771383{col 40}{space 1}   -2.04{col 49}{space 3}0.042{col 57}{space 4}-3.509462{col 70}{space 3}-.0675548
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 1}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.5054946{col 29}{space 2} 1.439587{col 40}{space 1}   -0.35{col 49}{space 3}0.726{col 57}{space 4}-3.329978{col 70}{space 3} 2.318989
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.671932{col 29}{space 2} 4.308235{col 40}{space 1}   -1.08{col 49}{space 3}0.278{col 57}{space 4}-13.12473{col 70}{space 3} 3.780865
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 5}state_fips {c |}
{space 13}4  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-7.938017{col 29}{space 2} 5.339969{col 40}{space 1}   -1.49{col 49}{space 3}0.137{col 57}{space 4}-18.41509{col 70}{space 3} 2.539052
{txt}{space 13}6  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.512247{col 29}{space 2} 3.652802{col 40}{space 1}   -0.96{col 49}{space 3}0.336{col 57}{space 4}-10.67908{col 70}{space 3} 3.654586
{txt}{space 13}8  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.280938{col 29}{space 2} 4.555961{col 40}{space 1}   -0.94{col 49}{space 3}0.348{col 57}{space 4}-13.21978{col 70}{space 3}   4.6579
{txt}{space 13}9  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.541588{col 29}{space 2} 3.793557{col 40}{space 1}   -1.20{col 49}{space 3}0.231{col 57}{space 4}-11.98458{col 70}{space 3} 2.901406
{txt}{space 12}10  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.655961{col 29}{space 2} 3.808175{col 40}{space 1}   -0.96{col 49}{space 3}0.337{col 57}{space 4}-11.12764{col 70}{space 3} 3.815714
{txt}{space 12}15  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-8.221347{col 29}{space 2} 3.631328{col 40}{space 1}   -2.26{col 49}{space 3}0.024{col 57}{space 4}-15.34605{col 70}{space 3}-1.096647
{txt}{space 12}16  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-7.177835{col 29}{space 2}  5.44815{col 40}{space 1}   -1.32{col 49}{space 3}0.188{col 57}{space 4}-17.86716{col 70}{space 3} 3.511485
{txt}{space 12}17  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.065209{col 29}{space 2} 3.686415{col 40}{space 1}   -0.56{col 49}{space 3}0.575{col 57}{space 4} -9.29799{col 70}{space 3} 5.167573
{txt}{space 12}18  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.546892{col 29}{space 2} 4.984217{col 40}{space 1}   -1.11{col 49}{space 3}0.266{col 57}{space 4}-15.32597{col 70}{space 3} 4.232189
{txt}{space 12}19  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-8.664777{col 29}{space 2} 5.241033{col 40}{space 1}   -1.65{col 49}{space 3}0.099{col 57}{space 4}-18.94773{col 70}{space 3} 1.618179
{txt}{space 12}20  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-8.617425{col 29}{space 2} 5.372336{col 40}{space 1}   -1.60{col 49}{space 3}0.109{col 57}{space 4}  -19.158{col 70}{space 3} 1.923148
{txt}{space 12}21  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-12.22752{col 29}{space 2} 6.352598{col 40}{space 1}   -1.92{col 49}{space 3}0.054{col 57}{space 4}-24.69138{col 70}{space 3} .2363333
{txt}{space 12}23  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-9.427017{col 29}{space 2} 6.077411{col 40}{space 1}   -1.55{col 49}{space 3}0.121{col 57}{space 4}-21.35095{col 70}{space 3} 2.496921
{txt}{space 12}24  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -11.1902{col 29}{space 2} 4.503209{col 40}{space 1}   -2.48{col 49}{space 3}0.013{col 57}{space 4}-20.02554{col 70}{space 3}-2.354857
{txt}{space 12}25  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -7.64404{col 29}{space 2} 4.565559{col 40}{space 1}   -1.67{col 49}{space 3}0.094{col 57}{space 4}-16.60171{col 70}{space 3}  1.31363
{txt}{space 12}26  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.166791{col 29}{space 2} 4.380921{col 40}{space 1}   -0.95{col 49}{space 3}0.342{col 57}{space 4} -12.7622{col 70}{space 3} 4.428617
{txt}{space 12}27  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-6.168383{col 29}{space 2} 4.839732{col 40}{space 1}   -1.27{col 49}{space 3}0.203{col 57}{space 4}-15.66398{col 70}{space 3} 3.327217
{txt}{space 12}29  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-7.621975{col 29}{space 2} 4.969535{col 40}{space 1}   -1.53{col 49}{space 3}0.125{col 57}{space 4}-17.37225{col 70}{space 3}   2.1283
{txt}{space 12}30  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.885782{col 29}{space 2} 4.878425{col 40}{space 1}   -0.80{col 49}{space 3}0.426{col 57}{space 4} -13.4573{col 70}{space 3} 5.685733
{txt}{space 12}32  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.866653{col 29}{space 2} 4.191555{col 40}{space 1}   -0.68{col 49}{space 3}0.494{col 57}{space 4}-11.09052{col 70}{space 3} 5.357219
{txt}{space 12}33  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-8.182126{col 29}{space 2} 5.075721{col 40}{space 1}   -1.61{col 49}{space 3}0.107{col 57}{space 4}-18.14074{col 70}{space 3} 1.776485
{txt}{space 12}34  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.237359{col 29}{space 2} 3.969022{col 40}{space 1}   -1.32{col 49}{space 3}0.187{col 57}{space 4}-13.02462{col 70}{space 3} 2.549899
{txt}{space 12}35  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-11.73791{col 29}{space 2} 6.279322{col 40}{space 1}   -1.87{col 49}{space 3}0.062{col 57}{space 4}-24.05799{col 70}{space 3} .5821822
{txt}{space 12}36  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.871652{col 29}{space 2} 3.725414{col 40}{space 1}   -0.50{col 49}{space 3}0.615{col 57}{space 4}-9.180949{col 70}{space 3} 5.437645
{txt}{space 12}38  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-12.18787{col 29}{space 2}  6.26319{col 40}{space 1}   -1.95{col 49}{space 3}0.052{col 57}{space 4} -24.4763{col 70}{space 3}  .100571
{txt}{space 12}39  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.650547{col 29}{space 2} 4.566203{col 40}{space 1}   -1.24{col 49}{space 3}0.216{col 57}{space 4}-14.60948{col 70}{space 3} 3.308385
{txt}{space 12}40  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-14.08845{col 29}{space 2} 5.836773{col 40}{space 1}   -2.41{col 49}{space 3}0.016{col 57}{space 4}-25.54026{col 70}{space 3}-2.636651
{txt}{space 12}41  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.443121{col 29}{space 2} 4.777346{col 40}{space 1}   -1.14{col 49}{space 3}0.255{col 57}{space 4}-14.81632{col 70}{space 3} 3.930078
{txt}{space 12}42  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.425027{col 29}{space 2} 4.498488{col 40}{space 1}   -0.76{col 49}{space 3}0.447{col 57}{space 4} -12.2511{col 70}{space 3}  5.40105
{txt}{space 12}44  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-10.14387{col 29}{space 2} 4.985443{col 40}{space 1}   -2.03{col 49}{space 3}0.042{col 57}{space 4}-19.92536{col 70}{space 3}-.3623896
{txt}{space 12}46  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -10.3115{col 29}{space 2} 6.244683{col 40}{space 1}   -1.65{col 49}{space 3}0.099{col 57}{space 4}-22.56362{col 70}{space 3}  1.94063
{txt}{space 12}49  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-6.159403{col 29}{space 2} 5.794243{col 40}{space 1}   -1.06{col 49}{space 3}0.288{col 57}{space 4}-17.52776{col 70}{space 3} 5.208956
{txt}{space 12}50  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  -12.183{col 29}{space 2} 5.892861{col 40}{space 1}   -2.07{col 49}{space 3}0.039{col 57}{space 4}-23.74485{col 70}{space 3}-.6211526
{txt}{space 12}53  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.858487{col 29}{space 2} 4.421451{col 40}{space 1}   -0.42{col 49}{space 3}0.674{col 57}{space 4}-10.53341{col 70}{space 3} 6.816441
{txt}{space 12}54  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-12.22389{col 29}{space 2} 6.365921{col 40}{space 1}   -1.92{col 49}{space 3}0.055{col 57}{space 4}-24.71389{col 70}{space 3} .2661038
{txt}{space 12}55  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-6.038385{col 29}{space 2} 4.798923{col 40}{space 1}   -1.26{col 49}{space 3}0.209{col 57}{space 4}-15.45392{col 70}{space 3} 3.377147
{txt}{space 12}56  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.683379{col 29}{space 2} 4.437197{col 40}{space 1}   -1.28{col 49}{space 3}0.201{col 57}{space 4} -14.3892{col 70}{space 3} 3.022444
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 11}year {c |}
{space 10}1948  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 7.490299{col 29}{space 2} 2.809773{col 40}{space 1}    2.67{col 49}{space 3}0.008{col 57}{space 4} 1.977498{col 70}{space 3}  13.0031
{txt}{space 10}1949  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 22.16281{col 29}{space 2} 4.873522{col 40}{space 1}    4.55{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 12.60091{col 70}{space 3} 31.72471
{txt}{space 10}1950  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 10.10131{col 29}{space 2} 3.330025{col 40}{space 1}    3.03{col 49}{space 3}0.002{col 57}{space 4} 3.567774{col 70}{space 3} 16.63485
{txt}{space 10}1951  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 8.655312{col 29}{space 2} 3.521369{col 40}{space 1}    2.46{col 49}{space 3}0.014{col 57}{space 4} 1.746354{col 70}{space 3} 15.56427
{txt}{space 10}1952  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 9.144627{col 29}{space 2} 3.132466{col 40}{space 1}    2.92{col 49}{space 3}0.004{col 57}{space 4} 2.998699{col 70}{space 3} 15.29056
{txt}{space 10}1953  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 6.918676{col 29}{space 2}  4.20647{col 40}{space 1}    1.64{col 49}{space 3}0.100{col 57}{space 4}-1.334457{col 70}{space 3} 15.17181
{txt}{space 10}1954  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 8.825556{col 29}{space 2} 3.138819{col 40}{space 1}    2.81{col 49}{space 3}0.005{col 57}{space 4} 2.667163{col 70}{space 3} 14.98395
{txt}{space 10}1955  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 15.23833{col 29}{space 2} 3.682585{col 40}{space 1}    4.14{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 8.013061{col 70}{space 3} 22.46359
{txt}{space 10}1956  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 11.15683{col 29}{space 2} 3.276728{col 40}{space 1}    3.40{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 4.727861{col 70}{space 3}  17.5858
{txt}{space 10}1957  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 17.11385{col 29}{space 2} 4.130842{col 40}{space 1}    4.14{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 9.009102{col 70}{space 3}  25.2186
{txt}{space 10}1958  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 11.76432{col 29}{space 2} 3.249835{col 40}{space 1}    3.62{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 5.388108{col 70}{space 3} 18.14052
{txt}{space 10}1959  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 15.24555{col 29}{space 2} 4.566904{col 40}{space 1}    3.34{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 6.285245{col 70}{space 3} 24.20586
{txt}{space 10}1960  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.17872{col 29}{space 2} 3.441959{col 40}{space 1}    3.83{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.425568{col 70}{space 3} 19.93188
{txt}{space 10}1961  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  13.5405{col 29}{space 2} 4.136045{col 40}{space 1}    3.27{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 5.425539{col 70}{space 3} 21.65546
{txt}{space 10}1962  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 14.20522{col 29}{space 2} 3.498934{col 40}{space 1}    4.06{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 7.340277{col 70}{space 3} 21.07016
{txt}{space 10}1963  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 14.14668{col 29}{space 2}  3.72418{col 40}{space 1}    3.80{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.839803{col 70}{space 3} 21.45355
{txt}{space 10}1964  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 14.42054{col 29}{space 2} 3.587068{col 40}{space 1}    4.02{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 7.382677{col 70}{space 3}  21.4584
{txt}{space 10}1965  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 16.31556{col 29}{space 2} 4.329917{col 40}{space 1}    3.77{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 7.820218{col 70}{space 3} 24.81089
{txt}{space 10}1966  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 15.26783{col 29}{space 2} 3.828095{col 40}{space 1}    3.99{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 7.757072{col 70}{space 3} 22.77859
{txt}{space 10}1967  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 18.89063{col 29}{space 2} 5.461292{col 40}{space 1}    3.46{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 8.175524{col 70}{space 3} 29.60574
{txt}{space 10}1968  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  16.1523{col 29}{space 2} 4.118803{col 40}{space 1}    3.92{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 8.071167{col 70}{space 3} 24.23343
{txt}{space 10}1969  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 16.67074{col 29}{space 2} 4.721718{col 40}{space 1}    3.53{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 7.406686{col 70}{space 3}  25.9348
{txt}{space 10}1970  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 15.75354{col 29}{space 2}    4.229{col 40}{space 1}    3.73{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 7.456202{col 70}{space 3} 24.05088
{txt}{space 10}1971  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 21.46232{col 29}{space 2} 4.755184{col 40}{space 1}    4.51{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 12.13261{col 70}{space 3} 30.79204
{txt}{space 10}1972  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 19.04134{col 29}{space 2} 4.899816{col 40}{space 1}    3.89{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 9.427855{col 70}{space 3} 28.65482
{txt}{space 10}1973  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 20.43021{col 29}{space 2} 5.374002{col 40}{space 1}    3.80{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 9.886365{col 70}{space 3} 30.97405
{txt}{space 10}1974  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 17.04041{col 29}{space 2} 5.101126{col 40}{space 1}    3.34{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 7.031953{col 70}{space 3} 27.04887
{txt}{space 10}1975  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 14.33541{col 29}{space 2} 6.032263{col 40}{space 1}    2.38{col 49}{space 3}0.018{col 57}{space 4} 2.500049{col 70}{space 3} 26.17076
{txt}{space 10}1976  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 18.99211{col 29}{space 2} 5.635431{col 40}{space 1}    3.37{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 7.935342{col 70}{space 3} 30.04888
{txt}{space 10}1977  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 18.43494{col 29}{space 2} 6.032602{col 40}{space 1}    3.06{col 49}{space 3}0.002{col 57}{space 4} 6.598916{col 70}{space 3} 30.27096
{txt}{space 10}1978  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 20.88213{col 29}{space 2} 5.965049{col 40}{space 1}    3.50{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 9.178644{col 70}{space 3} 32.58561
{txt}{space 10}1979  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 19.67074{col 29}{space 2} 5.988327{col 40}{space 1}    3.28{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4}  7.92159{col 70}{space 3}  31.4199
{txt}{space 10}1980  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  18.8465{col 29}{space 2} 5.948126{col 40}{space 1}    3.17{col 49}{space 3}0.002{col 57}{space 4} 7.176224{col 70}{space 3} 30.51678
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 10}_cons {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 16.86341{col 29}{space 2} 10.45841{col 40}{space 1}    1.61{col 49}{space 3}0.107{col 57}{space 4}  -3.6561{col 70}{space 3} 37.38291
{txt}{hline 16}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict klarnerranneyhatallpre if year<=1980 & nonsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,089 missing values generated)

{com}. 
.  
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,  1161) ={res}   45.90
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY) *
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,  1161) ={res}   23.09
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann + L3D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0009166{col 26}{space 2} .0029967{col 37}{space 1}   -0.31{col 46}{space 3}0.760{col 54}{space 4}-.0067961{col 67}{space 3} .0049629
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0064969{col 26}{space 2} .0043503{col 37}{space 1}   -1.49{col 46}{space 3}0.135{col 54}{space 4}-.0150233{col 67}{space 3} .0020296
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. sum real_pc_inc_ann   if klarnerranneyhatallpre!=. & year<=1980 & nonsouth==1, detail

        {txt}Per Capita Annual Income (1982-1984 Constant
                          Dollars)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 4601.759       3832.054
{txt} 5%    {res} 5363.201       3900.359
{txt}10%    {res} 5907.316       4075.713       {txt}Obs         {res}      1,250
{txt}25%    {res} 6965.924       4098.735       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}      1,250

{txt}50%    {res}  8751.66                      {txt}Mean          {res} 9040.647
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 2605.205
{txt}75%    {res} 10904.78       19154.27
{txt}90%    {res} 12653.53       19819.19       {txt}Variance      {res}  6787095
{txt}95%    {res} 13450.98       20438.71       {txt}Skewness      {res} .5399019
{txt}99%    {res} 14770.05       21278.61       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 3.191341
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS  OF  real_pc_inc_ann ON klarnerranney:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD 
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*11116.22   -  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*7127.247 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*11116.22 - (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*7127.247

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-25.91587{col 26}{space 2} 17.35328{col 37}{space 1}   -1.49{col 46}{space 3}0.135{col 54}{space 4}-59.92768{col 67}{space 3} 8.095942
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
.   
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. // (4,3)  MODEL
. 
. 
. 
. *** I.C: NON-SOUTHERN STATES (N = 35): POST-PARTISAN ALIGNMENT TIME PERIOD (1981 - 2010) ***
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified   i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & nonsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}     1,138{col 27} -8419.24{col 38}-7871.312{col 49}    89{col 58} 15920.62{col 69} 16368.92
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified   i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & nonsouth==1, lag(5) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     1,138
{txt}maximum lag: {res}5{col 49}{txt}F( 88,      1049){col 67}= {res}     30.67
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0918948{col 34}{space 2} .0146573{col 45}{space 1}   -6.27{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-.1206558{col 75}{space 3}-.0631337
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.032886{col 34}{space 2} .9043164{col 45}{space 1}    1.14{col 54}{space 3}0.254{col 62}{space 4}-.7415893{col 75}{space 3} 2.807361
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2986191{col 34}{space 2} .0573675{col 45}{space 1}    5.21{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} .1860511{col 75}{space 3} .4111872
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.867045{col 34}{space 2} 1.322475{col 45}{space 1}   -1.41{col 54}{space 3}0.158{col 62}{space 4}-4.462041{col 75}{space 3} .7279518
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  .092597{col 34}{space 2} .0575129{col 45}{space 1}    1.61{col 54}{space 3}0.108{col 62}{space 4}-.0202563{col 75}{space 3} .2054504
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0293348{col 34}{space 2} 1.324249{col 45}{space 1}    0.02{col 54}{space 3}0.982{col 62}{space 4}-2.569144{col 75}{space 3} 2.627813
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0497131{col 34}{space 2} .0432503{col 45}{space 1}   -1.15{col 54}{space 3}0.251{col 62}{space 4}  -.13458{col 75}{space 3} .0351538
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.3965043{col 34}{space 2}  1.07829{col 45}{space 1}   -0.37{col 54}{space 3}0.713{col 62}{space 4}-2.512355{col 75}{space 3} 1.719347
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-386.1183{col 34}{space 2} 579.4354{col 45}{space 1}   -0.67{col 54}{space 3}0.505{col 62}{space 4}-1523.103{col 75}{space 3} 750.8661
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-459.5151{col 34}{space 2} 645.6495{col 45}{space 1}   -0.71{col 54}{space 3}0.477{col 62}{space 4}-1726.427{col 75}{space 3} 807.3963
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 190.8122{col 34}{space 2} 153.1425{col 45}{space 1}    1.25{col 54}{space 3}0.213{col 62}{space 4}-109.6884{col 75}{space 3} 491.3127
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-136.0815{col 34}{space 2} 154.2371{col 45}{space 1}   -0.88{col 54}{space 3}0.378{col 62}{space 4}  -438.73{col 75}{space 3} 166.5669
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-126.8852{col 34}{space 2} 362.8938{col 45}{space 1}   -0.35{col 54}{space 3}0.727{col 62}{space 4}-838.9656{col 75}{space 3} 585.1953
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1204.975{col 34}{space 2} 577.6353{col 45}{space 1}   -2.09{col 54}{space 3}0.037{col 62}{space 4}-2338.427{col 75}{space 3}-71.52236
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  9188.71{col 34}{space 2}  2281.32{col 45}{space 1}    4.03{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  4712.24{col 75}{space 3} 13665.18
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 5147.873{col 34}{space 2} 1810.966{col 45}{space 1}    2.84{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4} 1594.346{col 75}{space 3} 8701.401
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-40.89414{col 34}{space 2} 25.43677{col 45}{space 1}   -1.61{col 54}{space 3}0.108{col 62}{space 4}-90.80688{col 75}{space 3} 9.018611
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 27.15255{col 34}{space 2} 29.11732{col 45}{space 1}    0.93{col 54}{space 3}0.351{col 62}{space 4}-29.98227{col 75}{space 3} 84.28737
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 32.31801{col 34}{space 2} 28.60989{col 45}{space 1}    1.13{col 54}{space 3}0.259{col 62}{space 4}-23.82112{col 75}{space 3} 88.45714
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-31.08537{col 34}{space 2} 29.01329{col 45}{space 1}   -1.07{col 54}{space 3}0.284{col 62}{space 4}-88.01606{col 75}{space 3} 25.84533
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-26.91165{col 34}{space 2} 29.41311{col 45}{space 1}   -0.91{col 54}{space 3}0.360{col 62}{space 4}-84.62687{col 75}{space 3} 30.80358
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 62.19534{col 34}{space 2} 33.70544{col 45}{space 1}    1.85{col 54}{space 3}0.065{col 62}{space 4} -3.94242{col 75}{space 3} 128.3331
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 18}4  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-418.0738{col 34}{space 2} 166.3134{col 45}{space 1}   -2.51{col 54}{space 3}0.012{col 62}{space 4}-744.4186{col 75}{space 3}-91.72902
{txt}{space 18}6  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 37.98755{col 34}{space 2} 92.48358{col 45}{space 1}    0.41{col 54}{space 3}0.681{col 62}{space 4}-143.4863{col 75}{space 3} 219.4614
{txt}{space 18}8  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 28.71647{col 34}{space 2}  80.6878{col 45}{space 1}    0.36{col 54}{space 3}0.722{col 62}{space 4}-129.6114{col 75}{space 3} 187.0443
{txt}{space 18}9  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 445.8644{col 34}{space 2} 104.7147{col 45}{space 1}    4.26{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 240.3902{col 75}{space 3} 651.3385
{txt}{space 17}10  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-13.33776{col 34}{space 2} 72.49302{col 45}{space 1}   -0.18{col 54}{space 3}0.854{col 62}{space 4}-155.5856{col 75}{space 3} 128.9101
{txt}{space 17}15  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 31.90882{col 34}{space 2} 96.81927{col 45}{space 1}    0.33{col 54}{space 3}0.742{col 62}{space 4}-158.0727{col 75}{space 3} 221.8903
{txt}{space 17}16  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-191.1176{col 34}{space 2} 180.3197{col 45}{space 1}   -1.06{col 54}{space 3}0.289{col 62}{space 4}-544.9459{col 75}{space 3} 162.7108
{txt}{space 17}17  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-6.049247{col 34}{space 2} 81.67138{col 45}{space 1}   -0.07{col 54}{space 3}0.941{col 62}{space 4}-166.3071{col 75}{space 3} 154.2086
{txt}{space 17}18  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-249.2509{col 34}{space 2} 84.25802{col 45}{space 1}   -2.96{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4}-414.5844{col 75}{space 3}-83.91745
{txt}{space 17}19  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-112.7104{col 34}{space 2} 189.0695{col 45}{space 1}   -0.60{col 54}{space 3}0.551{col 62}{space 4}-483.7079{col 75}{space 3}  258.287
{txt}{space 17}20  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-198.9842{col 34}{space 2} 169.8614{col 45}{space 1}   -1.17{col 54}{space 3}0.242{col 62}{space 4}-532.2911{col 75}{space 3} 134.3227
{txt}{space 17}21  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -291.945{col 34}{space 2} 106.0889{col 45}{space 1}   -2.75{col 54}{space 3}0.006{col 62}{space 4}-500.1155{col 75}{space 3}-83.77442
{txt}{space 17}23  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-249.4453{col 34}{space 2} 97.88815{col 45}{space 1}   -2.55{col 54}{space 3}0.011{col 62}{space 4}-441.5242{col 75}{space 3} -57.3664
{txt}{space 17}24  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 212.8089{col 34}{space 2} 87.65179{col 45}{space 1}    2.43{col 54}{space 3}0.015{col 62}{space 4} 40.81607{col 75}{space 3} 384.8017
{txt}{space 17}25  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 298.4839{col 34}{space 2} 109.7597{col 45}{space 1}    2.72{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4} 83.11036{col 75}{space 3} 513.8575
{txt}{space 17}26  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -231.334{col 34}{space 2} 94.91164{col 45}{space 1}   -2.44{col 54}{space 3}0.015{col 62}{space 4}-417.5722{col 75}{space 3}-45.09571
{txt}{space 17}27  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 64.86108{col 34}{space 2} 81.43034{col 45}{space 1}    0.80{col 54}{space 3}0.426{col 62}{space 4}-94.92382{col 75}{space 3}  224.646
{txt}{space 17}29  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-194.4915{col 34}{space 2} 81.59803{col 45}{space 1}   -2.38{col 54}{space 3}0.017{col 62}{space 4}-354.6054{col 75}{space 3}-34.37753
{txt}{space 17}30  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-225.2593{col 34}{space 2} 100.7037{col 45}{space 1}   -2.24{col 54}{space 3}0.026{col 62}{space 4}-422.8629{col 75}{space 3}-27.65572
{txt}{space 17}32  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-328.4288{col 34}{space 2} 173.3234{col 45}{space 1}   -1.89{col 54}{space 3}0.058{col 62}{space 4}-668.5287{col 75}{space 3} 11.67116
{txt}{space 17}33  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 52.28496{col 34}{space 2}  84.5747{col 45}{space 1}    0.62{col 54}{space 3}0.537{col 62}{space 4}-113.6699{col 75}{space 3} 218.2398
{txt}{space 17}34  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 285.7369{col 34}{space 2} 87.00576{col 45}{space 1}    3.28{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 115.0118{col 75}{space 3} 456.4621
{txt}{space 17}35  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-342.6045{col 34}{space 2} 95.37387{col 45}{space 1}   -3.59{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-529.7497{col 75}{space 3}-155.4592
{txt}{space 17}36  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 175.2223{col 34}{space 2} 96.11972{col 45}{space 1}    1.82{col 54}{space 3}0.069{col 62}{space 4}-13.38655{col 75}{space 3} 363.8311
{txt}{space 17}38  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 255.8741{col 34}{space 2} 122.6447{col 45}{space 1}    2.09{col 54}{space 3}0.037{col 62}{space 4} 15.21723{col 75}{space 3}  496.531
{txt}{space 17}39  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-213.2958{col 34}{space 2} 81.08321{col 45}{space 1}   -2.63{col 54}{space 3}0.009{col 62}{space 4}-372.3996{col 75}{space 3}-54.19207
{txt}{space 17}40  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-474.9693{col 34}{space 2}  165.611{col 45}{space 1}   -2.87{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4}-799.9358{col 75}{space 3}-150.0029
{txt}{space 17}41  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-170.2468{col 34}{space 2} 79.20812{col 45}{space 1}   -2.15{col 54}{space 3}0.032{col 62}{space 4}-325.6712{col 75}{space 3}-14.82241
{txt}{space 17}42  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-110.3104{col 34}{space 2} 83.21614{col 45}{space 1}   -1.33{col 54}{space 3}0.185{col 62}{space 4}-273.5994{col 75}{space 3} 52.97869
{txt}{space 17}44  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-48.62126{col 34}{space 2} 99.66889{col 45}{space 1}   -0.49{col 54}{space 3}0.626{col 62}{space 4}-244.1944{col 75}{space 3} 146.9518
{txt}{space 17}46  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 176.6319{col 34}{space 2} 240.5568{col 45}{space 1}    0.73{col 54}{space 3}0.463{col 62}{space 4}-295.3954{col 75}{space 3} 648.6592
{txt}{space 17}49  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-559.6691{col 34}{space 2} 166.0303{col 45}{space 1}   -3.37{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-885.4583{col 75}{space 3}-233.8799
{txt}{space 17}50  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-115.0947{col 34}{space 2} 84.81377{col 45}{space 1}   -1.36{col 54}{space 3}0.175{col 62}{space 4}-281.5187{col 75}{space 3} 51.32925
{txt}{space 17}53  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 30.41702{col 34}{space 2} 73.05142{col 45}{space 1}    0.42{col 54}{space 3}0.677{col 62}{space 4}-112.9265{col 75}{space 3} 173.7606
{txt}{space 17}54  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-476.0571{col 34}{space 2} 112.8812{col 45}{space 1}   -4.22{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-697.5557{col 75}{space 3}-254.5585
{txt}{space 17}55  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-136.9337{col 34}{space 2} 79.32322{col 45}{space 1}   -1.73{col 54}{space 3}0.085{col 62}{space 4} -292.584{col 75}{space 3} 18.71653
{txt}{space 17}56  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-181.8739{col 34}{space 2}  208.127{col 45}{space 1}   -0.87{col 54}{space 3}0.382{col 62}{space 4}-590.2665{col 75}{space 3} 226.5188
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1982  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-75.98666{col 34}{space 2} 57.62989{col 45}{space 1}   -1.32{col 54}{space 3}0.188{col 62}{space 4}-189.0696{col 75}{space 3} 37.09632
{txt}{space 15}1983  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-12.30971{col 34}{space 2} 80.09058{col 45}{space 1}   -0.15{col 54}{space 3}0.878{col 62}{space 4}-169.4657{col 75}{space 3} 144.8463
{txt}{space 15}1984  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 316.2975{col 34}{space 2} 53.07408{col 45}{space 1}    5.96{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  212.154{col 75}{space 3}  420.441
{txt}{space 15}1985  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  31.2152{col 34}{space 2} 60.83667{col 45}{space 1}    0.51{col 54}{space 3}0.608{col 62}{space 4}-88.16021{col 75}{space 3} 150.5906
{txt}{space 15}1986  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 159.2798{col 34}{space 2} 62.64247{col 45}{space 1}    2.54{col 54}{space 3}0.011{col 62}{space 4}   36.361{col 75}{space 3} 282.1986
{txt}{space 15}1987  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 68.85271{col 34}{space 2} 62.25804{col 45}{space 1}    1.11{col 54}{space 3}0.269{col 62}{space 4}-53.31175{col 75}{space 3} 191.0172
{txt}{space 15}1988  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 228.5934{col 34}{space 2} 68.50503{col 45}{space 1}    3.34{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 94.17091{col 75}{space 3} 363.0159
{txt}{space 15}1989  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 231.8815{col 34}{space 2} 65.34652{col 45}{space 1}    3.55{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 103.6567{col 75}{space 3} 360.1063
{txt}{space 15}1990  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-82.36115{col 34}{space 2} 73.45943{col 45}{space 1}   -1.12{col 54}{space 3}0.262{col 62}{space 4}-226.5053{col 75}{space 3}   61.783
{txt}{space 15}1991  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-124.0993{col 34}{space 2} 63.62474{col 45}{space 1}   -1.95{col 54}{space 3}0.051{col 62}{space 4}-248.9456{col 75}{space 3} .7468952
{txt}{space 15}1992  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 383.2904{col 34}{space 2} 57.43527{col 45}{space 1}    6.67{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 270.5893{col 75}{space 3} 495.9915
{txt}{space 15}1993  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 34.11883{col 34}{space 2} 71.34401{col 45}{space 1}    0.48{col 54}{space 3}0.633{col 62}{space 4}-105.8744{col 75}{space 3} 174.1121
{txt}{space 15}1994  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 262.9227{col 34}{space 2} 70.43958{col 45}{space 1}    3.73{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 124.7042{col 75}{space 3} 401.1412
{txt}{space 15}1995  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 164.6126{col 34}{space 2} 69.39274{col 45}{space 1}    2.37{col 54}{space 3}0.018{col 62}{space 4} 28.44821{col 75}{space 3}  300.777
{txt}{space 15}1996  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 264.5525{col 34}{space 2} 75.15023{col 45}{space 1}    3.52{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 117.0906{col 75}{space 3} 412.0143
{txt}{space 15}1997  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  365.595{col 34}{space 2} 72.34262{col 45}{space 1}    5.05{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 223.6423{col 75}{space 3} 507.5477
{txt}{space 15}1998  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 702.7285{col 34}{space 2} 82.21866{col 45}{space 1}    8.55{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 541.3967{col 75}{space 3} 864.0603
{txt}{space 15}1999  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 215.2947{col 34}{space 2} 91.13054{col 45}{space 1}    2.36{col 54}{space 3}0.018{col 62}{space 4} 36.47576{col 75}{space 3} 394.1136
{txt}{space 15}2000  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 652.3686{col 34}{space 2} 94.90364{col 45}{space 1}    6.87{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  466.146{col 75}{space 3} 838.5912
{txt}{space 15}2001  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 218.1105{col 34}{space 2} 105.4282{col 45}{space 1}    2.07{col 54}{space 3}0.039{col 62}{space 4} 11.23644{col 75}{space 3} 424.9846
{txt}{space 15}2002  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 165.8131{col 34}{space 2} 96.00353{col 45}{space 1}    1.73{col 54}{space 3}0.084{col 62}{space 4}-22.56776{col 75}{space 3} 354.1939
{txt}{space 15}2003  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 351.7914{col 34}{space 2} 88.22086{col 45}{space 1}    3.99{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 178.6819{col 75}{space 3} 524.9008
{txt}{space 15}2004  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 671.3252{col 34}{space 2} 101.3563{col 45}{space 1}    6.62{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  472.441{col 75}{space 3} 870.2095
{txt}{space 15}2005  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 344.6838{col 34}{space 2} 111.3745{col 45}{space 1}    3.09{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 126.1417{col 75}{space 3}  563.226
{txt}{space 15}2006  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 814.3882{col 34}{space 2} 119.8449{col 45}{space 1}    6.80{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 579.2252{col 75}{space 3} 1049.551
{txt}{space 15}2007  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 535.9045{col 34}{space 2} 120.3051{col 45}{space 1}    4.45{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 299.8385{col 75}{space 3} 771.9705
{txt}{space 15}2008  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  382.564{col 34}{space 2} 134.4731{col 45}{space 1}    2.84{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4} 118.6971{col 75}{space 3}  646.431
{txt}{space 15}2009  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-413.4992{col 34}{space 2} 121.0736{col 45}{space 1}   -3.42{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-651.0732{col 75}{space 3}-175.9252
{txt}{space 15}2010  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 767.9664{col 34}{space 2} 105.3327{col 45}{space 1}    7.29{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 561.2796{col 75}{space 3} 974.6532
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-7736.385{col 34}{space 2} 2269.581{col 45}{space 1}   -3.41{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-12189.82{col 75}{space 3}-3282.949
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallpost if year>1980 & nonsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,201 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,  1049) ={res}   39.31
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY) *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,  1049) ={res}   20.65
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom   d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.234214{col 26}{space 2} 2.277082{col 37}{space 1}   -0.98{col 46}{space 3}0.327{col 54}{space 4}-6.702368{col 67}{space 3} 2.233939
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 11.23987{col 26}{space 2} 10.07703{col 37}{space 1}    1.12{col 46}{space 3}0.265{col 54}{space 4}-8.510744{col 67}{space 3} 30.99049
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. sum klarnerranney   if  real_pc_inc_annhatallpost!=. & year > 1980 & nonsouth==1, detail

         {txt}Annual Ranney Measure of State Legislative
               Partisan Balance (Klarner Data)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 21.82353       19.76471
{txt} 5%    {res} 31.78947       19.76471
{txt}10%    {res} 41.56863       19.84314       {txt}Obs         {res}      1,138
{txt}25%    {res} 62.85714       19.84314       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}      1,138

{txt}50%    {res}    81.25                      {txt}Mean          {res} 74.99836
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 20.07013
{txt}75%    {res}       91            100
{txt}90%    {res} 96.66667            100       {txt}Variance      {res} 402.8101
{txt}95%    {res}       98            100       {txt}Skewness      {res}-.9416469
{txt}99%    {res} 99.43503            100       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 3.018829
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS  OF klarnerranney ON real_pc_inc_ann:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD *
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*91.25554  -  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*65.40031 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*91.25554 - (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*65.40031

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 290.6095{col 26}{space 2} 260.5439{col 37}{space 1}    1.12{col 46}{space 3}0.265{col 54}{space 4}-220.0473{col 67}{space 3} 801.2662
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. qui reg d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & nonsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}     1,138{col 27} -3843.04{col 38}-3740.085{col 49}    83{col 58}  7646.17{col 69} 8064.243
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. newey d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & nonsouth==1, lag(5) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     1,138
{txt}maximum lag: {res}5{col 49}{txt}F( 82,      1055){col 67}= {res}      2.43
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 16}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 17}{c |}{col 29}  Newey-West
{col 1}D.klarnerranney{col 17}{c |}      Coef.{col 29}   Std. Err.{col 41}      t{col 49}   P>|t|{col 57}     [95% Con{col 70}f. Interval]
{hline 16}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.2245687{col 29}{space 2}  .028832{col 40}{space 1}   -7.79{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-.2811433{col 70}{space 3}-.1679941
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0003297{col 29}{space 2} .0003352{col 40}{space 1}   -0.98{col 49}{space 3}0.326{col 57}{space 4}-.0009875{col 70}{space 3} .0003281
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0556222{col 29}{space 2}  .025046{col 40}{space 1}    2.22{col 49}{space 3}0.027{col 57}{space 4} .0064766{col 70}{space 3} .1047679
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}D1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0013798{col 29}{space 2} .0008577{col 40}{space 1}   -1.61{col 49}{space 3}0.108{col 57}{space 4}-.0030628{col 70}{space 3} .0003032
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0105533{col 29}{space 2} .0377726{col 40}{space 1}    0.28{col 49}{space 3}0.780{col 57}{space 4}-.0635647{col 70}{space 3} .0846713
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0001105{col 29}{space 2} .0008468{col 40}{space 1}    0.13{col 49}{space 3}0.896{col 57}{space 4}-.0015512{col 70}{space 3} .0017721
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L3D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0044507{col 29}{space 2} .0248898{col 40}{space 1}    0.18{col 49}{space 3}0.858{col 57}{space 4}-.0443884{col 70}{space 3} .0532899
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0003226{col 29}{space 2} .0012842{col 40}{space 1}    0.25{col 49}{space 3}0.802{col 57}{space 4}-.0021973{col 70}{space 3} .0028425
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 6}gov_party {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .8805084{col 29}{space 2} .6489656{col 40}{space 1}    1.36{col 49}{space 3}0.175{col 57}{space 4}-.3929018{col 70}{space 3} 2.153918
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.176202{col 29}{space 2} .5834146{col 40}{space 1}   -2.02{col 49}{space 3}0.044{col 57}{space 4}-2.320987{col 70}{space 3}-.0314173
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}dem_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.361346{col 29}{space 2} .9632424{col 40}{space 1}    1.41{col 49}{space 3}0.158{col 57}{space 4} -.528743{col 70}{space 3} 3.251435
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.5116983{col 29}{space 2} .7661139{col 40}{space 1}   -0.67{col 49}{space 3}0.504{col 57}{space 4}-2.014979{col 70}{space 3}  .991582
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}rep_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.804692{col 29}{space 2} .9312581{col 40}{space 1}    1.94{col 49}{space 3}0.053{col 57}{space 4}-.0226373{col 70}{space 3}  3.63202
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.046805{col 29}{space 2} .7607455{col 40}{space 1}   -2.69{col 49}{space 3}0.007{col 57}{space 4}-3.539551{col 70}{space 3}-.5540586
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 1}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.252692{col 29}{space 2} 1.633413{col 40}{space 1}   -1.38{col 49}{space 3}0.168{col 57}{space 4}  -5.4578{col 70}{space 3} .9524166
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 3.218918{col 29}{space 2} 1.600823{col 40}{space 1}    2.01{col 49}{space 3}0.045{col 57}{space 4} .0777583{col 70}{space 3} 6.360077
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 5}state_fips {c |}
{space 13}4  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -2.84396{col 29}{space 2} 2.576926{col 40}{space 1}   -1.10{col 49}{space 3}0.270{col 57}{space 4}-7.900443{col 70}{space 3} 2.212523
{txt}{space 13}6  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.9530996{col 29}{space 2} 2.214061{col 40}{space 1}   -0.43{col 49}{space 3}0.667{col 57}{space 4}-5.297563{col 70}{space 3} 3.391364
{txt}{space 13}8  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.020013{col 29}{space 2}  2.43276{col 40}{space 1}   -0.42{col 49}{space 3}0.675{col 57}{space 4}-5.793611{col 70}{space 3} 3.753586
{txt}{space 13}9  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0699218{col 29}{space 2} 2.361531{col 40}{space 1}   -0.03{col 49}{space 3}0.976{col 57}{space 4}-4.703754{col 70}{space 3} 4.563911
{txt}{space 12}10  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .7980931{col 29}{space 2} 2.210039{col 40}{space 1}    0.36{col 49}{space 3}0.718{col 57}{space 4}-3.538479{col 70}{space 3} 5.134665
{txt}{space 12}15  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-13.39732{col 29}{space 2} 2.920341{col 40}{space 1}   -4.59{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-19.12766{col 70}{space 3}-7.666987
{txt}{space 12}16  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-8.655907{col 29}{space 2} 3.930423{col 40}{space 1}   -2.20{col 49}{space 3}0.028{col 57}{space 4}-16.36824{col 70}{space 3}-.9435715
{txt}{space 12}17  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.230376{col 29}{space 2} 2.169941{col 40}{space 1}    0.57{col 49}{space 3}0.571{col 57}{space 4}-3.027515{col 70}{space 3} 5.488268
{txt}{space 12}18  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.921112{col 29}{space 2} 2.633016{col 40}{space 1}   -0.73{col 49}{space 3}0.466{col 57}{space 4}-7.087655{col 70}{space 3} 3.245431
{txt}{space 12}19  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.4101746{col 29}{space 2} 2.479089{col 40}{space 1}   -0.17{col 49}{space 3}0.869{col 57}{space 4}-5.274681{col 70}{space 3} 4.454332
{txt}{space 12}20  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -5.01474{col 29}{space 2} 2.634648{col 40}{space 1}   -1.90{col 49}{space 3}0.057{col 57}{space 4}-10.18449{col 70}{space 3} .1550049
{txt}{space 12}21  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.752781{col 29}{space 2}  3.92512{col 40}{space 1}   -0.45{col 49}{space 3}0.655{col 57}{space 4}-9.454711{col 70}{space 3} 5.949149
{txt}{space 12}23  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.060496{col 29}{space 2} 2.768712{col 40}{space 1}   -0.38{col 49}{space 3}0.702{col 57}{space 4}-6.493304{col 70}{space 3} 4.372311
{txt}{space 12}24  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-9.177339{col 29}{space 2} 2.961366{col 40}{space 1}   -3.10{col 49}{space 3}0.002{col 57}{space 4}-14.98818{col 70}{space 3}-3.366502
{txt}{space 12}25  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-10.28579{col 29}{space 2} 2.567198{col 40}{space 1}   -4.01{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-15.32318{col 70}{space 3}-5.248395
{txt}{space 12}26  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.687672{col 29}{space 2} 2.867684{col 40}{space 1}    0.94{col 49}{space 3}0.349{col 57}{space 4}-2.939341{col 70}{space 3} 8.314684
{txt}{space 12}27  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .9155866{col 29}{space 2} 3.058752{col 40}{space 1}    0.30{col 49}{space 3}0.765{col 57}{space 4}-5.086342{col 70}{space 3} 6.917516
{txt}{space 12}29  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.842364{col 29}{space 2} 2.581944{col 40}{space 1}   -1.10{col 49}{space 3}0.271{col 57}{space 4}-7.908694{col 70}{space 3} 2.223966
{txt}{space 12}30  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.674673{col 29}{space 2} 2.906456{col 40}{space 1}   -0.58{col 49}{space 3}0.565{col 57}{space 4}-7.377766{col 70}{space 3} 4.028419
{txt}{space 12}32  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.974534{col 29}{space 2}  2.69329{col 40}{space 1}    1.10{col 49}{space 3}0.270{col 57}{space 4} -2.31028{col 70}{space 3} 8.259348
{txt}{space 12}33  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.937418{col 29}{space 2}  2.44016{col 40}{space 1}   -2.02{col 49}{space 3}0.043{col 57}{space 4}-9.725537{col 70}{space 3}-.1492999
{txt}{space 12}34  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0530454{col 29}{space 2} 2.214101{col 40}{space 1}    0.02{col 49}{space 3}0.981{col 57}{space 4}-4.291498{col 70}{space 3} 4.397588
{txt}{space 12}35  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.577427{col 29}{space 2} 3.426242{col 40}{space 1}   -0.46{col 49}{space 3}0.645{col 57}{space 4} -8.30045{col 70}{space 3} 5.145597
{txt}{space 12}36  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  1.88344{col 29}{space 2} 1.953721{col 40}{space 1}    0.96{col 49}{space 3}0.335{col 57}{space 4} -1.95018{col 70}{space 3} 5.717061
{txt}{space 12}38  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.698083{col 29}{space 2} 3.412069{col 40}{space 1}   -0.50{col 49}{space 3}0.619{col 57}{space 4}-8.393296{col 70}{space 3}  4.99713
{txt}{space 12}39  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .7720608{col 29}{space 2} 3.077853{col 40}{space 1}    0.25{col 49}{space 3}0.802{col 57}{space 4}-5.267348{col 70}{space 3}  6.81147
{txt}{space 12}40  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.061824{col 29}{space 2} 3.233294{col 40}{space 1}   -1.26{col 49}{space 3}0.209{col 57}{space 4}-10.40624{col 70}{space 3} 2.282595
{txt}{space 12}41  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.122092{col 29}{space 2}  2.89653{col 40}{space 1}    0.73{col 49}{space 3}0.464{col 57}{space 4}-3.561524{col 70}{space 3} 7.805707
{txt}{space 12}42  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .6042319{col 29}{space 2} 2.217294{col 40}{space 1}    0.27{col 49}{space 3}0.785{col 57}{space 4}-3.746577{col 70}{space 3} 4.955041
{txt}{space 12}44  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-11.30479{col 29}{space 2} 3.023463{col 40}{space 1}   -3.74{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-17.23747{col 70}{space 3}-5.372105
{txt}{space 12}46  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-6.624895{col 29}{space 2} 2.975722{col 40}{space 1}   -2.23{col 49}{space 3}0.026{col 57}{space 4} -12.4639{col 70}{space 3}-.7858883
{txt}{space 12}49  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -9.17111{col 29}{space 2} 3.173904{col 40}{space 1}   -2.89{col 49}{space 3}0.004{col 57}{space 4}-15.39899{col 70}{space 3}-2.943227
{txt}{space 12}50  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.318711{col 29}{space 2} 2.597245{col 40}{space 1}   -0.51{col 49}{space 3}0.612{col 57}{space 4}-6.415065{col 70}{space 3} 3.777643
{txt}{space 12}53  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.035626{col 29}{space 2} 2.794165{col 40}{space 1}    0.73{col 49}{space 3}0.466{col 57}{space 4}-3.447126{col 70}{space 3} 7.518379
{txt}{space 12}54  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-9.503658{col 29}{space 2} 3.983628{col 40}{space 1}   -2.39{col 49}{space 3}0.017{col 57}{space 4}-17.32039{col 70}{space 3}-1.686923
{txt}{space 12}55  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.819084{col 29}{space 2} 2.886128{col 40}{space 1}    0.98{col 49}{space 3}0.329{col 57}{space 4}-2.844121{col 70}{space 3} 8.482288
{txt}{space 12}56  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-7.198114{col 29}{space 2}  2.55923{col 40}{space 1}   -2.81{col 49}{space 3}0.005{col 57}{space 4}-12.21987{col 70}{space 3}-2.176354
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 11}year {c |}
{space 10}1982  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.3519236{col 29}{space 2} 1.530126{col 40}{space 1}   -0.23{col 49}{space 3}0.818{col 57}{space 4} -3.35436{col 70}{space 3} 2.650513
{txt}{space 10}1983  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.230697{col 29}{space 2} 2.598862{col 40}{space 1}   -0.47{col 49}{space 3}0.636{col 57}{space 4}-6.330224{col 70}{space 3}  3.86883
{txt}{space 10}1984  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.1544146{col 29}{space 2} 1.554423{col 40}{space 1}   -0.10{col 49}{space 3}0.921{col 57}{space 4}-3.204527{col 70}{space 3} 2.895698
{txt}{space 10}1985  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.228729{col 29}{space 2} 2.050902{col 40}{space 1}    0.60{col 49}{space 3}0.549{col 57}{space 4}-2.795581{col 70}{space 3}  5.25304
{txt}{space 10}1986  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .2625897{col 29}{space 2} 1.633215{col 40}{space 1}    0.16{col 49}{space 3}0.872{col 57}{space 4} -2.94213{col 70}{space 3} 3.467309
{txt}{space 10}1987  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.229947{col 29}{space 2} 1.985019{col 40}{space 1}    1.12{col 49}{space 3}0.262{col 57}{space 4}-1.665088{col 70}{space 3} 6.124981
{txt}{space 10}1988  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .6216708{col 29}{space 2} 1.628397{col 40}{space 1}    0.38{col 49}{space 3}0.703{col 57}{space 4}-2.573595{col 70}{space 3} 3.816937
{txt}{space 10}1989  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.412216{col 29}{space 2} 1.962985{col 40}{space 1}    0.72{col 49}{space 3}0.472{col 57}{space 4}-2.439584{col 70}{space 3} 5.264015
{txt}{space 10}1990  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .4597629{col 29}{space 2} 1.761511{col 40}{space 1}    0.26{col 49}{space 3}0.794{col 57}{space 4}-2.996701{col 70}{space 3} 3.916226
{txt}{space 10}1991  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}   2.1031{col 29}{space 2} 2.128331{col 40}{space 1}    0.99{col 49}{space 3}0.323{col 57}{space 4}-2.073142{col 70}{space 3} 6.279343
{txt}{space 10}1992  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.024332{col 29}{space 2} 1.863654{col 40}{space 1}    0.55{col 49}{space 3}0.583{col 57}{space 4}-2.632558{col 70}{space 3} 4.681221
{txt}{space 10}1993  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .9648675{col 29}{space 2}  2.27322{col 40}{space 1}    0.42{col 49}{space 3}0.671{col 57}{space 4} -3.49568{col 70}{space 3} 5.425415
{txt}{space 10}1994  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.880112{col 29}{space 2} 1.735689{col 40}{space 1}    1.08{col 49}{space 3}0.279{col 57}{space 4}-1.525684{col 70}{space 3} 5.285907
{txt}{space 10}1995  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.3292929{col 29}{space 2} 2.593005{col 40}{space 1}   -0.13{col 49}{space 3}0.899{col 57}{space 4}-5.417327{col 70}{space 3} 4.758741
{txt}{space 10}1996  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.591406{col 29}{space 2} 1.788726{col 40}{space 1}    0.89{col 49}{space 3}0.374{col 57}{space 4} -1.91846{col 70}{space 3} 5.101272
{txt}{space 10}1997  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .7010159{col 29}{space 2} 2.203953{col 40}{space 1}    0.32{col 49}{space 3}0.750{col 57}{space 4}-3.623613{col 70}{space 3} 5.025645
{txt}{space 10}1998  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.886397{col 29}{space 2}  2.06231{col 40}{space 1}    0.91{col 49}{space 3}0.361{col 57}{space 4}-2.160299{col 70}{space 3} 5.933094
{txt}{space 10}1999  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.853115{col 29}{space 2} 2.363227{col 40}{space 1}    0.78{col 49}{space 3}0.433{col 57}{space 4}-2.784044{col 70}{space 3} 6.490274
{txt}{space 10}2000  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.581241{col 29}{space 2} 2.266784{col 40}{space 1}    1.14{col 49}{space 3}0.255{col 57}{space 4}-1.866678{col 70}{space 3}  7.02916
{txt}{space 10}2001  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.585412{col 29}{space 2} 2.524008{col 40}{space 1}    0.63{col 49}{space 3}0.530{col 57}{space 4}-3.367234{col 70}{space 3} 6.538057
{txt}{space 10}2002  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.054929{col 29}{space 2} 2.367914{col 40}{space 1}    0.87{col 49}{space 3}0.386{col 57}{space 4}-2.591427{col 70}{space 3} 6.701284
{txt}{space 10}2003  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.214904{col 29}{space 2}  2.57168{col 40}{space 1}    0.47{col 49}{space 3}0.637{col 57}{space 4}-3.831285{col 70}{space 3} 6.261092
{txt}{space 10}2004  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.268281{col 29}{space 2}  2.40563{col 40}{space 1}    0.94{col 49}{space 3}0.346{col 57}{space 4}-2.452083{col 70}{space 3} 6.988645
{txt}{space 10}2005  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.581475{col 29}{space 2} 2.583368{col 40}{space 1}    0.61{col 49}{space 3}0.541{col 57}{space 4}-3.487649{col 70}{space 3}   6.6506
{txt}{space 10}2006  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.463564{col 29}{space 2} 2.475256{col 40}{space 1}    1.00{col 49}{space 3}0.320{col 57}{space 4} -2.39342{col 70}{space 3} 7.320548
{txt}{space 10}2007  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.048356{col 29}{space 2} 2.972994{col 40}{space 1}    0.69{col 49}{space 3}0.491{col 57}{space 4}-3.785297{col 70}{space 3} 7.882009
{txt}{space 10}2008  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.992326{col 29}{space 2} 2.660353{col 40}{space 1}    0.75{col 49}{space 3}0.454{col 57}{space 4} -3.22786{col 70}{space 3} 7.212512
{txt}{space 10}2009  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.543738{col 29}{space 2}  2.90065{col 40}{space 1}   -0.88{col 49}{space 3}0.381{col 57}{space 4}-8.235438{col 70}{space 3} 3.147962
{txt}{space 10}2010  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.341675{col 29}{space 2} 3.346187{col 40}{space 1}   -1.00{col 49}{space 3}0.318{col 57}{space 4}-9.907615{col 70}{space 3} 3.224264
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 10}_cons {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 23.29796{col 29}{space 2} 6.564793{col 40}{space 1}    3.55{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 10.41643{col 70}{space 3}  36.1795
{txt}{hline 16}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. predict klarnerranneyhatallpost if year>1980 & nonsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,201 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. * 
. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,  1055) ={res}   60.67
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY) *
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,  1055) ={res}   30.41
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0009468{col 26}{space 2} .0012289{col 37}{space 1}   -0.77{col 46}{space 3}0.441{col 54}{space 4}-.0033582{col 67}{space 3} .0014646
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0014681{col 26}{space 2} .0014714{col 37}{space 1}   -1.00{col 46}{space 3}0.318{col 54}{space 4}-.0043519{col 67}{space 3} .0014157
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. sum real_pc_inc_ann  klarnerranney  if klarnerranneyhatallpost!=. & year > 1980 & nonsouth==1, detail

        {txt}Per Capita Annual Income (1982-1984 Constant
                          Dollars)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 10226.16       9613.809
{txt} 5%    {res} 11186.47       9642.246
{txt}10%    {res} 11870.86       9678.673       {txt}Obs         {res}      1,138
{txt}25%    {res} 13361.92       9889.706       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}      1,138

{txt}50%    {res} 15383.98                      {txt}Mean          {res}  15621.8
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 3043.185
{txt}75%    {res} 17444.66       24873.97
{txt}90%    {res} 19531.21       25955.62       {txt}Variance      {res}  9260975
{txt}95%    {res} 20815.45       26455.53       {txt}Skewness      {res} .5528409
{txt}99%    {res} 24187.04       26940.36       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 3.185292

         {txt}Annual Ranney Measure of State Legislative
               Partisan Balance (Klarner Data)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 21.82353       19.76471
{txt} 5%    {res} 31.78947       19.76471
{txt}10%    {res} 41.56863       19.84314       {txt}Obs         {res}      1,138
{txt}25%    {res} 62.85714       19.84314       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}      1,138

{txt}50%    {res}    81.25                      {txt}Mean          {res} 74.99836
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 20.07013
{txt}75%    {res}       91            100
{txt}90%    {res} 96.66667            100       {txt}Variance      {res} 402.8101
{txt}95%    {res}       98            100       {txt}Skewness      {res}-.9416469
{txt}99%    {res} 99.43503            100       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 3.018829
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS  OF  real_pc_inc_ann ON klarnerranney:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD 
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*17661.71   -  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*13630.93

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*17661.71 - (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*13630.93

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-5.917423{col 26}{space 2} 5.930712{col 37}{space 1}   -1.00{col 46}{space 3}0.318{col 54}{space 4} -17.5414{col 67}{space 3} 5.706558
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. restore
{txt}
{com}. 
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. 
. 
. preserve
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. // (4,3)  MODEL
. 
. 
. 
. *** II.A: SOUTHERN STATES (N = 14): FULL TIME PERIOD (1942 - 2010) ***
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney   l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party i.state_fips i.year if nonsouth==0
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       715{col 27} -5030.84{col 38} -4494.14{col 49}    93{col 58}  9174.28{col 69} 9599.502
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney   l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party i.state_fips i.year if nonsouth==0, lag(8) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       715
{txt}maximum lag: {res}8{col 49}{txt}F( 92,       622){col 67}= {res}     82.67
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0648436{col 34}{space 2} .0193945{col 45}{space 1}   -3.34{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-.1029302{col 75}{space 3} -.026757
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .4552324{col 34}{space 2} .5843774{col 45}{space 1}    0.78{col 54}{space 3}0.436{col 62}{space 4}-.6923593{col 75}{space 3} 1.602824
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3421703{col 34}{space 2} .0749441{col 45}{space 1}    4.57{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} .1949962{col 75}{space 3} .4893444
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.4349893{col 34}{space 2} .9662541{col 45}{space 1}   -0.45{col 54}{space 3}0.653{col 62}{space 4}-2.332505{col 75}{space 3} 1.462526
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  .051987{col 34}{space 2} .0545732{col 45}{space 1}    0.95{col 54}{space 3}0.341{col 62}{space 4} -.055183{col 75}{space 3}  .159157
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.3942432{col 34}{space 2} 1.003299{col 45}{space 1}   -0.39{col 54}{space 3}0.694{col 62}{space 4}-2.364508{col 75}{space 3} 1.576021
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0121282{col 34}{space 2} .0498391{col 45}{space 1}   -0.24{col 54}{space 3}0.808{col 62}{space 4}-.1100015{col 75}{space 3} .0857451
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .5958167{col 34}{space 2} 1.137956{col 45}{space 1}    0.52{col 54}{space 3}0.601{col 62}{space 4}-1.638885{col 75}{space 3} 2.830518
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-682.2996{col 34}{space 2}  237.162{col 45}{space 1}   -2.88{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4}-1148.035{col 75}{space 3}-216.5643
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  163.912{col 34}{space 2} 256.8972{col 45}{space 1}    0.64{col 54}{space 3}0.524{col 62}{space 4} -340.579{col 75}{space 3} 668.4029
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-10.95125{col 34}{space 2} 26.73898{col 45}{space 1}   -0.41{col 54}{space 3}0.682{col 62}{space 4}-63.46085{col 75}{space 3} 41.55836
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-9.115572{col 34}{space 2} 59.31602{col 45}{space 1}   -0.15{col 54}{space 3}0.878{col 62}{space 4}-125.5995{col 75}{space 3} 107.3683
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-59.37465{col 34}{space 2} 235.0854{col 45}{space 1}   -0.25{col 54}{space 3}0.801{col 62}{space 4}-521.0319{col 75}{space 3} 402.2826
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-655.4272{col 34}{space 2}  549.632{col 45}{space 1}   -1.19{col 54}{space 3}0.234{col 62}{space 4}-1734.786{col 75}{space 3} 423.9321
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-355.4933{col 34}{space 2} 326.0465{col 45}{space 1}   -1.09{col 54}{space 3}0.276{col 62}{space 4}-995.7786{col 75}{space 3}  284.792
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 3596.569{col 34}{space 2} 743.2166{col 45}{space 1}    4.84{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 2137.051{col 75}{space 3} 5056.086
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 24.11448{col 34}{space 2} 20.26046{col 45}{space 1}    1.19{col 54}{space 3}0.234{col 62}{space 4}-15.67271{col 75}{space 3} 63.90168
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  2.86677{col 34}{space 2} 18.18632{col 45}{space 1}    0.16{col 54}{space 3}0.875{col 62}{space 4}-32.84725{col 75}{space 3} 38.58079
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 18}5  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-43.13419{col 34}{space 2} 30.41612{col 45}{space 1}   -1.42{col 54}{space 3}0.157{col 62}{space 4}-102.8649{col 75}{space 3} 16.59653
{txt}{space 17}12  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 158.4948{col 34}{space 2} 48.87395{col 45}{space 1}    3.24{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 62.51689{col 75}{space 3} 254.4728
{txt}{space 17}13  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 84.30135{col 34}{space 2} 29.23685{col 45}{space 1}    2.88{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4} 26.88646{col 75}{space 3} 141.7162
{txt}{space 17}22  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 41.28156{col 34}{space 2}  37.6558{col 45}{space 1}    1.10{col 54}{space 3}0.273{col 62}{space 4}-32.66635{col 75}{space 3} 115.2295
{txt}{space 17}28  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-89.57724{col 34}{space 2}  36.8822{col 45}{space 1}   -2.43{col 54}{space 3}0.015{col 62}{space 4} -162.006{col 75}{space 3}-17.14852
{txt}{space 17}37  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 40.00003{col 34}{space 2} 24.67972{col 45}{space 1}    1.62{col 54}{space 3}0.106{col 62}{space 4} -8.46563{col 75}{space 3} 88.46569
{txt}{space 17}45  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -.343066{col 34}{space 2} 16.70803{col 45}{space 1}   -0.02{col 54}{space 3}0.984{col 62}{space 4}-33.15406{col 75}{space 3} 32.46792
{txt}{space 17}47  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 53.08522{col 34}{space 2} 33.51139{col 45}{space 1}    1.58{col 54}{space 3}0.114{col 62}{space 4}-12.72394{col 75}{space 3} 118.8944
{txt}{space 17}48  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 128.5028{col 34}{space 2} 39.04149{col 45}{space 1}    3.29{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 51.83368{col 75}{space 3} 205.1719
{txt}{space 17}51  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 223.4716{col 34}{space 2} 59.10921{col 45}{space 1}    3.78{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 107.3938{col 75}{space 3} 339.5494
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1947  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 257.2187{col 34}{space 2} 105.6102{col 45}{space 1}    2.44{col 54}{space 3}0.015{col 62}{space 4} 49.82302{col 75}{space 3} 464.6144
{txt}{space 15}1948  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 764.0825{col 34}{space 2} 96.40431{col 45}{space 1}    7.93{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 574.7652{col 75}{space 3} 953.3999
{txt}{space 15}1949  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 473.7443{col 34}{space 2} 116.4106{col 45}{space 1}    4.07{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 245.1389{col 75}{space 3} 702.3496
{txt}{space 15}1950  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 702.9874{col 34}{space 2} 85.66051{col 45}{space 1}    8.21{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 534.7686{col 75}{space 3} 871.2063
{txt}{space 15}1951  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 593.7153{col 34}{space 2} 79.21591{col 45}{space 1}    7.49{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 438.1522{col 75}{space 3} 749.2783
{txt}{space 15}1952  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 671.7877{col 34}{space 2} 70.03158{col 45}{space 1}    9.59{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 534.2607{col 75}{space 3} 809.3147
{txt}{space 15}1953  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 617.3101{col 34}{space 2} 75.26248{col 45}{space 1}    8.20{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 469.5107{col 75}{space 3} 765.1094
{txt}{space 15}1954  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 468.7705{col 34}{space 2} 70.05565{col 45}{space 1}    6.69{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 331.1963{col 75}{space 3} 606.3448
{txt}{space 15}1955  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 898.2094{col 34}{space 2}  73.6575{col 45}{space 1}   12.19{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 753.5619{col 75}{space 3} 1042.857
{txt}{space 15}1956  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 732.3267{col 34}{space 2} 86.15363{col 45}{space 1}    8.50{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 563.1395{col 75}{space 3}  901.514
{txt}{space 15}1957  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 466.6377{col 34}{space 2}  89.0967{col 45}{space 1}    5.24{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 291.6709{col 75}{space 3} 641.6044
{txt}{space 15}1958  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 646.3331{col 34}{space 2} 80.63195{col 45}{space 1}    8.02{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 487.9892{col 75}{space 3} 804.6769
{txt}{space 15}1959  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 904.6825{col 34}{space 2} 84.34185{col 45}{space 1}   10.73{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 739.0533{col 75}{space 3} 1070.312
{txt}{space 15}1960  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 590.4138{col 34}{space 2} 93.66321{col 45}{space 1}    6.30{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 406.4794{col 75}{space 3} 774.3482
{txt}{space 15}1961  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  806.659{col 34}{space 2} 94.39772{col 45}{space 1}    8.55{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 621.2821{col 75}{space 3} 992.0358
{txt}{space 15}1962  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 852.7194{col 34}{space 2} 88.20258{col 45}{space 1}    9.67{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 679.5085{col 75}{space 3}  1025.93
{txt}{space 15}1963  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}   830.98{col 34}{space 2} 97.94905{col 45}{space 1}    8.48{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 638.6291{col 75}{space 3} 1023.331
{txt}{space 15}1964  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  963.739{col 34}{space 2} 92.96227{col 45}{space 1}   10.37{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 781.1811{col 75}{space 3} 1146.297
{txt}{space 15}1965  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 965.1217{col 34}{space 2} 97.35311{col 45}{space 1}    9.91{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 773.9411{col 75}{space 3} 1156.302
{txt}{space 15}1966  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 994.9632{col 34}{space 2} 101.0551{col 45}{space 1}    9.85{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 796.5127{col 75}{space 3} 1193.414
{txt}{space 15}1967  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 980.4532{col 34}{space 2} 105.6148{col 45}{space 1}    9.28{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 773.0484{col 75}{space 3} 1187.858
{txt}{space 15}1968  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1056.632{col 34}{space 2}  108.948{col 45}{space 1}    9.70{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 842.6812{col 75}{space 3} 1270.582
{txt}{space 15}1969  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  989.459{col 34}{space 2} 122.1644{col 45}{space 1}    8.10{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 749.5543{col 75}{space 3} 1229.364
{txt}{space 15}1970  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  871.178{col 34}{space 2} 118.0086{col 45}{space 1}    7.38{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 639.4344{col 75}{space 3} 1102.922
{txt}{space 15}1971  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1039.413{col 34}{space 2} 114.3485{col 45}{space 1}    9.09{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 814.8568{col 75}{space 3} 1263.969
{txt}{space 15}1972  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1320.699{col 34}{space 2} 128.6809{col 45}{space 1}   10.26{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1067.997{col 75}{space 3} 1573.401
{txt}{space 15}1973  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1200.847{col 34}{space 2} 140.7075{col 45}{space 1}    8.53{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 924.5279{col 75}{space 3} 1477.167
{txt}{space 15}1974  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 637.1309{col 34}{space 2} 136.8053{col 45}{space 1}    4.66{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 368.4746{col 75}{space 3} 905.7871
{txt}{space 15}1975  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 744.5072{col 34}{space 2} 136.2796{col 45}{space 1}    5.46{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 476.8834{col 75}{space 3} 1012.131
{txt}{space 15}1976  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1354.206{col 34}{space 2}  141.635{col 45}{space 1}    9.56{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1076.065{col 75}{space 3} 1632.346
{txt}{space 15}1977  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1039.765{col 34}{space 2} 168.9642{col 45}{space 1}    6.15{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  707.956{col 75}{space 3} 1371.575
{txt}{space 15}1978  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1242.053{col 34}{space 2} 161.0131{col 45}{space 1}    7.71{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 925.8575{col 75}{space 3} 1558.248
{txt}{space 15}1979  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 768.3222{col 34}{space 2} 158.9282{col 45}{space 1}    4.83{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 456.2213{col 75}{space 3} 1080.423
{txt}{space 15}1980  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 676.6142{col 34}{space 2} 168.3744{col 45}{space 1}    4.02{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  345.963{col 75}{space 3} 1007.265
{txt}{space 15}1981  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1161.521{col 34}{space 2} 169.1008{col 45}{space 1}    6.87{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 829.4432{col 75}{space 3} 1493.599
{txt}{space 15}1982  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 911.1467{col 34}{space 2} 177.0111{col 45}{space 1}    5.15{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 563.5349{col 75}{space 3} 1258.758
{txt}{space 15}1983  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1226.268{col 34}{space 2} 174.7549{col 45}{space 1}    7.02{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  883.087{col 75}{space 3} 1569.449
{txt}{space 15}1984  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1404.933{col 34}{space 2} 170.3694{col 45}{space 1}    8.25{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1070.364{col 75}{space 3} 1739.502
{txt}{space 15}1985  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1086.47{col 34}{space 2} 177.9116{col 45}{space 1}    6.11{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 737.0903{col 75}{space 3} 1435.851
{txt}{space 15}1986  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1152.002{col 34}{space 2} 169.6422{col 45}{space 1}    6.79{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 818.8612{col 75}{space 3} 1485.143
{txt}{space 15}1987  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1054.854{col 34}{space 2} 172.8272{col 45}{space 1}    6.10{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 715.4583{col 75}{space 3} 1394.249
{txt}{space 15}1988  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1324.749{col 34}{space 2} 183.7346{col 45}{space 1}    7.21{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 963.9338{col 75}{space 3} 1685.564
{txt}{space 15}1989  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1215.246{col 34}{space 2} 194.3694{col 45}{space 1}    6.25{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 833.5463{col 75}{space 3} 1596.946
{txt}{space 15}1990  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 957.9142{col 34}{space 2} 203.3955{col 45}{space 1}    4.71{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 558.4891{col 75}{space 3} 1357.339
{txt}{space 15}1991  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  977.361{col 34}{space 2} 194.9744{col 45}{space 1}    5.01{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 594.4732{col 75}{space 3} 1360.249
{txt}{space 15}1992  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1433.664{col 34}{space 2} 196.7962{col 45}{space 1}    7.29{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1047.199{col 75}{space 3}  1820.13
{txt}{space 15}1993  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1101.011{col 34}{space 2} 210.9885{col 45}{space 1}    5.22{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 686.6748{col 75}{space 3} 1515.347
{txt}{space 15}1994  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1316.943{col 34}{space 2}  204.968{col 45}{space 1}    6.43{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 914.4297{col 75}{space 3} 1719.456
{txt}{space 15}1995  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1222.138{col 34}{space 2} 207.1046{col 45}{space 1}    5.90{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 815.4289{col 75}{space 3} 1628.847
{txt}{space 15}1996  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1261.125{col 34}{space 2} 209.9086{col 45}{space 1}    6.01{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}   848.91{col 75}{space 3} 1673.341
{txt}{space 15}1997  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1349.19{col 34}{space 2}  214.873{col 45}{space 1}    6.28{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  927.225{col 75}{space 3} 1771.154
{txt}{space 15}1998  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1606.492{col 34}{space 2} 224.6476{col 45}{space 1}    7.15{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1165.333{col 75}{space 3} 2047.652
{txt}{space 15}1999  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1188.232{col 34}{space 2} 228.2626{col 45}{space 1}    5.21{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 739.9732{col 75}{space 3} 1636.491
{txt}{space 15}2000  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1471.959{col 34}{space 2} 233.1666{col 45}{space 1}    6.31{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  1014.07{col 75}{space 3} 1929.848
{txt}{space 15}2001  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1235.843{col 34}{space 2} 233.1782{col 45}{space 1}    5.30{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 777.9316{col 75}{space 3} 1693.755
{txt}{space 15}2002  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1142.361{col 34}{space 2} 239.0471{col 45}{space 1}    4.78{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 672.9237{col 75}{space 3} 1611.798
{txt}{space 15}2003  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1321.285{col 34}{space 2} 232.7199{col 45}{space 1}    5.68{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 864.2728{col 75}{space 3} 1778.297
{txt}{space 15}2004  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1595.452{col 34}{space 2} 251.9286{col 45}{space 1}    6.33{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1100.719{col 75}{space 3} 2090.186
{txt}{space 15}2005  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1440.157{col 34}{space 2} 269.3046{col 45}{space 1}    5.35{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 911.3005{col 75}{space 3} 1969.013
{txt}{space 15}2006  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1588.337{col 34}{space 2} 280.6872{col 45}{space 1}    5.66{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1037.128{col 75}{space 3} 2139.547
{txt}{space 15}2007  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1445.155{col 34}{space 2} 263.7705{col 45}{space 1}    5.48{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 927.1663{col 75}{space 3} 1963.144
{txt}{space 15}2008  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1180.908{col 34}{space 2} 289.4557{col 45}{space 1}    4.08{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 612.4792{col 75}{space 3} 1749.337
{txt}{space 15}2009  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  623.007{col 34}{space 2} 257.0848{col 45}{space 1}    2.42{col 54}{space 3}0.016{col 62}{space 4} 118.1477{col 75}{space 3} 1127.866
{txt}{space 15}2010  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1676.049{col 34}{space 2} 275.9916{col 45}{space 1}    6.07{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1134.061{col 75}{space 3} 2218.037
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 97.60633{col 34}{space 2}  307.408{col 45}{space 1}    0.32{col 54}{space 3}0.751{col 62}{space 4} -506.077{col 75}{space 3} 701.2896
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallfull
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(196 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   622) ={res}   11.18
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0009
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY) *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   622) ={res}    5.59
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0039
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2334157{col 26}{space 2} 2.338896{col 37}{space 1}   -0.10{col 46}{space 3}0.921{col 54}{space 4}-4.826505{col 67}{space 3} 4.359674
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  7.02047{col 26}{space 2} 8.803845{col 37}{space 1}    0.80{col 46}{space 3}0.425{col 54}{space 4}-10.23475{col 67}{space 3} 24.27569
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. *
. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. qui regress d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if nonsouth==0
{txt}
{com}. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       715{col 27} -306.414{col 38}-169.2042{col 49}    91{col 58} 520.4085{col 69} 936.4862
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. *
. 
. newey d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if nonsouth==0, lag(8) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       715
{txt}maximum lag: {res}8{col 49}{txt}F( 90,       624){col 67}= {res}      4.61
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 17}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.              {col 18}{c |}{col 30}  Newey-West
{col 1}ihsklarnerranney{col 18}{c |}      Coef.{col 30}   Std. Err.{col 42}      t{col 50}   P>|t|{col 58}     [95% Con{col 71}f. Interval]
{hline 17}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  -.11116{col 30}{space 2} .0258288{col 41}{space 1}   -4.30{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4}-.1618819{col 71}{space 3}-.0604382
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0000832{col 30}{space 2} .0000243{col 41}{space 1}   -3.42{col 50}{space 3}0.001{col 58}{space 4} -.000131{col 71}{space 3}-.0000355
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0108279{col 30}{space 2} .0605523{col 41}{space 1}   -0.18{col 50}{space 3}0.858{col 58}{space 4}-.1297388{col 71}{space 3}  .108083
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}D1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0001258{col 30}{space 2} .0000691{col 41}{space 1}   -1.82{col 50}{space 3}0.069{col 58}{space 4}-.0002616{col 71}{space 3} 9.94e-06
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.2415641{col 30}{space 2} .0475643{col 41}{space 1}   -5.08{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4}-.3349695{col 71}{space 3}-.1481587
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .000087{col 30}{space 2} .0000855{col 41}{space 1}    1.02{col 50}{space 3}0.309{col 58}{space 4}-.0000808{col 71}{space 3} .0002548
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L3D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1222832{col 30}{space 2} .0507815{col 41}{space 1}   -2.41{col 50}{space 3}0.016{col 58}{space 4}-.2220065{col 71}{space 3}-.0225598
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0001043{col 30}{space 2} .0000849{col 41}{space 1}    1.23{col 50}{space 3}0.220{col 58}{space 4}-.0000625{col 71}{space 3}  .000271
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 7}gov_party {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0412877{col 30}{space 2} .0388059{col 41}{space 1}   -1.06{col 50}{space 3}0.288{col 58}{space 4}-.1174936{col 71}{space 3} .0349182
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0110152{col 30}{space 2} .0421279{col 41}{space 1}   -0.26{col 50}{space 3}0.794{col 58}{space 4}-.0937448{col 71}{space 3} .0717145
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}dem_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0712647{col 30}{space 2} .0445396{col 41}{space 1}    1.60{col 50}{space 3}0.110{col 58}{space 4} -.016201{col 71}{space 3} .1587304
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0236347{col 30}{space 2} .0447267{col 41}{space 1}   -0.53{col 50}{space 3}0.597{col 58}{space 4}-.1114678{col 71}{space 3} .0641984
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}rep_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1140811{col 30}{space 2}  .037655{col 41}{space 1}   -3.03{col 50}{space 3}0.003{col 58}{space 4}-.1880271{col 71}{space 3}-.0401352
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0431277{col 30}{space 2} .0302349{col 41}{space 1}    1.43{col 50}{space 3}0.154{col 58}{space 4}-.0162468{col 71}{space 3} .1025022
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 2}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1438951{col 30}{space 2} .0565606{col 41}{space 1}    2.54{col 50}{space 3}0.011{col 58}{space 4}  .032823{col 71}{space 3} .2549673
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0002646{col 30}{space 2} .0573675{col 41}{space 1}   -0.00{col 50}{space 3}0.996{col 58}{space 4}-.1129214{col 71}{space 3} .1123921
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 6}state_fips {c |}
{space 14}5  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0352573{col 30}{space 2} .0673343{col 41}{space 1}   -0.52{col 50}{space 3}0.601{col 58}{space 4}-.1674865{col 71}{space 3} .0969719
{txt}{space 13}12  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4630147{col 30}{space 2} .1207569{col 41}{space 1}    3.83{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .2258756{col 71}{space 3} .7001538
{txt}{space 13}13  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1888847{col 30}{space 2} .0791376{col 41}{space 1}    2.39{col 50}{space 3}0.017{col 58}{space 4} .0334766{col 71}{space 3} .3442929
{txt}{space 13}22  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0456986{col 30}{space 2} .0625076{col 41}{space 1}    0.73{col 50}{space 3}0.465{col 58}{space 4}-.0770521{col 71}{space 3} .1684494
{txt}{space 13}28  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0807905{col 30}{space 2} .0707856{col 41}{space 1}   -1.14{col 50}{space 3}0.254{col 58}{space 4}-.2197973{col 71}{space 3} .0582163
{txt}{space 13}37  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1945341{col 30}{space 2} .0798477{col 41}{space 1}    2.44{col 50}{space 3}0.015{col 58}{space 4} .0377313{col 71}{space 3} .3513369
{txt}{space 13}45  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2229928{col 30}{space 2}  .091891{col 41}{space 1}    2.43{col 50}{space 3}0.016{col 58}{space 4} .0425397{col 71}{space 3}  .403446
{txt}{space 13}47  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2821086{col 30}{space 2} .0997487{col 41}{space 1}    2.83{col 50}{space 3}0.005{col 58}{space 4} .0862249{col 71}{space 3} .4779924
{txt}{space 13}48  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2268998{col 30}{space 2} .0811229{col 41}{space 1}    2.80{col 50}{space 3}0.005{col 58}{space 4} .0675929{col 71}{space 3} .3862068
{txt}{space 13}51  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5243454{col 30}{space 2} .1354991{col 41}{space 1}    3.87{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .2582559{col 71}{space 3} .7904348
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 12}year {c |}
{space 11}1947  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0162324{col 30}{space 2} .1058839{col 41}{space 1}   -0.15{col 50}{space 3}0.878{col 58}{space 4}-.2241644{col 71}{space 3} .1916996
{txt}{space 11}1948  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0830853{col 30}{space 2} .1064835{col 41}{space 1}    0.78{col 50}{space 3}0.436{col 58}{space 4}-.1260242{col 71}{space 3} .2921948
{txt}{space 11}1949  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1330021{col 30}{space 2} .1319798{col 41}{space 1}   -1.01{col 50}{space 3}0.314{col 58}{space 4}-.3921805{col 71}{space 3} .1261763
{txt}{space 11}1950  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0117073{col 30}{space 2} .0870215{col 41}{space 1}   -0.13{col 50}{space 3}0.893{col 58}{space 4}-.1825978{col 71}{space 3} .1591831
{txt}{space 11}1951  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1123616{col 30}{space 2} .2119872{col 41}{space 1}    0.53{col 50}{space 3}0.596{col 58}{space 4}-.3039332{col 71}{space 3} .5286563
{txt}{space 11}1952  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0129629{col 30}{space 2} .0771025{col 41}{space 1}    0.17{col 50}{space 3}0.867{col 58}{space 4}-.1384488{col 71}{space 3} .1643746
{txt}{space 11}1953  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2693677{col 30}{space 2} .1724769{col 41}{space 1}    1.56{col 50}{space 3}0.119{col 58}{space 4}-.0693378{col 71}{space 3} .6080732
{txt}{space 11}1954  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0757621{col 30}{space 2} .0843929{col 41}{space 1}    0.90{col 50}{space 3}0.370{col 58}{space 4}-.0899664{col 71}{space 3} .2414907
{txt}{space 11}1955  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1514851{col 30}{space 2} .1628976{col 41}{space 1}    0.93{col 50}{space 3}0.353{col 58}{space 4}-.1684088{col 71}{space 3}  .471379
{txt}{space 11}1956  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .130925{col 30}{space 2} .1066432{col 41}{space 1}    1.23{col 50}{space 3}0.220{col 58}{space 4}-.0784981{col 71}{space 3}  .340348
{txt}{space 11}1957  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0634037{col 30}{space 2} .0989039{col 41}{space 1}    0.64{col 50}{space 3}0.522{col 58}{space 4}-.1308212{col 71}{space 3} .2576286
{txt}{space 11}1958  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1075137{col 30}{space 2} .0982564{col 41}{space 1}    1.09{col 50}{space 3}0.274{col 58}{space 4}-.0854395{col 71}{space 3}  .300467
{txt}{space 11}1959  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} -.148907{col 30}{space 2} .1975456{col 41}{space 1}   -0.75{col 50}{space 3}0.451{col 58}{space 4}-.5368418{col 71}{space 3} .2390277
{txt}{space 11}1960  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0741618{col 30}{space 2} .1025001{col 41}{space 1}    0.72{col 50}{space 3}0.470{col 58}{space 4}-.1271252{col 71}{space 3} .2754488
{txt}{space 11}1961  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2444334{col 30}{space 2} .1394977{col 41}{space 1}    1.75{col 50}{space 3}0.080{col 58}{space 4}-.0295085{col 71}{space 3} .5183752
{txt}{space 11}1962  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1955414{col 30}{space 2} .1455111{col 41}{space 1}    1.34{col 50}{space 3}0.179{col 58}{space 4}-.0902094{col 71}{space 3} .4812922
{txt}{space 11}1963  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5660423{col 30}{space 2} .1811105{col 41}{space 1}    3.13{col 50}{space 3}0.002{col 58}{space 4} .2103823{col 71}{space 3} .9217022
{txt}{space 11}1964  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5883661{col 30}{space 2} .1678342{col 41}{space 1}    3.51{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .2587777{col 71}{space 3} .9179544
{txt}{space 11}1965  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2700818{col 30}{space 2} .2556764{col 41}{space 1}    1.06{col 50}{space 3}0.291{col 58}{space 4}-.2320086{col 71}{space 3} .7721721
{txt}{space 11}1966  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .7597216{col 30}{space 2} .2157904{col 41}{space 1}    3.52{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .3359582{col 71}{space 3} 1.183485
{txt}{space 11}1967  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.162981{col 30}{space 2} .3091116{col 41}{space 1}    3.76{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .5559558{col 71}{space 3} 1.770006
{txt}{space 11}1968  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3703889{col 30}{space 2} .2688653{col 41}{space 1}    1.38{col 50}{space 3}0.169{col 58}{space 4}-.1576015{col 71}{space 3} .8983792
{txt}{space 11}1969  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .743227{col 30}{space 2}  .195873{col 41}{space 1}    3.79{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4}  .358577{col 71}{space 3} 1.127877
{txt}{space 11}1970  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9166869{col 30}{space 2} .2053131{col 41}{space 1}    4.46{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .5134987{col 71}{space 3} 1.319875
{txt}{space 11}1971  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5008109{col 30}{space 2} .1696834{col 41}{space 1}    2.95{col 50}{space 3}0.003{col 58}{space 4} .1675911{col 71}{space 3} .8340306
{txt}{space 11}1972  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .764475{col 30}{space 2} .2250384{col 41}{space 1}    3.40{col 50}{space 3}0.001{col 58}{space 4} .3225508{col 71}{space 3} 1.206399
{txt}{space 11}1973  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .8659323{col 30}{space 2} .2021887{col 41}{space 1}    4.28{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .4688796{col 71}{space 3} 1.262985
{txt}{space 11}1974  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .6033394{col 30}{space 2} .1856426{col 41}{space 1}    3.25{col 50}{space 3}0.001{col 58}{space 4} .2387795{col 71}{space 3} .9678993
{txt}{space 11}1975  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3713463{col 30}{space 2} .2723768{col 41}{space 1}    1.36{col 50}{space 3}0.173{col 58}{space 4}  -.16354{col 71}{space 3} .9062326
{txt}{space 11}1976  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .7286403{col 30}{space 2}  .231237{col 41}{space 1}    3.15{col 50}{space 3}0.002{col 58}{space 4} .2745433{col 71}{space 3} 1.182737
{txt}{space 11}1977  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .8908681{col 30}{space 2} .3309335{col 41}{space 1}    2.69{col 50}{space 3}0.007{col 58}{space 4} .2409899{col 71}{space 3} 1.540746
{txt}{space 11}1978  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .6879638{col 30}{space 2} .2044839{col 41}{space 1}    3.36{col 50}{space 3}0.001{col 58}{space 4} .2864039{col 71}{space 3} 1.089524
{txt}{space 11}1979  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9006308{col 30}{space 2} .2282963{col 41}{space 1}    3.95{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .4523087{col 71}{space 3} 1.348953
{txt}{space 11}1980  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .8146163{col 30}{space 2} .2081401{col 41}{space 1}    3.91{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .4058764{col 71}{space 3} 1.223356
{txt}{space 11}1981  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.074447{col 30}{space 2} .2445276{col 41}{space 1}    4.39{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .5942505{col 71}{space 3} 1.554644
{txt}{space 11}1982  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .8911245{col 30}{space 2} .2339004{col 41}{space 1}    3.81{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .4317972{col 71}{space 3} 1.350452
{txt}{space 11}1983  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.003803{col 30}{space 2}  .288383{col 41}{space 1}    3.48{col 50}{space 3}0.001{col 58}{space 4} .4374838{col 71}{space 3} 1.570121
{txt}{space 11}1984  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9593889{col 30}{space 2} .2598572{col 41}{space 1}    3.69{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .4490883{col 71}{space 3} 1.469689
{txt}{space 11}1985  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.185636{col 30}{space 2} .2819619{col 41}{space 1}    4.20{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .6319265{col 71}{space 3} 1.739345
{txt}{space 11}1986  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .900668{col 30}{space 2} .2490464{col 41}{space 1}    3.62{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .4115974{col 71}{space 3} 1.389739
{txt}{space 11}1987  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.150641{col 30}{space 2} .2756917{col 41}{space 1}    4.17{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .6092448{col 71}{space 3} 1.692037
{txt}{space 11}1988  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.063696{col 30}{space 2} .2767938{col 41}{space 1}    3.84{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4}  .520136{col 71}{space 3} 1.607256
{txt}{space 11}1989  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  1.18583{col 30}{space 2} .2869144{col 41}{space 1}    4.13{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4}  .622395{col 71}{space 3} 1.749264
{txt}{space 11}1990  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.084476{col 30}{space 2} .2793748{col 41}{space 1}    3.88{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .5358469{col 71}{space 3} 1.633104
{txt}{space 11}1991  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.109658{col 30}{space 2} .2882303{col 41}{space 1}    3.85{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .5436392{col 71}{space 3} 1.675677
{txt}{space 11}1992  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.201245{col 30}{space 2} .3153318{col 41}{space 1}    3.81{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .5820045{col 71}{space 3} 1.820485
{txt}{space 11}1993  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.215435{col 30}{space 2} .3081346{col 41}{space 1}    3.94{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .6103282{col 71}{space 3} 1.820541
{txt}{space 11}1994  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.181853{col 30}{space 2} .3045646{col 41}{space 1}    3.88{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .5837577{col 71}{space 3} 1.779949
{txt}{space 11}1995  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  1.36659{col 30}{space 2} .3160125{col 41}{space 1}    4.32{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .7460135{col 71}{space 3} 1.987167
{txt}{space 11}1996  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.296546{col 30}{space 2} .3153514{col 41}{space 1}    4.11{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .6772674{col 71}{space 3} 1.915824
{txt}{space 11}1997  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  1.31907{col 30}{space 2} .3279136{col 41}{space 1}    4.02{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .6751217{col 71}{space 3} 1.963017
{txt}{space 11}1998  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.354249{col 30}{space 2} .3418064{col 41}{space 1}    3.96{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .6830187{col 71}{space 3} 2.025479
{txt}{space 11}1999  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  1.28761{col 30}{space 2} .3368247{col 41}{space 1}    3.82{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .6261632{col 71}{space 3} 1.949058
{txt}{space 11}2000  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.327799{col 30}{space 2} .3450259{col 41}{space 1}    3.85{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .6502463{col 71}{space 3} 2.005351
{txt}{space 11}2001  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.383106{col 30}{space 2} .3577852{col 41}{space 1}    3.87{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .6804973{col 71}{space 3} 2.085715
{txt}{space 11}2002  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.336239{col 30}{space 2} .3549709{col 41}{space 1}    3.76{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .6391566{col 71}{space 3} 2.033321
{txt}{space 11}2003  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.423279{col 30}{space 2} .3712764{col 41}{space 1}    3.83{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .6941767{col 71}{space 3} 2.152382
{txt}{space 11}2004  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.473193{col 30}{space 2} .3840221{col 41}{space 1}    3.84{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .7190603{col 71}{space 3} 2.227325
{txt}{space 11}2005  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.460531{col 30}{space 2} .3807118{col 41}{space 1}    3.84{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .7128994{col 71}{space 3} 2.208163
{txt}{space 11}2006  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.493809{col 30}{space 2} .3819924{col 41}{space 1}    3.91{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .7436628{col 71}{space 3} 2.243956
{txt}{space 11}2007  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.527303{col 30}{space 2} .3896992{col 41}{space 1}    3.92{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .7620221{col 71}{space 3} 2.292584
{txt}{space 11}2008  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.509577{col 30}{space 2} .3835697{col 41}{space 1}    3.94{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .7563332{col 71}{space 3} 2.262821
{txt}{space 11}2009  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.470843{col 30}{space 2} .3819112{col 41}{space 1}    3.85{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .7208562{col 71}{space 3}  2.22083
{txt}{space 11}2010  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.590874{col 30}{space 2} .4278246{col 41}{space 1}    3.72{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .7507235{col 71}{space 3} 2.431024
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 11}_cons {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1663847{col 30}{space 2}  .135618{col 41}{space 1}    1.23{col 50}{space 3}0.220{col 58}{space 4}-.0999382{col 71}{space 3} .4327076
{txt}{hline 17}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict ihsklarnerranneyhatallfull if nonsouth==0
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,624 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   624) ={res}   18.52
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY) *
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   624) ={res}    9.42
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0001
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0000655{col 26}{space 2}  .000103{col 37}{space 1}    0.64{col 46}{space 3}0.525{col 54}{space 4}-.0001369{col 67}{space 3} .0002678
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0007485{col 26}{space 2} .0001573{col 37}{space 1}   -4.76{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0010569{col 67}{space 3}-.0004402
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. // (4,3)  MODEL
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** II.B: SOUTHERN STATES (N = 14): PRE-PARTISAN ALIGNMENT TIME PERIOD (1942 - 1980)***
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & nonsouth==0
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       385{col 27}-2688.837{col 38}-2319.902{col 49}    65{col 58} 4769.804{col 69} 5026.765
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & nonsouth==0, lag(6) force
{txt}note: L.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: LD.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity

Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       385
{txt}maximum lag: {res}6{col 49}{txt}F( 64,       320){col 67}= {res}    266.33
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1508852{col 34}{space 2} .0539478{col 45}{space 1}   -2.80{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4}-.2570223{col 75}{space 3} -.044748
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.958812{col 34}{space 2} 1.122522{col 45}{space 1}    1.75{col 54}{space 3}0.082{col 62}{space 4}-.2496424{col 75}{space 3} 4.167267
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  .294864{col 34}{space 2} .0864556{col 45}{space 1}    3.41{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} .1247708{col 75}{space 3} .4649572
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.472428{col 34}{space 2} 1.200367{col 45}{space 1}    1.23{col 54}{space 3}0.221{col 62}{space 4}-.8891808{col 75}{space 3} 3.834037
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1008161{col 34}{space 2} .0469384{col 45}{space 1}   -2.15{col 54}{space 3}0.032{col 62}{space 4} -.193163{col 75}{space 3}-.0084692
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .5108666{col 34}{space 2} 1.085154{col 45}{space 1}    0.47{col 54}{space 3}0.638{col 62}{space 4}-1.624071{col 75}{space 3} 2.645804
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0315985{col 34}{space 2} .0615357{col 45}{space 1}   -0.51{col 54}{space 3}0.608{col 62}{space 4}-.1526641{col 75}{space 3} .0894671
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1.46749{col 34}{space 2}  1.08601{col 45}{space 1}    1.35{col 54}{space 3}0.178{col 62}{space 4}-.6691323{col 75}{space 3} 3.604112
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-384.9628{col 34}{space 2} 214.0516{col 45}{space 1}   -1.80{col 54}{space 3}0.073{col 62}{space 4}-806.0889{col 75}{space 3} 36.16329
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 230.3574{col 34}{space 2} 250.4347{col 45}{space 1}    0.92{col 54}{space 3}0.358{col 62}{space 4} -262.349{col 75}{space 3} 723.0639
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.6630626{col 34}{space 2} 38.65377{col 45}{space 1}   -0.02{col 54}{space 3}0.986{col 62}{space 4}-76.71068{col 75}{space 3} 75.38455
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 29.98697{col 34}{space 2} 63.21128{col 45}{space 1}    0.47{col 54}{space 3}0.636{col 62}{space 4}-94.37521{col 75}{space 3} 154.3491
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-253.8327{col 34}{space 2} 257.2492{col 45}{space 1}   -0.99{col 54}{space 3}0.325{col 62}{space 4} -759.946{col 75}{space 3} 252.2806
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-509.9734{col 34}{space 2} 569.7497{col 45}{space 1}   -0.90{col 54}{space 3}0.371{col 62}{space 4}-1630.902{col 75}{space 3}  610.955
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-147.5864{col 34}{space 2} 455.6479{col 45}{space 1}   -0.32{col 54}{space 3}0.746{col 62}{space 4} -1044.03{col 75}{space 3} 748.8575
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 3241.773{col 34}{space 2} 766.3073{col 45}{space 1}    4.23{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1734.136{col 75}{space 3}  4749.41
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-52.84286{col 34}{space 2} 64.58494{col 45}{space 1}   -0.82{col 54}{space 3}0.414{col 62}{space 4}-179.9076{col 75}{space 3} 74.22188
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  30.2785{col 34}{space 2} 50.97429{col 45}{space 1}    0.59{col 54}{space 3}0.553{col 62}{space 4}-70.00857{col 75}{space 3} 130.5656
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 19.69796{col 34}{space 2}  54.9635{col 45}{space 1}    0.36{col 54}{space 3}0.720{col 62}{space 4} -88.4375{col 75}{space 3} 127.8334
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-5.756397{col 34}{space 2} 51.29866{col 45}{space 1}   -0.11{col 54}{space 3}0.911{col 62}{space 4}-106.6816{col 75}{space 3} 95.16883
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 18}5  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-53.42008{col 34}{space 2} 50.09373{col 45}{space 1}   -1.07{col 54}{space 3}0.287{col 62}{space 4}-151.9747{col 75}{space 3} 45.13457
{txt}{space 17}12  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 251.1977{col 34}{space 2} 86.90535{col 45}{space 1}    2.89{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4} 80.21972{col 75}{space 3} 422.1758
{txt}{space 17}13  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 110.7511{col 34}{space 2} 36.11999{col 45}{space 1}    3.07{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 39.68841{col 75}{space 3} 181.8137
{txt}{space 17}22  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 112.2078{col 34}{space 2} 54.42814{col 45}{space 1}    2.06{col 54}{space 3}0.040{col 62}{space 4}  5.12558{col 75}{space 3}   219.29
{txt}{space 17}28  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-147.9591{col 34}{space 2} 62.58113{col 45}{space 1}   -2.36{col 54}{space 3}0.019{col 62}{space 4}-271.0816{col 75}{space 3} -24.8367
{txt}{space 17}37  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 22.49921{col 34}{space 2} 28.79233{col 45}{space 1}    0.78{col 54}{space 3}0.435{col 62}{space 4}-34.14696{col 75}{space 3} 79.14537
{txt}{space 17}45  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-24.90275{col 34}{space 2} 26.20321{col 45}{space 1}   -0.95{col 54}{space 3}0.343{col 62}{space 4}-76.45508{col 75}{space 3} 26.64959
{txt}{space 17}47  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-16.19147{col 34}{space 2} 55.21658{col 45}{space 1}   -0.29{col 54}{space 3}0.770{col 62}{space 4}-124.8248{col 75}{space 3}  92.4419
{txt}{space 17}48  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 283.0564{col 34}{space 2} 78.76987{col 45}{space 1}    3.59{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 128.0842{col 75}{space 3} 438.0287
{txt}{space 17}51  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 246.9897{col 34}{space 2} 86.50673{col 45}{space 1}    2.86{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4} 76.79592{col 75}{space 3} 417.1835
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1947  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 128.5814{col 34}{space 2}  107.035{col 45}{space 1}    1.20{col 54}{space 3}0.231{col 62}{space 4}-81.99968{col 75}{space 3} 339.1625
{txt}{space 15}1948  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 479.5221{col 34}{space 2} 109.8421{col 45}{space 1}    4.37{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 263.4181{col 75}{space 3}  695.626
{txt}{space 15}1949  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 218.3119{col 34}{space 2} 106.1164{col 45}{space 1}    2.06{col 54}{space 3}0.040{col 62}{space 4} 9.537981{col 75}{space 3} 427.0858
{txt}{space 15}1950  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 529.2045{col 34}{space 2} 75.05088{col 45}{space 1}    7.05{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 381.5491{col 75}{space 3}   676.86
{txt}{space 15}1951  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 440.9165{col 34}{space 2} 69.40413{col 45}{space 1}    6.35{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 304.3705{col 75}{space 3} 577.4625
{txt}{space 15}1952  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 562.4892{col 34}{space 2} 60.82013{col 45}{space 1}    9.25{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 442.8314{col 75}{space 3}  682.147
{txt}{space 15}1953  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 508.5158{col 34}{space 2} 59.88174{col 45}{space 1}    8.49{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 390.7041{col 75}{space 3} 626.3274
{txt}{space 15}1954  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 368.5169{col 34}{space 2} 58.01794{col 45}{space 1}    6.35{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 254.3721{col 75}{space 3} 482.6616
{txt}{space 15}1955  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 776.5576{col 34}{space 2} 68.48333{col 45}{space 1}   11.34{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 641.8232{col 75}{space 3} 911.2921
{txt}{space 15}1956  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 625.3625{col 34}{space 2} 76.78567{col 45}{space 1}    8.14{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  474.294{col 75}{space 3} 776.4311
{txt}{space 15}1957  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 424.5494{col 34}{space 2} 82.52735{col 45}{space 1}    5.14{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 262.1847{col 75}{space 3} 586.9141
{txt}{space 15}1958  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 566.5913{col 34}{space 2} 79.16433{col 45}{space 1}    7.16{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  410.843{col 75}{space 3} 722.3396
{txt}{space 15}1959  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 791.5494{col 34}{space 2} 89.60161{col 45}{space 1}    8.83{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 615.2668{col 75}{space 3} 967.8321
{txt}{space 15}1960  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 503.2234{col 34}{space 2} 92.08721{col 45}{space 1}    5.46{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 322.0506{col 75}{space 3} 684.3963
{txt}{space 15}1961  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 742.0296{col 34}{space 2} 98.94704{col 45}{space 1}    7.50{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 547.3607{col 75}{space 3} 936.6985
{txt}{space 15}1962  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 773.3689{col 34}{space 2} 93.55009{col 45}{space 1}    8.27{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  589.318{col 75}{space 3} 957.4198
{txt}{space 15}1963  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 785.4631{col 34}{space 2} 104.2535{col 45}{space 1}    7.53{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 580.3543{col 75}{space 3} 990.5718
{txt}{space 15}1964  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 942.9807{col 34}{space 2} 106.9939{col 45}{space 1}    8.81{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 732.4805{col 75}{space 3} 1153.481
{txt}{space 15}1965  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 981.3065{col 34}{space 2} 112.7489{col 45}{space 1}    8.70{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 759.4838{col 75}{space 3} 1203.129
{txt}{space 15}1966  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1054.873{col 34}{space 2}  127.445{col 45}{space 1}    8.28{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 804.1369{col 75}{space 3} 1305.609
{txt}{space 15}1967  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1059.531{col 34}{space 2} 139.3392{col 45}{space 1}    7.60{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 785.3948{col 75}{space 3} 1333.668
{txt}{space 15}1968  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1154.431{col 34}{space 2} 155.8126{col 45}{space 1}    7.41{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 847.8842{col 75}{space 3} 1460.977
{txt}{space 15}1969  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1115.877{col 34}{space 2} 180.7961{col 45}{space 1}    6.17{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 760.1777{col 75}{space 3} 1471.576
{txt}{space 15}1970  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1040.014{col 34}{space 2} 190.2724{col 45}{space 1}    5.47{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 665.6712{col 75}{space 3} 1414.357
{txt}{space 15}1971  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1211.978{col 34}{space 2} 205.2836{col 45}{space 1}    5.90{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 808.1017{col 75}{space 3} 1615.854
{txt}{space 15}1972  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1499.933{col 34}{space 2}  227.815{col 45}{space 1}    6.58{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1051.729{col 75}{space 3} 1948.137
{txt}{space 15}1973  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1449.196{col 34}{space 2}   240.26{col 45}{space 1}    6.03{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 976.5072{col 75}{space 3} 1921.885
{txt}{space 15}1974  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 969.9594{col 34}{space 2} 243.6058{col 45}{space 1}    3.98{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 490.6881{col 75}{space 3} 1449.231
{txt}{space 15}1975  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1054.59{col 34}{space 2} 267.6603{col 45}{space 1}    3.94{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 527.9941{col 75}{space 3} 1581.187
{txt}{space 15}1976  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1562.423{col 34}{space 2} 270.0412{col 45}{space 1}    5.79{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1031.143{col 75}{space 3} 2093.703
{txt}{space 15}1977  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1297.778{col 34}{space 2} 299.3876{col 45}{space 1}    4.33{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 708.7611{col 75}{space 3} 1886.794
{txt}{space 15}1978  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1602.936{col 34}{space 2} 311.2782{col 45}{space 1}    5.15{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 990.5259{col 75}{space 3} 2215.346
{txt}{space 15}1979  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1156.849{col 34}{space 2} 311.1904{col 45}{space 1}    3.72{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 544.6118{col 75}{space 3} 1769.087
{txt}{space 15}1980  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1052.396{col 34}{space 2} 338.8786{col 45}{space 1}    3.11{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 385.6842{col 75}{space 3} 1719.107
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 460.5086{col 34}{space 2} 447.9927{col 45}{space 1}    1.03{col 54}{space 3}0.305{col 62}{space 4}-420.8744{col 75}{space 3} 1341.892
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallpre if year<=1980 & nonsouth==0
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,954 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   320) ={res}    7.82
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0055
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENIETY)*
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   320) ={res}    3.95
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0202
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.450785{col 26}{space 2} 2.311581{col 37}{space 1}    1.49{col 46}{space 3}0.136{col 54}{space 4}-1.097031{col 67}{space 3}   7.9986
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 12.98214{col 26}{space 2} 6.304431{col 37}{space 1}    2.06{col 46}{space 3}0.039{col 54}{space 4} .6256828{col 67}{space 3}  25.3386
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. sum klarnerranney  if real_pc_inc_annhatallpre!=. & year<=1980 & nonsouth==0, detail

         {txt}Annual Ranney Measure of State Legislative
               Partisan Balance (Klarner Data)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res}        0              0
{txt} 5%    {res}        0              0
{txt}10%    {res}        0              0       {txt}Obs         {res}        385
{txt}25%    {res} .9433962              0       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        385

{txt}50%    {res} 6.373626                      {txt}Mean          {res} 15.08223
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res}     20.3
{txt}75%    {res} 21.01075       86.86869
{txt}90%    {res}     44.5       89.89899       {txt}Variance      {res} 412.0899
{txt}95%    {res} 63.63636       90.90909       {txt}Skewness      {res} 1.821364
{txt}99%    {res} 86.86869       90.90909       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 5.859765
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS OF  klarnerranney ON real_pc_inc_ann:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD *
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])* 39.39394  -  (_b[l.klarnerranney]  / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])* 1.923077

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])* 39.39394 - (_b[l.klarnerranney]  / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])* 1.923077

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  486.452{col 26}{space 2} 236.2325{col 37}{space 1}    2.06{col 46}{space 3}0.039{col 54}{space 4} 23.44488{col 67}{space 3} 949.4591
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. qui regress d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & nonsouth==0
{txt}
{com}. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       385{col 27}-267.5408{col 38}-184.6897{col 49}    59{col 58} 487.3795{col 69} 720.6208
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. *
. 
. newey d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & nonsouth==0, lag(6) force
{txt}note: L.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: LD.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity

Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       385
{txt}maximum lag: {res}6{col 49}{txt}F( 58,       326){col 67}= {res}      4.99
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 17}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.              {col 18}{c |}{col 30}  Newey-West
{col 1}ihsklarnerranney{col 18}{c |}      Coef.{col 30}   Std. Err.{col 42}      t{col 50}   P>|t|{col 58}     [95% Con{col 71}f. Interval]
{hline 17}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1688929{col 30}{space 2} .0425293{col 41}{space 1}   -3.97{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4}-.2525594{col 71}{space 3}-.0852264
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0001981{col 30}{space 2} .0000871{col 41}{space 1}   -2.27{col 50}{space 3}0.024{col 58}{space 4}-.0003693{col 71}{space 3}-.0000268
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0208565{col 30}{space 2} .0739264{col 41}{space 1}    0.28{col 50}{space 3}0.778{col 58}{space 4}-.1245765{col 71}{space 3} .1662896
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}D1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0001595{col 30}{space 2} .0001682{col 41}{space 1}   -0.95{col 50}{space 3}0.344{col 58}{space 4}-.0004904{col 71}{space 3} .0001714
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.2383151{col 30}{space 2} .0533193{col 41}{space 1}   -4.47{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4}-.3432085{col 71}{space 3}-.1334218
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0002931{col 30}{space 2} .0001998{col 41}{space 1}    1.47{col 50}{space 3}0.143{col 58}{space 4}-.0001001{col 71}{space 3} .0006862
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L3D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1202887{col 30}{space 2} .0579445{col 41}{space 1}   -2.08{col 50}{space 3}0.039{col 58}{space 4}-.2342812{col 71}{space 3}-.0062963
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0002684{col 30}{space 2} .0002108{col 41}{space 1}    1.27{col 50}{space 3}0.204{col 58}{space 4}-.0001463{col 71}{space 3} .0006831
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 7}gov_party {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0515288{col 30}{space 2} .1606693{col 41}{space 1}   -0.32{col 50}{space 3}0.749{col 58}{space 4}-.3676084{col 71}{space 3} .2645508
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1829608{col 30}{space 2}  .153728{col 41}{space 1}   -1.19{col 50}{space 3}0.235{col 58}{space 4}-.4853849{col 71}{space 3} .1194632
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}dem_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1483929{col 30}{space 2} .1579616{col 41}{space 1}    0.94{col 50}{space 3}0.348{col 58}{space 4}-.1623598{col 71}{space 3} .4591457
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0365938{col 30}{space 2} .1611353{col 41}{space 1}    0.23{col 50}{space 3}0.820{col 58}{space 4}-.2804023{col 71}{space 3}   .35359
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}rep_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}        0{col 30}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}        0{col 30}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 16} {c |}
{space 2}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0105247{col 30}{space 2} .1095311{col 41}{space 1}    0.10{col 50}{space 3}0.924{col 58}{space 4}-.2049523{col 71}{space 3} .2260018
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0737264{col 30}{space 2} .1018935{col 41}{space 1}    0.72{col 50}{space 3}0.470{col 58}{space 4}-.1267254{col 71}{space 3} .2741782
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 6}state_fips {c |}
{space 14}5  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0434937{col 30}{space 2} .1180548{col 41}{space 1}    0.37{col 50}{space 3}0.713{col 58}{space 4}-.1887516{col 71}{space 3}  .275739
{txt}{space 13}12  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .8639432{col 30}{space 2} .2094495{col 41}{space 1}    4.12{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .4518999{col 71}{space 3} 1.275986
{txt}{space 13}13  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4390532{col 30}{space 2} .1369005{col 41}{space 1}    3.21{col 50}{space 3}0.001{col 58}{space 4} .1697333{col 71}{space 3} .7083731
{txt}{space 13}22  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1449267{col 30}{space 2} .1152809{col 41}{space 1}    1.26{col 50}{space 3}0.210{col 58}{space 4}-.0818616{col 71}{space 3}  .371715
{txt}{space 13}28  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1116234{col 30}{space 2}  .127426{col 41}{space 1}   -0.88{col 50}{space 3}0.382{col 58}{space 4}-.3623045{col 71}{space 3} .1390576
{txt}{space 13}37  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4898754{col 30}{space 2} .1514774{col 41}{space 1}    3.23{col 50}{space 3}0.001{col 58}{space 4} .1918789{col 71}{space 3} .7878719
{txt}{space 13}45  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1567344{col 30}{space 2} .1514256{col 41}{space 1}    1.04{col 50}{space 3}0.301{col 58}{space 4}-.1411603{col 71}{space 3} .4546291
{txt}{space 13}47  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .6824102{col 30}{space 2} .1817796{col 41}{space 1}    3.75{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4}  .324801{col 71}{space 3} 1.040019
{txt}{space 13}48  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4963997{col 30}{space 2} .1745627{col 41}{space 1}    2.84{col 50}{space 3}0.005{col 58}{space 4} .1529882{col 71}{space 3} .8398113
{txt}{space 13}51  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .8003797{col 30}{space 2} .2108158{col 41}{space 1}    3.80{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .3856487{col 71}{space 3} 1.215111
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 12}year {c |}
{space 11}1947  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1061849{col 30}{space 2} .1702157{col 41}{space 1}    0.62{col 50}{space 3}0.533{col 58}{space 4}-.2286749{col 71}{space 3} .4410447
{txt}{space 11}1948  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2602881{col 30}{space 2} .2431652{col 41}{space 1}    1.07{col 50}{space 3}0.285{col 58}{space 4} -.218083{col 71}{space 3} .7386592
{txt}{space 11}1949  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0606685{col 30}{space 2} .2061883{col 41}{space 1}   -0.29{col 50}{space 3}0.769{col 58}{space 4}-.4662961{col 71}{space 3} .3449591
{txt}{space 11}1950  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0056452{col 30}{space 2} .1618686{col 41}{space 1}    0.03{col 50}{space 3}0.972{col 58}{space 4}-.3127937{col 71}{space 3} .3240841
{txt}{space 11}1951  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1162285{col 30}{space 2} .2397549{col 41}{space 1}    0.48{col 50}{space 3}0.628{col 58}{space 4}-.3554336{col 71}{space 3} .5878905
{txt}{space 11}1952  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0143867{col 30}{space 2} .1309992{col 41}{space 1}    0.11{col 50}{space 3}0.913{col 58}{space 4}-.2433237{col 71}{space 3} .2720971
{txt}{space 11}1953  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3120463{col 30}{space 2} .2020508{col 41}{space 1}    1.54{col 50}{space 3}0.123{col 58}{space 4}-.0854418{col 71}{space 3} .7095343
{txt}{space 11}1954  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1353206{col 30}{space 2} .1292034{col 41}{space 1}    1.05{col 50}{space 3}0.296{col 58}{space 4} -.118857{col 71}{space 3} .3894983
{txt}{space 11}1955  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2652822{col 30}{space 2} .2149817{col 41}{space 1}    1.23{col 50}{space 3}0.218{col 58}{space 4}-.1576443{col 71}{space 3} .6882086
{txt}{space 11}1956  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2307155{col 30}{space 2} .1808225{col 41}{space 1}    1.28{col 50}{space 3}0.203{col 58}{space 4}-.1250107{col 71}{space 3} .5864417
{txt}{space 11}1957  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1474057{col 30}{space 2} .1324221{col 41}{space 1}    1.11{col 50}{space 3}0.266{col 58}{space 4}-.1131039{col 71}{space 3} .4079154
{txt}{space 11}1958  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .262506{col 30}{space 2}  .164921{col 41}{space 1}    1.59{col 50}{space 3}0.112{col 58}{space 4}-.0619377{col 71}{space 3} .5869497
{txt}{space 11}1959  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0410541{col 30}{space 2} .2594701{col 41}{space 1}    0.16{col 50}{space 3}0.874{col 58}{space 4}-.4693931{col 71}{space 3} .5515013
{txt}{space 11}1960  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2230027{col 30}{space 2} .1790589{col 41}{space 1}    1.25{col 50}{space 3}0.214{col 58}{space 4} -.129254{col 71}{space 3} .5752595
{txt}{space 11}1961  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4027883{col 30}{space 2} .2082651{col 41}{space 1}    1.93{col 50}{space 3}0.054{col 58}{space 4}-.0069249{col 71}{space 3} .8125016
{txt}{space 11}1962  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3845084{col 30}{space 2} .2346082{col 41}{space 1}    1.64{col 50}{space 3}0.102{col 58}{space 4}-.0770287{col 71}{space 3} .8460455
{txt}{space 11}1963  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .7513528{col 30}{space 2} .2511047{col 41}{space 1}    2.99{col 50}{space 3}0.003{col 58}{space 4} .2573626{col 71}{space 3} 1.245343
{txt}{space 11}1964  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .7987658{col 30}{space 2} .2616742{col 41}{space 1}    3.05{col 50}{space 3}0.002{col 58}{space 4} .2839826{col 71}{space 3} 1.313549
{txt}{space 11}1965  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5124915{col 30}{space 2} .3104944{col 41}{space 1}    1.65{col 50}{space 3}0.100{col 58}{space 4} -.098334{col 71}{space 3} 1.123317
{txt}{space 11}1966  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.027843{col 30}{space 2} .3132124{col 41}{space 1}    3.28{col 50}{space 3}0.001{col 58}{space 4} .4116701{col 71}{space 3} 1.644015
{txt}{space 11}1967  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.469102{col 30}{space 2} .3699079{col 41}{space 1}    3.97{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .7413945{col 71}{space 3}  2.19681
{txt}{space 11}1968  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .7454829{col 30}{space 2} .3843309{col 41}{space 1}    1.94{col 50}{space 3}0.053{col 58}{space 4}-.0105988{col 71}{space 3} 1.501565
{txt}{space 11}1969  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.195709{col 30}{space 2} .3623326{col 41}{space 1}    3.30{col 50}{space 3}0.001{col 58}{space 4} .4829035{col 71}{space 3} 1.908514
{txt}{space 11}1970  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.415154{col 30}{space 2} .3864836{col 41}{space 1}    3.66{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .6548369{col 71}{space 3}  2.17547
{txt}{space 11}1971  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.067693{col 30}{space 2} .3800785{col 41}{space 1}    2.81{col 50}{space 3}0.005{col 58}{space 4} .3199768{col 71}{space 3} 1.815409
{txt}{space 11}1972  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.387492{col 30}{space 2} .4671452{col 41}{space 1}    2.97{col 50}{space 3}0.003{col 58}{space 4} .4684928{col 71}{space 3} 2.306492
{txt}{space 11}1973  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.462561{col 30}{space 2} .4472005{col 41}{space 1}    3.27{col 50}{space 3}0.001{col 58}{space 4} .5827978{col 71}{space 3} 2.342324
{txt}{space 11}1974  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}   1.1889{col 30}{space 2} .4412915{col 41}{space 1}    2.69{col 50}{space 3}0.007{col 58}{space 4}  .320762{col 71}{space 3} 2.057039
{txt}{space 11}1975  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.088931{col 30}{space 2} .5249795{col 41}{space 1}    2.07{col 50}{space 3}0.039{col 58}{space 4} .0561556{col 71}{space 3} 2.121706
{txt}{space 11}1976  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  1.54984{col 30}{space 2} .5385606{col 41}{space 1}    2.88{col 50}{space 3}0.004{col 58}{space 4} .4903476{col 71}{space 3} 2.609333
{txt}{space 11}1977  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.638345{col 30}{space 2} .5841739{col 41}{space 1}    2.80{col 50}{space 3}0.005{col 58}{space 4}  .489119{col 71}{space 3} 2.787572
{txt}{space 11}1978  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.426052{col 30}{space 2}  .521699{col 41}{space 1}    2.73{col 50}{space 3}0.007{col 58}{space 4} .3997302{col 71}{space 3} 2.452373
{txt}{space 11}1979  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.662342{col 30}{space 2}   .54178{col 41}{space 1}    3.07{col 50}{space 3}0.002{col 58}{space 4} .5965163{col 71}{space 3} 2.728169
{txt}{space 11}1980  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.631729{col 30}{space 2} .5420159{col 41}{space 1}    3.01{col 50}{space 3}0.003{col 58}{space 4} .5654388{col 71}{space 3} 2.698019
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 11}_cons {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5544253{col 30}{space 2} .3969508{col 41}{space 1}    1.40{col 50}{space 3}0.163{col 58}{space 4}-.2264831{col 71}{space 3} 1.335334
{txt}{hline 17}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict ihsklarnerranneyhatallpre if year<=1980 & nonsouth==0
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,954 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
.  
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   326) ={res}   15.77
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0001
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENIETY)*
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   326) ={res}   10.01
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0001
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .000402{col 26}{space 2}  .000325{col 37}{space 1}    1.24{col 46}{space 3}0.217{col 54}{space 4}-.0002375{col 67}{space 3} .0010414
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0011727{col 26}{space 2} .0005798{col 37}{space 1}   -2.02{col 46}{space 3}0.043{col 54}{space 4}-.0023091{col 67}{space 3}-.0000363
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. sum real_pc_inc_ann   if ihsklarnerranneyhatallpre!=. & year<=1980 & nonsouth==0, detail

        {txt}Per Capita Annual Income (1982-1984 Constant
                          Dollars)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 3175.111       2933.336
{txt} 5%    {res} 3754.191       2952.088
{txt}10%    {res} 4006.136       3099.246       {txt}Obs         {res}        385
{txt}25%    {res} 4967.889       3175.111       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        385

{txt}50%    {res} 6443.068                      {txt}Mean          {res} 6873.828
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 2359.508
{txt}75%    {res} 8856.906        12169.1
{txt}90%    {res} 10197.66       12264.53       {txt}Variance      {res}  5567280
{txt}95%    {res}  11124.2       12302.72       {txt}Skewness      {res} .4237045
{txt}99%    {res}  12169.1       12331.84       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 2.118678
{txt}
{com}. 
. *
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS  OF  real_pc_inc_ann ON ihsklarnerranney:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD 
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*8860.249   -  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*4972.713

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*8860.249 - (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*4972.713

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-4.558785{col 26}{space 2} 2.254003{col 37}{space 1}   -2.02{col 46}{space 3}0.043{col 54}{space 4} -8.97655{col 67}{space 3}-.1410192
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
.   
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. // (4,3)  MODEL
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** II.C: SOUTHERN STATES (N = 14): POST-PARTISAN ALIGNMENT TIME PERIOD (1981 - 2010) ***
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & nonsouth==0
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       330{col 27}-2337.978{col 38}-2110.121{col 49}    62{col 58} 4344.243{col 69} 4579.787
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & nonsouth==0, lag(5) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       330
{txt}maximum lag: {res}5{col 49}{txt}F( 61,       268){col 67}= {res}     40.46
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1562387{col 34}{space 2} .0259114{col 45}{space 1}   -6.03{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-.2072544{col 75}{space 3} -.105223
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.6742364{col 34}{space 2} 1.104013{col 45}{space 1}   -0.61{col 54}{space 3}0.542{col 62}{space 4}-2.847878{col 75}{space 3} 1.499405
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3389282{col 34}{space 2} .0956619{col 45}{space 1}    3.54{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} .1505837{col 75}{space 3} .5272726
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.9020605{col 34}{space 2} 1.561358{col 45}{space 1}   -0.58{col 54}{space 3}0.564{col 62}{space 4}-3.976147{col 75}{space 3} 2.172026
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2045714{col 34}{space 2}  .085521{col 45}{space 1}    2.39{col 54}{space 3}0.017{col 62}{space 4} .0361929{col 75}{space 3} .3729499
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.493421{col 34}{space 2} 1.630528{col 45}{space 1}   -0.92{col 54}{space 3}0.361{col 62}{space 4}-4.703695{col 75}{space 3} 1.716853
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0232135{col 34}{space 2} .0758416{col 45}{space 1}    0.31{col 54}{space 3}0.760{col 62}{space 4}-.1261077{col 75}{space 3} .1725346
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2486163{col 34}{space 2} 1.673034{col 45}{space 1}   -0.15{col 54}{space 3}0.882{col 62}{space 4}-3.542579{col 75}{space 3} 3.045346
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-533.8952{col 34}{space 2} 764.2059{col 45}{space 1}   -0.70{col 54}{space 3}0.485{col 62}{space 4}-2038.506{col 75}{space 3} 970.7156
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 74.23651{col 34}{space 2} 1048.404{col 45}{space 1}    0.07{col 54}{space 3}0.944{col 62}{space 4}-1989.919{col 75}{space 3} 2138.392
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 56.56355{col 34}{space 2}  69.7777{col 45}{space 1}    0.81{col 54}{space 3}0.418{col 62}{space 4}-80.81864{col 75}{space 3} 193.9457
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -208.053{col 34}{space 2} 60.23706{col 45}{space 1}   -3.45{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-326.6511{col 75}{space 3}-89.45497
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1141.745{col 34}{space 2} 522.4679{col 45}{space 1}   -2.19{col 54}{space 3}0.030{col 62}{space 4}-2170.409{col 75}{space 3}-113.0816
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 398.2752{col 34}{space 2} 958.9256{col 45}{space 1}    0.42{col 54}{space 3}0.678{col 62}{space 4} -1489.71{col 75}{space 3} 2286.261
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 305.2026{col 34}{space 2} 4497.511{col 45}{space 1}    0.07{col 54}{space 3}0.946{col 62}{space 4}-8549.745{col 75}{space 3}  9160.15
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  4900.45{col 34}{space 2} 2986.471{col 45}{space 1}    1.64{col 54}{space 3}0.102{col 62}{space 4} -979.478{col 75}{space 3} 10780.38
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 34.99706{col 34}{space 2}  39.3823{col 45}{space 1}    0.89{col 54}{space 3}0.375{col 62}{space 4}-42.54098{col 75}{space 3} 112.5351
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 34.15017{col 34}{space 2} 53.37039{col 45}{space 1}    0.64{col 54}{space 3}0.523{col 62}{space 4} -70.9284{col 75}{space 3} 139.2287
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-14.94226{col 34}{space 2} 49.68009{col 45}{space 1}   -0.30{col 54}{space 3}0.764{col 62}{space 4}-112.7552{col 75}{space 3} 82.87063
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-38.56155{col 34}{space 2} 54.42909{col 45}{space 1}   -0.71{col 54}{space 3}0.479{col 62}{space 4}-145.7246{col 75}{space 3} 68.60145
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-75.53887{col 34}{space 2} 55.68422{col 45}{space 1}   -1.36{col 54}{space 3}0.176{col 62}{space 4} -185.173{col 75}{space 3}  34.0953
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 20.09394{col 34}{space 2} 75.14757{col 45}{space 1}    0.27{col 54}{space 3}0.789{col 62}{space 4}-127.8607{col 75}{space 3} 168.0486
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 18}5  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-79.34414{col 34}{space 2} 98.62764{col 45}{space 1}   -0.80{col 54}{space 3}0.422{col 62}{space 4}-273.5277{col 75}{space 3} 114.8394
{txt}{space 17}12  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 454.0228{col 34}{space 2} 93.00194{col 45}{space 1}    4.88{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 270.9155{col 75}{space 3} 637.1302
{txt}{space 17}13  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 295.2809{col 34}{space 2} 60.29535{col 45}{space 1}    4.90{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 176.5681{col 75}{space 3} 413.9937
{txt}{space 17}22  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 40.64999{col 34}{space 2} 45.83231{col 45}{space 1}    0.89{col 54}{space 3}0.376{col 62}{space 4} -49.5872{col 75}{space 3} 130.8872
{txt}{space 17}28  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-201.7895{col 34}{space 2} 56.67739{col 45}{space 1}   -3.56{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} -313.379{col 75}{space 3}-90.19988
{txt}{space 17}37  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 199.4632{col 34}{space 2} 46.29878{col 45}{space 1}    4.31{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 108.3076{col 75}{space 3} 290.6188
{txt}{space 17}45  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 22.08715{col 34}{space 2} 46.79802{col 45}{space 1}    0.47{col 54}{space 3}0.637{col 62}{space 4}-70.05137{col 75}{space 3} 114.2257
{txt}{space 17}47  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 262.5713{col 34}{space 2} 86.07643{col 45}{space 1}    3.05{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} 93.09926{col 75}{space 3} 432.0433
{txt}{space 17}48  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  363.096{col 34}{space 2} 76.65416{col 45}{space 1}    4.74{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  212.175{col 75}{space 3} 514.0169
{txt}{space 17}51  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 617.7751{col 34}{space 2} 121.4552{col 45}{space 1}    5.09{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 378.6473{col 75}{space 3} 856.9028
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1982  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-148.4788{col 34}{space 2} 93.94353{col 45}{space 1}   -1.58{col 54}{space 3}0.115{col 62}{space 4}  -333.44{col 75}{space 3} 36.48243
{txt}{space 15}1983  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  100.725{col 34}{space 2} 113.3273{col 45}{space 1}    0.89{col 54}{space 3}0.375{col 62}{space 4}-122.4001{col 75}{space 3} 323.8501
{txt}{space 15}1984  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 308.2889{col 34}{space 2}  96.1572{col 45}{space 1}    3.21{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 118.9693{col 75}{space 3} 497.6085
{txt}{space 15}1985  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 19.09933{col 34}{space 2} 122.1313{col 45}{space 1}    0.16{col 54}{space 3}0.876{col 62}{space 4}-221.3595{col 75}{space 3} 259.5582
{txt}{space 15}1986  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 66.47764{col 34}{space 2}   112.37{col 45}{space 1}    0.59{col 54}{space 3}0.555{col 62}{space 4}-154.7627{col 75}{space 3}  287.718
{txt}{space 15}1987  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  20.6362{col 34}{space 2} 98.51098{col 45}{space 1}    0.21{col 54}{space 3}0.834{col 62}{space 4}-173.3177{col 75}{space 3} 214.5901
{txt}{space 15}1988  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 316.3385{col 34}{space 2} 105.7416{col 45}{space 1}    2.99{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} 108.1486{col 75}{space 3} 524.5284
{txt}{space 15}1989  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 271.3176{col 34}{space 2} 123.7918{col 45}{space 1}    2.19{col 54}{space 3}0.029{col 62}{space 4} 27.58946{col 75}{space 3} 515.0457
{txt}{space 15}1990  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 20.02206{col 34}{space 2} 127.7622{col 45}{space 1}    0.16{col 54}{space 3}0.876{col 62}{space 4}-231.5232{col 75}{space 3} 271.5673
{txt}{space 15}1991  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 47.66029{col 34}{space 2} 107.2455{col 45}{space 1}    0.44{col 54}{space 3}0.657{col 62}{space 4}-163.4906{col 75}{space 3} 258.8112
{txt}{space 15}1992  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 560.3033{col 34}{space 2} 123.6043{col 45}{space 1}    4.53{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 316.9444{col 75}{space 3} 803.6622
{txt}{space 15}1993  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 310.7883{col 34}{space 2} 164.2845{col 45}{space 1}    1.89{col 54}{space 3}0.060{col 62}{space 4}-12.66408{col 75}{space 3} 634.2408
{txt}{space 15}1994  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 524.2349{col 34}{space 2}  142.867{col 45}{space 1}    3.67{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 242.9504{col 75}{space 3} 805.5193
{txt}{space 15}1995  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 475.2241{col 34}{space 2} 153.3249{col 45}{space 1}    3.10{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 173.3496{col 75}{space 3} 777.0987
{txt}{space 15}1996  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 520.8171{col 34}{space 2} 153.1653{col 45}{space 1}    3.40{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 219.2569{col 75}{space 3} 822.3774
{txt}{space 15}1997  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 651.0488{col 34}{space 2} 164.0892{col 45}{space 1}    3.97{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 327.9809{col 75}{space 3} 974.1166
{txt}{space 15}1998  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}   916.74{col 34}{space 2} 173.2921{col 45}{space 1}    5.29{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 575.5529{col 75}{space 3} 1257.927
{txt}{space 15}1999  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  534.952{col 34}{space 2} 196.3683{col 45}{space 1}    2.72{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4} 148.3312{col 75}{space 3} 921.5728
{txt}{space 15}2000  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 801.1755{col 34}{space 2} 184.0045{col 45}{space 1}    4.35{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 438.8973{col 75}{space 3} 1163.454
{txt}{space 15}2001  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 645.0481{col 34}{space 2}  199.613{col 45}{space 1}    3.23{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 252.0391{col 75}{space 3} 1038.057
{txt}{space 15}2002  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  564.625{col 34}{space 2} 197.2716{col 45}{space 1}    2.86{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4} 176.2258{col 75}{space 3} 953.0241
{txt}{space 15}2003  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 752.8327{col 34}{space 2} 195.5499{col 45}{space 1}    3.85{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 367.8232{col 75}{space 3} 1137.842
{txt}{space 15}2004  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1103.405{col 34}{space 2} 220.3253{col 45}{space 1}    5.01{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 669.6168{col 75}{space 3} 1537.194
{txt}{space 15}2005  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 987.0293{col 34}{space 2} 248.5834{col 45}{space 1}    3.97{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 497.6046{col 75}{space 3} 1476.454
{txt}{space 15}2006  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1127.865{col 34}{space 2} 241.3243{col 45}{space 1}    4.67{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  652.732{col 75}{space 3} 1602.997
{txt}{space 15}2007  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1022.864{col 34}{space 2}  236.557{col 45}{space 1}    4.32{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 557.1176{col 75}{space 3} 1488.611
{txt}{space 15}2008  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 759.0708{col 34}{space 2} 261.9494{col 45}{space 1}    2.90{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4} 243.3304{col 75}{space 3} 1274.811
{txt}{space 15}2009  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 209.4948{col 34}{space 2} 213.5588{col 45}{space 1}    0.98{col 54}{space 3}0.327{col 62}{space 4}-210.9715{col 75}{space 3} 629.9612
{txt}{space 15}2010  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1248.194{col 34}{space 2} 219.3334{col 45}{space 1}    5.69{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 816.3582{col 75}{space 3}  1680.03
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1497.672{col 34}{space 2} 4505.264{col 45}{space 1}    0.33{col 54}{space 3}0.740{col 62}{space 4} -7372.54{col 75}{space 3} 10367.88
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallpost if year>1980 & nonsouth==0
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,009 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   268) ={res}   36.36
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENIETY)*
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   268) ={res}   18.19
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.644098{col 26}{space 2}  3.16764{col 37}{space 1}   -0.83{col 46}{space 3}0.405{col 54}{space 4}-8.880721{col 67}{space 3} 3.592526
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-4.315424{col 26}{space 2}  7.01058{col 37}{space 1}   -0.62{col 46}{space 3}0.538{col 54}{space 4}-18.05591{col 67}{space 3}  9.42506
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. sum klarnerranney real_pc_inc_ann  if real_pc_inc_annhatallpost!=. & year>1980 & nonsouth==0, detail

         {txt}Annual Ranney Measure of State Legislative
               Partisan Balance (Klarner Data)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res}  9.52381       4.761905
{txt} 5%    {res} 16.19048       4.761905
{txt}10%    {res} 24.37753        9.52381       {txt}Obs         {res}        330
{txt}25%    {res} 43.51332        9.52381       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        330

{txt}50%    {res} 67.97758                      {txt}Mean          {res}   63.229
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 25.22426
{txt}75%    {res} 83.33333        99.6129
{txt}90%    {res} 93.08333       99.82796       {txt}Variance      {res} 636.2631
{txt}95%    {res} 97.89621       99.82796       {txt}Skewness      {res}-.5280498
{txt}99%    {res}  99.6129            100       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 2.214373

        {txt}Per Capita Annual Income (1982-1984 Constant
                          Dollars)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 9026.411       8530.043
{txt} 5%    {res} 9829.492       8604.584
{txt}10%    {res} 10561.62       8624.711       {txt}Obs         {res}        330
{txt}25%    {res} 12122.39       9026.411       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        330

{txt}50%    {res} 13773.84                      {txt}Mean          {res} 13863.12
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res}  2493.96
{txt}75%    {res} 15688.15       20300.61
{txt}90%    {res} 16891.35       20446.41       {txt}Variance      {res}  6219836
{txt}95%    {res} 17892.14       20757.53       {txt}Skewness      {res}  .199205
{txt}99%    {res} 20300.61       20864.72       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 2.712839
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS OF klarnerranney ON real_pc_inc_ann:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD *
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*83.33333  -  (_b[l.klarnerranney]  / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*46.58065 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*83.33333 - (_b[l.klarnerranney]  / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*46.58065

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-158.6034{col 26}{space 2} 257.6576{col 37}{space 1}   -0.62{col 46}{space 3}0.538{col 54}{space 4} -663.603{col 67}{space 3} 346.3962
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. qui reg d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & nonsouth==0
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       330{col 27}-1088.545{col 38}-1016.201{col 49}    56{col 58} 2144.402{col 69} 2357.151
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. newey d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & nonsouth==0, lag(5) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       330
{txt}maximum lag: {res}5{col 49}{txt}F( 55,       274){col 67}= {res}     30.47
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 16}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 17}{c |}{col 29}  Newey-West
{col 1}D.klarnerranney{col 17}{c |}      Coef.{col 29}   Std. Err.{col 41}      t{col 49}   P>|t|{col 57}     [95% Con{col 70}f. Interval]
{hline 16}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.1912784{col 29}{space 2} .0394309{col 40}{space 1}   -4.85{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-.2689043{col 70}{space 3}-.1136525
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0011246{col 29}{space 2} .0008008{col 40}{space 1}    1.40{col 49}{space 3}0.161{col 57}{space 4}-.0004519{col 70}{space 3}  .002701
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0172785{col 29}{space 2} .0511467{col 40}{space 1}   -0.34{col 49}{space 3}0.736{col 57}{space 4} -.117969{col 70}{space 3}  .083412
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}D1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0008688{col 29}{space 2} .0019775{col 40}{space 1}   -0.44{col 49}{space 3}0.661{col 57}{space 4}-.0047619{col 70}{space 3} .0030243
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0112048{col 29}{space 2} .0803008{col 40}{space 1}    0.14{col 49}{space 3}0.889{col 57}{space 4}-.1468802{col 70}{space 3} .1692899
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0024348{col 29}{space 2} .0027632{col 40}{space 1}    0.88{col 49}{space 3}0.379{col 57}{space 4} -.003005{col 70}{space 3} .0078746
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L3D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0192445{col 29}{space 2} .0580467{col 40}{space 1}   -0.33{col 49}{space 3}0.740{col 57}{space 4}-.1335187{col 70}{space 3} .0950297
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0009077{col 29}{space 2} .0023816{col 40}{space 1}   -0.38{col 49}{space 3}0.703{col 57}{space 4}-.0055962{col 70}{space 3} .0037809
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 6}gov_party {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-6.123932{col 29}{space 2} 1.288688{col 40}{space 1}   -4.75{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-8.660921{col 70}{space 3}-3.586943
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 4.484633{col 29}{space 2} 1.189206{col 40}{space 1}    3.77{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 2.143492{col 70}{space 3} 6.825774
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}dem_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 6.793371{col 29}{space 2} 1.643499{col 40}{space 1}    4.13{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}  3.55788{col 70}{space 3} 10.02886
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.719399{col 29}{space 2} 1.409572{col 40}{space 1}   -3.35{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4}-7.494367{col 70}{space 3}-1.944431
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}rep_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-8.585168{col 29}{space 2} 2.168166{col 40}{space 1}   -3.96{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-12.85355{col 70}{space 3}-4.316788
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 5.690281{col 29}{space 2} 1.931329{col 40}{space 1}    2.95{col 49}{space 3}0.003{col 57}{space 4}  1.88815{col 70}{space 3} 9.492411
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 1}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 3.610628{col 29}{space 2} 2.056879{col 40}{space 1}    1.76{col 49}{space 3}0.080{col 57}{space 4}-.4386667{col 70}{space 3} 7.659922
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.662968{col 29}{space 2} 2.769152{col 40}{space 1}   -0.96{col 49}{space 3}0.337{col 57}{space 4}-8.114485{col 70}{space 3} 2.788549
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 5}state_fips {c |}
{space 13}5  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.364595{col 29}{space 2} 1.688516{col 40}{space 1}   -1.40{col 49}{space 3}0.163{col 57}{space 4}-5.688708{col 70}{space 3} .9595173
{txt}{space 12}12  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 7.359402{col 29}{space 2} 3.978227{col 40}{space 1}    1.85{col 49}{space 3}0.065{col 57}{space 4}-.4723723{col 70}{space 3} 15.19118
{txt}{space 12}13  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .5736394{col 29}{space 2} 1.796865{col 40}{space 1}    0.32{col 49}{space 3}0.750{col 57}{space 4}-2.963775{col 70}{space 3} 4.111054
{txt}{space 12}22  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.3956265{col 29}{space 2} 1.225741{col 40}{space 1}   -0.32{col 49}{space 3}0.747{col 57}{space 4}-2.808692{col 70}{space 3} 2.017439
{txt}{space 12}28  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.610985{col 29}{space 2} 1.714644{col 40}{space 1}    0.94{col 49}{space 3}0.348{col 57}{space 4}-1.764564{col 70}{space 3} 4.986535
{txt}{space 12}37  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.769356{col 29}{space 2} 2.155284{col 40}{space 1}    1.28{col 49}{space 3}0.200{col 57}{space 4}-1.473666{col 70}{space 3} 7.012377
{txt}{space 12}45  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 9.731838{col 29}{space 2} 2.936136{col 40}{space 1}    3.31{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 3.951586{col 70}{space 3} 15.51209
{txt}{space 12}47  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 5.460992{col 29}{space 2} 2.453641{col 40}{space 1}    2.23{col 49}{space 3}0.027{col 57}{space 4} .6306076{col 70}{space 3} 10.29138
{txt}{space 12}48  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 3.360685{col 29}{space 2} 2.245452{col 40}{space 1}    1.50{col 49}{space 3}0.136{col 57}{space 4}-1.059846{col 70}{space 3} 7.781215
{txt}{space 12}51  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  5.55719{col 29}{space 2} 4.186788{col 40}{space 1}    1.33{col 49}{space 3}0.186{col 57}{space 4}-2.685171{col 70}{space 3} 13.79955
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 11}year {c |}
{space 10}1982  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -4.62527{col 29}{space 2} 2.771873{col 40}{space 1}   -1.67{col 49}{space 3}0.096{col 57}{space 4}-10.08214{col 70}{space 3}  .831604
{txt}{space 10}1983  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-6.343414{col 29}{space 2} 3.575702{col 40}{space 1}   -1.77{col 49}{space 3}0.077{col 57}{space 4}-13.38276{col 70}{space 3}  .695926
{txt}{space 10}1984  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.909988{col 29}{space 2} 2.628793{col 40}{space 1}   -2.25{col 49}{space 3}0.025{col 57}{space 4}-11.08519{col 70}{space 3}-.7347902
{txt}{space 10}1985  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.524655{col 29}{space 2} 3.875883{col 40}{space 1}    0.39{col 49}{space 3}0.694{col 57}{space 4}-6.105639{col 70}{space 3} 9.154949
{txt}{space 10}1986  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.307883{col 29}{space 2} 2.930716{col 40}{space 1}   -1.81{col 49}{space 3}0.071{col 57}{space 4}-11.07746{col 70}{space 3} .4616993
{txt}{space 10}1987  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.046403{col 29}{space 2} 3.592017{col 40}{space 1}   -0.57{col 49}{space 3}0.569{col 57}{space 4}-9.117862{col 70}{space 3} 5.025056
{txt}{space 10}1988  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.949929{col 29}{space 2} 2.727991{col 40}{space 1}   -1.45{col 49}{space 3}0.149{col 57}{space 4}-9.320414{col 70}{space 3} 1.420556
{txt}{space 10}1989  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.3164903{col 29}{space 2} 3.386153{col 40}{space 1}   -0.09{col 49}{space 3}0.926{col 57}{space 4}-6.982673{col 70}{space 3} 6.349693
{txt}{space 10}1990  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -3.17584{col 29}{space 2} 3.175746{col 40}{space 1}   -1.00{col 49}{space 3}0.318{col 57}{space 4}-9.427802{col 70}{space 3} 3.076123
{txt}{space 10}1991  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.561659{col 29}{space 2} 3.029162{col 40}{space 1}   -0.85{col 49}{space 3}0.398{col 57}{space 4}-8.525047{col 70}{space 3} 3.401729
{txt}{space 10}1992  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.3519636{col 29}{space 2} 3.560786{col 40}{space 1}   -0.10{col 49}{space 3}0.921{col 57}{space 4} -7.36194{col 70}{space 3} 6.658013
{txt}{space 10}1993  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .5871275{col 29}{space 2} 3.968087{col 40}{space 1}    0.15{col 49}{space 3}0.882{col 57}{space 4}-7.224685{col 70}{space 3}  8.39894
{txt}{space 10}1994  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.4308451{col 29}{space 2} 3.372262{col 40}{space 1}   -0.13{col 49}{space 3}0.898{col 57}{space 4}-7.069681{col 70}{space 3} 6.207991
{txt}{space 10}1995  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 9.325529{col 29}{space 2} 4.791272{col 40}{space 1}    1.95{col 49}{space 3}0.053{col 57}{space 4}-.1068542{col 70}{space 3} 18.75791
{txt}{space 10}1996  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 4.384957{col 29}{space 2} 4.653954{col 40}{space 1}    0.94{col 49}{space 3}0.347{col 57}{space 4}-4.777094{col 70}{space 3} 13.54701
{txt}{space 10}1997  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.233193{col 29}{space 2}  4.38808{col 40}{space 1}    0.51{col 49}{space 3}0.611{col 57}{space 4}-6.405443{col 70}{space 3} 10.87183
{txt}{space 10}1998  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.366318{col 29}{space 2}  4.46063{col 40}{space 1}    0.31{col 49}{space 3}0.760{col 57}{space 4}-7.415145{col 70}{space 3} 10.14778
{txt}{space 10}1999  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.908817{col 29}{space 2} 5.082407{col 40}{space 1}   -0.38{col 49}{space 3}0.708{col 57}{space 4}-11.91435{col 70}{space 3} 8.096713
{txt}{space 10}2000  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .1289321{col 29}{space 2} 4.596116{col 40}{space 1}    0.03{col 49}{space 3}0.978{col 57}{space 4}-8.919256{col 70}{space 3} 9.177121
{txt}{space 10}2001  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  .557067{col 29}{space 2} 5.393482{col 40}{space 1}    0.10{col 49}{space 3}0.918{col 57}{space 4}-10.06086{col 70}{space 3}   11.175
{txt}{space 10}2002  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -1.14667{col 29}{space 2} 4.935278{col 40}{space 1}   -0.23{col 49}{space 3}0.816{col 57}{space 4}-10.86255{col 70}{space 3} 8.569213
{txt}{space 10}2003  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.292492{col 29}{space 2} 5.627434{col 40}{space 1}    0.23{col 49}{space 3}0.819{col 57}{space 4}-9.786009{col 70}{space 3} 12.37099
{txt}{space 10}2004  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  1.46815{col 29}{space 2} 5.374858{col 40}{space 1}    0.27{col 49}{space 3}0.785{col 57}{space 4}-9.113115{col 70}{space 3} 12.04942
{txt}{space 10}2005  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .6709444{col 29}{space 2} 5.959154{col 40}{space 1}    0.11{col 49}{space 3}0.910{col 57}{space 4} -11.0606{col 70}{space 3} 12.40249
{txt}{space 10}2006  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  1.39984{col 29}{space 2} 5.805108{col 40}{space 1}    0.24{col 49}{space 3}0.810{col 57}{space 4}-10.02844{col 70}{space 3} 12.82812
{txt}{space 10}2007  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.204796{col 29}{space 2} 6.832381{col 40}{space 1}    0.32{col 49}{space 3}0.747{col 57}{space 4}-11.24584{col 70}{space 3} 15.65543
{txt}{space 10}2008  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.315756{col 29}{space 2} 6.684858{col 40}{space 1}    0.35{col 49}{space 3}0.729{col 57}{space 4}-10.84445{col 70}{space 3} 15.47597
{txt}{space 10}2009  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}   2.7457{col 29}{space 2} 6.361993{col 40}{space 1}    0.43{col 49}{space 3}0.666{col 57}{space 4}-9.778898{col 70}{space 3}  15.2703
{txt}{space 10}2010  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 3.353942{col 29}{space 2} 7.968682{col 40}{space 1}    0.42{col 49}{space 3}0.674{col 57}{space 4}-12.33368{col 70}{space 3} 19.04157
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 10}_cons {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-6.352135{col 29}{space 2} 8.605393{col 40}{space 1}   -0.74{col 49}{space 3}0.461{col 57}{space 4}-23.29323{col 70}{space 3} 10.58896
{txt}{hline 16}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict klarnerranneyhatallpost if year>1980 & nonsouth==0
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,009 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. *
.  
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   274) ={res}   23.53
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENIETY) *
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   274) ={res}   13.76
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0006583{col 26}{space 2} .0027982{col 37}{space 1}    0.24{col 46}{space 3}0.814{col 54}{space 4}-.0048504{col 67}{space 3}  .006167
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0058792{col 26}{space 2}  .004495{col 37}{space 1}    1.31{col 46}{space 3}0.191{col 54}{space 4}-.0029308{col 67}{space 3} .0146891
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. sum real_pc_inc_ann  if klarnerranneyhatallpost !=. & year > 1980 & nonsouth==0, detail

        {txt}Per Capita Annual Income (1982-1984 Constant
                          Dollars)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 9026.411       8530.043
{txt} 5%    {res} 9829.492       8604.584
{txt}10%    {res} 10561.62       8624.711       {txt}Obs         {res}        330
{txt}25%    {res} 12122.39       9026.411       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        330

{txt}50%    {res} 13773.84                      {txt}Mean          {res} 13863.12
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res}  2493.96
{txt}75%    {res} 15688.15       20300.61
{txt}90%    {res} 16891.35       20446.41       {txt}Variance      {res}  6219836
{txt}95%    {res} 17892.14       20757.53       {txt}Skewness      {res}  .199205
{txt}99%    {res} 20300.61       20864.72       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 2.712839
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS OF  real_pc_inc_ann ON klarnerranney:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD 
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*15294.64   -  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])*11966

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*15294.64 - (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])*11966

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 19.56971{col 26}{space 2}  14.9621{col 37}{space 1}    1.31{col 46}{space 3}0.191{col 54}{space 4} -9.75546{col 67}{space 3} 48.89488
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. restore 
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. preserve
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. //(4,3)  MODEL
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** III.A: NEW SOUTH STATES (N = 5): FULL TIME PERIOD (1942 -2010) ***
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if newsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       390{col 27}-2766.366{col 38}-2444.646{col 49}    92{col 58} 5073.293{col 69} 5438.178
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if newsouth==1, lag(8) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       390
{txt}maximum lag: {res}8{col 49}{txt}F( 91,       298){col 67}= {res}     92.93
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0695272{col 34}{space 2} .0272949{col 45}{space 1}   -2.55{col 54}{space 3}0.011{col 62}{space 4}-.1232423{col 75}{space 3}-.0158121
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0405418{col 34}{space 2} .9315094{col 45}{space 1}    0.04{col 54}{space 3}0.965{col 62}{space 4}-1.792628{col 75}{space 3} 1.873712
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2397555{col 34}{space 2} .1085726{col 45}{space 1}    2.21{col 54}{space 3}0.028{col 62}{space 4} .0260892{col 75}{space 3} .4534217
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -.444057{col 34}{space 2} 1.199991{col 45}{space 1}   -0.37{col 54}{space 3}0.712{col 62}{space 4}-2.805588{col 75}{space 3} 1.917474
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0830128{col 34}{space 2} .0649813{col 45}{space 1}    1.28{col 54}{space 3}0.202{col 62}{space 4}-.0448675{col 75}{space 3} .2108932
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  -.14006{col 34}{space 2} 1.253313{col 45}{space 1}   -0.11{col 54}{space 3}0.911{col 62}{space 4}-2.606526{col 75}{space 3} 2.326406
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0238993{col 34}{space 2}  .075668{col 45}{space 1}    0.32{col 54}{space 3}0.752{col 62}{space 4}-.1250121{col 75}{space 3} .1728107
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .8303606{col 34}{space 2} 1.441603{col 45}{space 1}    0.58{col 54}{space 3}0.565{col 62}{space 4}-2.006652{col 75}{space 3} 3.667373
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-457.8567{col 34}{space 2} 347.7726{col 45}{space 1}   -1.32{col 54}{space 3}0.189{col 62}{space 4}-1142.258{col 75}{space 3} 226.5447
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 153.4782{col 34}{space 2}  371.028{col 45}{space 1}    0.41{col 54}{space 3}0.679{col 62}{space 4}-576.6888{col 75}{space 3} 883.6451
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-17.64553{col 34}{space 2} 47.78179{col 45}{space 1}   -0.37{col 54}{space 3}0.712{col 62}{space 4} -111.678{col 75}{space 3} 76.38695
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 148.9318{col 34}{space 2} 128.3699{col 45}{space 1}    1.16{col 54}{space 3}0.247{col 62}{space 4}-103.6946{col 75}{space 3} 401.5581
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 331.9306{col 34}{space 2} 399.1051{col 45}{space 1}    0.83{col 54}{space 3}0.406{col 62}{space 4}-453.4909{col 75}{space 3} 1117.352
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2093.493{col 34}{space 2} 987.2051{col 45}{space 1}   -2.12{col 54}{space 3}0.035{col 62}{space 4} -4036.27{col 75}{space 3}-150.7167
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-533.0316{col 34}{space 2} 534.6774{col 45}{space 1}   -1.00{col 54}{space 3}0.320{col 62}{space 4}-1585.253{col 75}{space 3} 519.1902
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2849.539{col 34}{space 2}  1068.37{col 45}{space 1}    2.67{col 54}{space 3}0.008{col 62}{space 4} 747.0328{col 75}{space 3} 4952.044
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 50.12881{col 34}{space 2} 40.00478{col 45}{space 1}    1.25{col 54}{space 3}0.211{col 62}{space 4}-28.59886{col 75}{space 3} 128.8565
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 16.04495{col 34}{space 2} 56.81163{col 45}{space 1}    0.28{col 54}{space 3}0.778{col 62}{space 4}-95.75785{col 75}{space 3} 127.8478
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-68.72534{col 34}{space 2} 43.55224{col 45}{space 1}   -1.58{col 54}{space 3}0.116{col 62}{space 4}-154.4342{col 75}{space 3} 16.98357
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  2.61142{col 34}{space 2} 51.46264{col 45}{space 1}    0.05{col 54}{space 3}0.960{col 62}{space 4}-98.66481{col 75}{space 3} 103.8877
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 46.63682{col 34}{space 2}   65.715{col 45}{space 1}    0.71{col 54}{space 3}0.478{col 62}{space 4}-82.68744{col 75}{space 3} 175.9611
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 40.86681{col 34}{space 2} 81.75734{col 45}{space 1}    0.50{col 54}{space 3}0.618{col 62}{space 4}-120.0281{col 75}{space 3} 201.7617
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 17}12  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 231.4513{col 34}{space 2} 101.6479{col 45}{space 1}    2.28{col 54}{space 3}0.023{col 62}{space 4} 31.41253{col 75}{space 3}   431.49
{txt}{space 17}37  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 126.5208{col 34}{space 2} 63.54871{col 45}{space 1}    1.99{col 54}{space 3}0.047{col 62}{space 4} 1.459683{col 75}{space 3} 251.5819
{txt}{space 17}47  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 111.6104{col 34}{space 2} 78.57153{col 45}{space 1}    1.42{col 54}{space 3}0.157{col 62}{space 4}-43.01496{col 75}{space 3} 266.2358
{txt}{space 17}48  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 179.0984{col 34}{space 2}  85.7302{col 45}{space 1}    2.09{col 54}{space 3}0.038{col 62}{space 4} 10.38506{col 75}{space 3} 347.8117
{txt}{space 17}51  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 324.5439{col 34}{space 2} 118.4113{col 45}{space 1}    2.74{col 54}{space 3}0.006{col 62}{space 4} 91.51568{col 75}{space 3} 557.5722
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1947  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 77.13007{col 34}{space 2}  161.742{col 45}{space 1}    0.48{col 54}{space 3}0.634{col 62}{space 4}-241.1712{col 75}{space 3} 395.4314
{txt}{space 15}1948  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 539.2289{col 34}{space 2} 134.2537{col 45}{space 1}    4.02{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 275.0235{col 75}{space 3} 803.4342
{txt}{space 15}1949  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 537.8772{col 34}{space 2} 160.6086{col 45}{space 1}    3.35{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 221.8066{col 75}{space 3} 853.9479
{txt}{space 15}1950  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 781.9114{col 34}{space 2} 123.9352{col 45}{space 1}    6.31{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 538.0123{col 75}{space 3}  1025.81
{txt}{space 15}1951  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 551.2893{col 34}{space 2} 111.1125{col 45}{space 1}    4.96{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 332.6248{col 75}{space 3} 769.9538
{txt}{space 15}1952  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 653.6114{col 34}{space 2} 108.5618{col 45}{space 1}    6.02{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 439.9665{col 75}{space 3} 867.2562
{txt}{space 15}1953  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 604.6495{col 34}{space 2} 125.1038{col 45}{space 1}    4.83{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 358.4506{col 75}{space 3} 850.8484
{txt}{space 15}1954  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 553.7369{col 34}{space 2} 103.7561{col 45}{space 1}    5.34{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 349.5494{col 75}{space 3} 757.9245
{txt}{space 15}1955  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 870.5121{col 34}{space 2} 98.47894{col 45}{space 1}    8.84{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 676.7099{col 75}{space 3} 1064.314
{txt}{space 15}1956  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 752.0593{col 34}{space 2}  114.756{col 45}{space 1}    6.55{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 526.2246{col 75}{space 3} 977.8941
{txt}{space 15}1957  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 438.6665{col 34}{space 2} 120.3335{col 45}{space 1}    3.65{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 201.8555{col 75}{space 3} 675.4775
{txt}{space 15}1958  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 619.7158{col 34}{space 2} 112.7468{col 45}{space 1}    5.50{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  397.835{col 75}{space 3} 841.5966
{txt}{space 15}1959  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 923.3398{col 34}{space 2}   117.12{col 45}{space 1}    7.88{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 692.8528{col 75}{space 3} 1153.827
{txt}{space 15}1960  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 603.7239{col 34}{space 2} 133.0804{col 45}{space 1}    4.54{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 341.8274{col 75}{space 3} 865.6204
{txt}{space 15}1961  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 807.6355{col 34}{space 2} 130.0123{col 45}{space 1}    6.21{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  551.777{col 75}{space 3} 1063.494
{txt}{space 15}1962  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 850.8529{col 34}{space 2}  117.283{col 45}{space 1}    7.25{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  620.045{col 75}{space 3} 1081.661
{txt}{space 15}1963  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 813.0724{col 34}{space 2} 131.9228{col 45}{space 1}    6.16{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 553.4541{col 75}{space 3} 1072.691
{txt}{space 15}1964  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1011.532{col 34}{space 2} 130.1059{col 45}{space 1}    7.77{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 755.4893{col 75}{space 3} 1267.575
{txt}{space 15}1965  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 976.8787{col 34}{space 2}  139.785{col 45}{space 1}    6.99{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 701.7879{col 75}{space 3}  1251.97
{txt}{space 15}1966  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1047.586{col 34}{space 2} 147.3738{col 45}{space 1}    7.11{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 757.5605{col 75}{space 3} 1337.611
{txt}{space 15}1967  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1018.495{col 34}{space 2} 154.3142{col 45}{space 1}    6.60{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 714.8111{col 75}{space 3} 1322.178
{txt}{space 15}1968  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1126.086{col 34}{space 2} 158.2009{col 45}{space 1}    7.12{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 814.7534{col 75}{space 3} 1437.418
{txt}{space 15}1969  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1076.85{col 34}{space 2} 171.4623{col 45}{space 1}    6.28{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 739.4194{col 75}{space 3}  1414.28
{txt}{space 15}1970  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 886.2035{col 34}{space 2} 175.6341{col 45}{space 1}    5.05{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 540.5632{col 75}{space 3} 1231.844
{txt}{space 15}1971  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1068.468{col 34}{space 2} 166.3617{col 45}{space 1}    6.42{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 741.0758{col 75}{space 3} 1395.861
{txt}{space 15}1972  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1408.238{col 34}{space 2} 184.7754{col 45}{space 1}    7.62{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1044.608{col 75}{space 3} 1771.868
{txt}{space 15}1973  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1333.56{col 34}{space 2}  210.014{col 45}{space 1}    6.35{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 920.2615{col 75}{space 3} 1746.859
{txt}{space 15}1974  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 642.6136{col 34}{space 2} 200.4972{col 45}{space 1}    3.21{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 248.0438{col 75}{space 3} 1037.183
{txt}{space 15}1975  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 699.2079{col 34}{space 2} 195.9196{col 45}{space 1}    3.57{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 313.6466{col 75}{space 3} 1084.769
{txt}{space 15}1976  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1327.235{col 34}{space 2} 195.0945{col 45}{space 1}    6.80{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 943.2976{col 75}{space 3} 1711.173
{txt}{space 15}1977  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1166.557{col 34}{space 2}  236.345{col 45}{space 1}    4.94{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 701.4403{col 75}{space 3} 1631.674
{txt}{space 15}1978  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1377.973{col 34}{space 2} 238.2496{col 45}{space 1}    5.78{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 909.1081{col 75}{space 3} 1846.838
{txt}{space 15}1979  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 816.6793{col 34}{space 2} 231.1256{col 45}{space 1}    3.53{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 361.8342{col 75}{space 3} 1271.525
{txt}{space 15}1980  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  715.657{col 34}{space 2} 242.4439{col 45}{space 1}    2.95{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4}  238.538{col 75}{space 3} 1192.776
{txt}{space 15}1981  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1189.185{col 34}{space 2} 238.9009{col 45}{space 1}    4.98{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 719.0383{col 75}{space 3} 1659.332
{txt}{space 15}1982  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 989.9499{col 34}{space 2} 241.6622{col 45}{space 1}    4.10{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 514.3692{col 75}{space 3} 1465.531
{txt}{space 15}1983  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1303.331{col 34}{space 2} 247.0191{col 45}{space 1}    5.28{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 817.2085{col 75}{space 3} 1789.454
{txt}{space 15}1984  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1527.154{col 34}{space 2}  245.639{col 45}{space 1}    6.22{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1043.747{col 75}{space 3} 2010.561
{txt}{space 15}1985  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1248.691{col 34}{space 2} 263.9798{col 45}{space 1}    4.73{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}   729.19{col 75}{space 3} 1768.191
{txt}{space 15}1986  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1255.19{col 34}{space 2} 244.9423{col 45}{space 1}    5.12{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 773.1537{col 75}{space 3} 1737.225
{txt}{space 15}1987  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1132.967{col 34}{space 2} 257.8366{col 45}{space 1}    4.39{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  625.556{col 75}{space 3} 1640.378
{txt}{space 15}1988  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1409.879{col 34}{space 2} 265.4406{col 45}{space 1}    5.31{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 887.5033{col 75}{space 3} 1932.255
{txt}{space 15}1989  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1306.567{col 34}{space 2}  281.857{col 45}{space 1}    4.64{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 751.8846{col 75}{space 3} 1861.249
{txt}{space 15}1990  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 973.6543{col 34}{space 2} 295.4062{col 45}{space 1}    3.30{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 392.3078{col 75}{space 3} 1555.001
{txt}{space 15}1991  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1022.511{col 34}{space 2} 286.4765{col 45}{space 1}    3.57{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  458.738{col 75}{space 3} 1586.285
{txt}{space 15}1992  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1535.266{col 34}{space 2} 288.1796{col 45}{space 1}    5.33{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 968.1416{col 75}{space 3} 2102.391
{txt}{space 15}1993  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1227.13{col 34}{space 2} 305.7035{col 45}{space 1}    4.01{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  625.519{col 75}{space 3} 1828.742
{txt}{space 15}1994  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1292.968{col 34}{space 2} 298.1164{col 45}{space 1}    4.34{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 706.2875{col 75}{space 3} 1879.648
{txt}{space 15}1995  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1315.018{col 34}{space 2} 283.6153{col 45}{space 1}    4.64{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 756.8757{col 75}{space 3} 1873.161
{txt}{space 15}1996  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1320.525{col 34}{space 2}  293.162{col 45}{space 1}    4.50{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 743.5948{col 75}{space 3} 1897.455
{txt}{space 15}1997  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1427.356{col 34}{space 2} 307.5278{col 45}{space 1}    4.64{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 822.1549{col 75}{space 3} 2032.557
{txt}{space 15}1998  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1695.17{col 34}{space 2} 309.3421{col 45}{space 1}    5.48{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1086.398{col 75}{space 3} 2303.942
{txt}{space 15}1999  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1302.198{col 34}{space 2} 316.9552{col 45}{space 1}    4.11{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 678.4444{col 75}{space 3} 1925.952
{txt}{space 15}2000  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1558.814{col 34}{space 2} 332.0699{col 45}{space 1}    4.69{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 905.3149{col 75}{space 3} 2212.313
{txt}{space 15}2001  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1227.195{col 34}{space 2} 324.5505{col 45}{space 1}    3.78{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 588.4938{col 75}{space 3} 1865.896
{txt}{space 15}2002  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1173.814{col 34}{space 2} 335.1776{col 45}{space 1}    3.50{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 514.1988{col 75}{space 3} 1833.429
{txt}{space 15}2003  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1404.777{col 34}{space 2} 325.8869{col 45}{space 1}    4.31{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 763.4457{col 75}{space 3} 2046.108
{txt}{space 15}2004  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1710.097{col 34}{space 2} 362.4948{col 45}{space 1}    4.72{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 996.7234{col 75}{space 3} 2423.471
{txt}{space 15}2005  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1481.119{col 34}{space 2} 379.1867{col 45}{space 1}    3.91{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 734.8958{col 75}{space 3} 2227.342
{txt}{space 15}2006  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1615.178{col 34}{space 2} 348.3555{col 45}{space 1}    4.64{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 929.6294{col 75}{space 3} 2300.726
{txt}{space 15}2007  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1483.751{col 34}{space 2} 369.8274{col 45}{space 1}    4.01{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 755.9468{col 75}{space 3} 2211.555
{txt}{space 15}2008  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1216.14{col 34}{space 2} 430.2914{col 45}{space 1}    2.83{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4} 369.3454{col 75}{space 3} 2062.935
{txt}{space 15}2009  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  550.989{col 34}{space 2} 351.6005{col 45}{space 1}    1.57{col 54}{space 3}0.118{col 62}{space 4}-140.9456{col 75}{space 3} 1242.924
{txt}{space 15}2010  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1632.28{col 34}{space 2} 369.6752{col 45}{space 1}    4.42{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  904.775{col 75}{space 3} 2359.784
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 171.5285{col 34}{space 2}  468.166{col 45}{space 1}    0.37{col 54}{space 3}0.714{col 62}{space 4}-749.8019{col 75}{space 3} 1092.859
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallfull if newsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,949 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   298) ={res}    6.49
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0114
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   298) ={res}    3.53
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0306
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney  +  l2.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2462436{col 26}{space 2} 2.910998{col 37}{space 1}    0.08{col 46}{space 3}0.933{col 54}{space 4}-5.482475{col 67}{space 3} 5.974962
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5831074{col 26}{space 2} 13.33098{col 37}{space 1}    0.04{col 46}{space 3}0.965{col 54}{space 4}-25.54514{col 67}{space 3} 26.71135
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. qui regress d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if newsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       390{col 27}-122.4176{col 38} -.165161{col 49}    86{col 58} 172.3303{col 69} 513.4189
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. *
. 
. newey d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if newsouth==1, lag(8) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       390
{txt}maximum lag: {res}8{col 49}{txt}F( 85,       304){col 67}= {res}      5.01
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 17}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.              {col 18}{c |}{col 30}  Newey-West
{col 1}ihsklarnerranney{col 18}{c |}      Coef.{col 30}   Std. Err.{col 42}      t{col 50}   P>|t|{col 58}     [95% Con{col 71}f. Interval]
{hline 17}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0851798{col 30}{space 2} .0269975{col 41}{space 1}   -3.16{col 50}{space 3}0.002{col 58}{space 4}-.1383054{col 71}{space 3}-.0320543
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0000536{col 30}{space 2} .0000247{col 41}{space 1}   -2.17{col 50}{space 3}0.030{col 58}{space 4}-.0001022{col 71}{space 3}-5.09e-06
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0405992{col 30}{space 2}   .03707{col 41}{space 1}   -1.10{col 50}{space 3}0.274{col 58}{space 4}-.1135455{col 71}{space 3} .0323471
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}D1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0000655{col 30}{space 2} .0000814{col 41}{space 1}   -0.80{col 50}{space 3}0.422{col 58}{space 4}-.0002255{col 71}{space 3} .0000946
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.2947073{col 30}{space 2} .0822545{col 41}{space 1}   -3.58{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4}-.4565675{col 71}{space 3}-.1328472
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0000504{col 30}{space 2} .0000909{col 41}{space 1}    0.55{col 50}{space 3}0.580{col 58}{space 4}-.0001285{col 71}{space 3} .0002292
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L3D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} -.114432{col 30}{space 2} .0713355{col 41}{space 1}   -1.60{col 50}{space 3}0.110{col 58}{space 4}-.2548058{col 71}{space 3} .0259418
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0000939{col 30}{space 2} .0000824{col 41}{space 1}    1.14{col 50}{space 3}0.255{col 58}{space 4}-.0000681{col 71}{space 3}  .000256
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 7}gov_party {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0108777{col 30}{space 2} .0426021{col 41}{space 1}   -0.26{col 50}{space 3}0.799{col 58}{space 4}-.0947101{col 71}{space 3} .0729547
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0191195{col 30}{space 2} .0455338{col 41}{space 1}   -0.42{col 50}{space 3}0.675{col 58}{space 4}-.1087208{col 71}{space 3} .0704818
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}dem_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .065161{col 30}{space 2} .0533135{col 41}{space 1}    1.22{col 50}{space 3}0.223{col 58}{space 4}-.0397492{col 71}{space 3} .1700712
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0198677{col 30}{space 2} .0488192{col 41}{space 1}   -0.41{col 50}{space 3}0.684{col 58}{space 4} -.115934{col 71}{space 3} .0761987
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}rep_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  -.09716{col 30}{space 2} .0451225{col 41}{space 1}   -2.15{col 50}{space 3}0.032{col 58}{space 4}-.1859519{col 71}{space 3}-.0083681
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0324969{col 30}{space 2} .0417611{col 41}{space 1}    0.78{col 50}{space 3}0.437{col 58}{space 4}-.0496805{col 71}{space 3} .1146742
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 2}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1157804{col 30}{space 2} .0530335{col 41}{space 1}    2.18{col 50}{space 3}0.030{col 58}{space 4} .0114211{col 71}{space 3} .2201397
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .001947{col 30}{space 2} .0619641{col 41}{space 1}    0.03{col 50}{space 3}0.975{col 58}{space 4}-.1199858{col 71}{space 3} .1238799
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 6}state_fips {c |}
{space 13}12  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}   .36954{col 30}{space 2} .1246804{col 41}{space 1}    2.96{col 50}{space 3}0.003{col 58}{space 4} .1241942{col 71}{space 3} .6148858
{txt}{space 13}37  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .152382{col 30}{space 2} .0785261{col 41}{space 1}    1.94{col 50}{space 3}0.053{col 58}{space 4}-.0021416{col 71}{space 3} .3069055
{txt}{space 13}47  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2217035{col 30}{space 2} .0960166{col 41}{space 1}    2.31{col 50}{space 3}0.022{col 58}{space 4} .0327623{col 71}{space 3} .4106447
{txt}{space 13}48  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1914692{col 30}{space 2}  .084298{col 41}{space 1}    2.27{col 50}{space 3}0.024{col 58}{space 4} .0255879{col 71}{space 3} .3573506
{txt}{space 13}51  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .397665{col 30}{space 2} .1420569{col 41}{space 1}    2.80{col 50}{space 3}0.005{col 58}{space 4} .1181258{col 71}{space 3} .6772043
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 12}year {c |}
{space 11}1947  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0852904{col 30}{space 2} .1677046{col 41}{space 1}   -0.51{col 50}{space 3}0.611{col 58}{space 4}-.4152991{col 71}{space 3} .2447183
{txt}{space 11}1948  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0092601{col 30}{space 2} .1309907{col 41}{space 1}   -0.07{col 50}{space 3}0.944{col 58}{space 4}-.2670234{col 71}{space 3} .2485032
{txt}{space 11}1949  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.3486837{col 30}{space 2} .1987734{col 41}{space 1}   -1.75{col 50}{space 3}0.080{col 58}{space 4}-.7398297{col 71}{space 3} .0424623
{txt}{space 11}1950  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1156553{col 30}{space 2} .1246992{col 41}{space 1}   -0.93{col 50}{space 3}0.354{col 58}{space 4}-.3610381{col 71}{space 3} .1297275
{txt}{space 11}1951  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3121933{col 30}{space 2} .2670192{col 41}{space 1}    1.17{col 50}{space 3}0.243{col 58}{space 4}-.2132466{col 71}{space 3} .8376332
{txt}{space 11}1952  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0304727{col 30}{space 2} .1125206{col 41}{space 1}   -0.27{col 50}{space 3}0.787{col 58}{space 4}-.2518905{col 71}{space 3}  .190945
{txt}{space 11}1953  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2967337{col 30}{space 2} .2826987{col 41}{space 1}    1.05{col 50}{space 3}0.295{col 58}{space 4}-.2595604{col 71}{space 3} .8530277
{txt}{space 11}1954  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0662527{col 30}{space 2} .1117007{col 41}{space 1}    0.59{col 50}{space 3}0.554{col 58}{space 4}-.1535517{col 71}{space 3} .2860571
{txt}{space 11}1955  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1384647{col 30}{space 2} .2091675{col 41}{space 1}    0.66{col 50}{space 3}0.508{col 58}{space 4}-.2731348{col 71}{space 3} .5500642
{txt}{space 11}1956  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .055874{col 30}{space 2} .1327993{col 41}{space 1}    0.42{col 50}{space 3}0.674{col 58}{space 4}-.2054482{col 71}{space 3} .3171961
{txt}{space 11}1957  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0191891{col 30}{space 2} .1486731{col 41}{space 1}    0.13{col 50}{space 3}0.897{col 58}{space 4}-.2733696{col 71}{space 3} .3117477
{txt}{space 11}1958  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0372313{col 30}{space 2} .1267692{col 41}{space 1}    0.29{col 50}{space 3}0.769{col 58}{space 4} -.212225{col 71}{space 3} .2866875
{txt}{space 11}1959  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.5292394{col 30}{space 2} .3233811{col 41}{space 1}   -1.64{col 50}{space 3}0.103{col 58}{space 4}-1.165588{col 71}{space 3} .1071094
{txt}{space 11}1960  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} -.047616{col 30}{space 2} .1316916{col 41}{space 1}   -0.36{col 50}{space 3}0.718{col 58}{space 4}-.3067585{col 71}{space 3} .2115266
{txt}{space 11}1961  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2777918{col 30}{space 2} .1873904{col 41}{space 1}    1.48{col 50}{space 3}0.139{col 58}{space 4}-.0909546{col 71}{space 3} .6465383
{txt}{space 11}1962  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1463056{col 30}{space 2} .2335511{col 41}{space 1}    0.63{col 50}{space 3}0.531{col 58}{space 4}-.3132758{col 71}{space 3}  .605887
{txt}{space 11}1963  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .550089{col 30}{space 2} .2151434{col 41}{space 1}    2.56{col 50}{space 3}0.011{col 58}{space 4} .1267302{col 71}{space 3} .9734478
{txt}{space 11}1964  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3653132{col 30}{space 2}  .185418{col 41}{space 1}    1.97{col 50}{space 3}0.050{col 58}{space 4}  .000448{col 71}{space 3} .7301783
{txt}{space 11}1965  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1232386{col 30}{space 2} .2894046{col 41}{space 1}   -0.43{col 50}{space 3}0.671{col 58}{space 4}-.6927284{col 71}{space 3} .4462511
{txt}{space 11}1966  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2123995{col 30}{space 2} .1488723{col 41}{space 1}    1.43{col 50}{space 3}0.155{col 58}{space 4} -.080551{col 71}{space 3} .5053501
{txt}{space 11}1967  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9496408{col 30}{space 2} .2710626{col 41}{space 1}    3.50{col 50}{space 3}0.001{col 58}{space 4} .4162444{col 71}{space 3} 1.483037
{txt}{space 11}1968  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .417906{col 30}{space 2} .1684882{col 41}{space 1}    2.48{col 50}{space 3}0.014{col 58}{space 4} .0863553{col 71}{space 3} .7494566
{txt}{space 11}1969  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .7858415{col 30}{space 2} .2571133{col 41}{space 1}    3.06{col 50}{space 3}0.002{col 58}{space 4} .2798944{col 71}{space 3} 1.291789
{txt}{space 11}1970  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5352266{col 30}{space 2} .1757389{col 41}{space 1}    3.05{col 50}{space 3}0.003{col 58}{space 4} .1894078{col 71}{space 3} .8810453
{txt}{space 11}1971  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3320326{col 30}{space 2} .1842079{col 41}{space 1}    1.80{col 50}{space 3}0.072{col 58}{space 4}-.0304514{col 71}{space 3} .6945166
{txt}{space 11}1972  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4278258{col 30}{space 2} .2037259{col 41}{space 1}    2.10{col 50}{space 3}0.037{col 58}{space 4} .0269344{col 71}{space 3} .8287172
{txt}{space 11}1973  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5574248{col 30}{space 2} .2249016{col 41}{space 1}    2.48{col 50}{space 3}0.014{col 58}{space 4} .1148638{col 71}{space 3} .9999857
{txt}{space 11}1974  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4048415{col 30}{space 2} .1853074{col 41}{space 1}    2.18{col 50}{space 3}0.030{col 58}{space 4} .0401939{col 71}{space 3}  .769489
{txt}{space 11}1975  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .169176{col 30}{space 2} .3282812{col 41}{space 1}    0.52{col 50}{space 3}0.607{col 58}{space 4}-.4768152{col 71}{space 3} .8151672
{txt}{space 11}1976  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4109287{col 30}{space 2} .2463901{col 41}{space 1}    1.67{col 50}{space 3}0.096{col 58}{space 4}-.0739173{col 71}{space 3} .8957746
{txt}{space 11}1977  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4156851{col 30}{space 2} .2601285{col 41}{space 1}    1.60{col 50}{space 3}0.111{col 58}{space 4}-.0961954{col 71}{space 3} .9275656
{txt}{space 11}1978  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4118657{col 30}{space 2} .2314222{col 41}{space 1}    1.78{col 50}{space 3}0.076{col 58}{space 4}-.0435265{col 71}{space 3}  .867258
{txt}{space 11}1979  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5729022{col 30}{space 2} .2541194{col 41}{space 1}    2.25{col 50}{space 3}0.025{col 58}{space 4} .0728464{col 71}{space 3} 1.072958
{txt}{space 11}1980  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5269432{col 30}{space 2} .2090659{col 41}{space 1}    2.52{col 50}{space 3}0.012{col 58}{space 4} .1155438{col 71}{space 3} .9383427
{txt}{space 11}1981  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .8487845{col 30}{space 2}  .279124{col 41}{space 1}    3.04{col 50}{space 3}0.003{col 58}{space 4} .2995249{col 71}{space 3} 1.398044
{txt}{space 11}1982  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .6307823{col 30}{space 2} .2428347{col 41}{space 1}    2.60{col 50}{space 3}0.010{col 58}{space 4} .1529327{col 71}{space 3} 1.108632
{txt}{space 11}1983  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5627781{col 30}{space 2} .2819247{col 41}{space 1}    2.00{col 50}{space 3}0.047{col 58}{space 4} .0080072{col 71}{space 3} 1.117549
{txt}{space 11}1984  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .6010311{col 30}{space 2} .2602534{col 41}{space 1}    2.31{col 50}{space 3}0.022{col 58}{space 4} .0889049{col 71}{space 3} 1.113157
{txt}{space 11}1985  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .7141579{col 30}{space 2} .2801986{col 41}{space 1}    2.55{col 50}{space 3}0.011{col 58}{space 4} .1627837{col 71}{space 3} 1.265532
{txt}{space 11}1986  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5548583{col 30}{space 2}  .250303{col 41}{space 1}    2.22{col 50}{space 3}0.027{col 58}{space 4} .0623124{col 71}{space 3} 1.047404
{txt}{space 11}1987  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}   .69105{col 30}{space 2} .2675976{col 41}{space 1}    2.58{col 50}{space 3}0.010{col 58}{space 4}  .164472{col 71}{space 3} 1.217628
{txt}{space 11}1988  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .6587795{col 30}{space 2} .2769226{col 41}{space 1}    2.38{col 50}{space 3}0.018{col 58}{space 4} .1138517{col 71}{space 3} 1.203707
{txt}{space 11}1989  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .7808664{col 30}{space 2} .2922326{col 41}{space 1}    2.67{col 50}{space 3}0.008{col 58}{space 4} .2058117{col 71}{space 3} 1.355921
{txt}{space 11}1990  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .6641556{col 30}{space 2} .2761634{col 41}{space 1}    2.40{col 50}{space 3}0.017{col 58}{space 4} .1207219{col 71}{space 3} 1.207589
{txt}{space 11}1991  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .6776181{col 30}{space 2} .2844631{col 41}{space 1}    2.38{col 50}{space 3}0.018{col 58}{space 4} .1178522{col 71}{space 3} 1.237384
{txt}{space 11}1992  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .7954038{col 30}{space 2} .3143128{col 41}{space 1}    2.53{col 50}{space 3}0.012{col 58}{space 4} .1768996{col 71}{space 3} 1.413908
{txt}{space 11}1993  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .7417178{col 30}{space 2} .3027852{col 41}{space 1}    2.45{col 50}{space 3}0.015{col 58}{space 4} .1458976{col 71}{space 3} 1.337538
{txt}{space 11}1994  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .7147586{col 30}{space 2} .2914529{col 41}{space 1}    2.45{col 50}{space 3}0.015{col 58}{space 4} .1412381{col 71}{space 3} 1.288279
{txt}{space 11}1995  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .8946983{col 30}{space 2} .3142834{col 41}{space 1}    2.85{col 50}{space 3}0.005{col 58}{space 4} .2762519{col 71}{space 3} 1.513145
{txt}{space 11}1996  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .8024916{col 30}{space 2} .3058229{col 41}{space 1}    2.62{col 50}{space 3}0.009{col 58}{space 4} .2006938{col 71}{space 3} 1.404289
{txt}{space 11}1997  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .8452544{col 30}{space 2} .3229775{col 41}{space 1}    2.62{col 50}{space 3}0.009{col 58}{space 4}    .2097{col 71}{space 3} 1.480809
{txt}{space 11}1998  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .8590865{col 30}{space 2} .3348378{col 41}{space 1}    2.57{col 50}{space 3}0.011{col 58}{space 4} .2001933{col 71}{space 3}  1.51798
{txt}{space 11}1999  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .8005696{col 30}{space 2} .3400314{col 41}{space 1}    2.35{col 50}{space 3}0.019{col 58}{space 4} .1314564{col 71}{space 3} 1.469683
{txt}{space 11}2000  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .832689{col 30}{space 2} .3405835{col 41}{space 1}    2.44{col 50}{space 3}0.015{col 58}{space 4} .1624895{col 71}{space 3} 1.502889
{txt}{space 11}2001  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9061074{col 30}{space 2} .3561794{col 41}{space 1}    2.54{col 50}{space 3}0.011{col 58}{space 4} .2052182{col 71}{space 3} 1.606997
{txt}{space 11}2002  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .8584465{col 30}{space 2} .3477391{col 41}{space 1}    2.47{col 50}{space 3}0.014{col 58}{space 4} .1741661{col 71}{space 3} 1.542727
{txt}{space 11}2003  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9080818{col 30}{space 2} .3681501{col 41}{space 1}    2.47{col 50}{space 3}0.014{col 58}{space 4} .1836368{col 71}{space 3} 1.632527
{txt}{space 11}2004  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9640753{col 30}{space 2} .3783035{col 41}{space 1}    2.55{col 50}{space 3}0.011{col 58}{space 4} .2196503{col 71}{space 3}   1.7085
{txt}{space 11}2005  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9308622{col 30}{space 2} .3677963{col 41}{space 1}    2.53{col 50}{space 3}0.012{col 58}{space 4} .2071132{col 71}{space 3} 1.654611
{txt}{space 11}2006  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9473117{col 30}{space 2} .3697755{col 41}{space 1}    2.56{col 50}{space 3}0.011{col 58}{space 4} .2196682{col 71}{space 3} 1.674955
{txt}{space 11}2007  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9619785{col 30}{space 2} .3799433{col 41}{space 1}    2.53{col 50}{space 3}0.012{col 58}{space 4} .2143267{col 71}{space 3}  1.70963
{txt}{space 11}2008  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .984034{col 30}{space 2} .3701797{col 41}{space 1}    2.66{col 50}{space 3}0.008{col 58}{space 4} .2555952{col 71}{space 3} 1.712473
{txt}{space 11}2009  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .938276{col 30}{space 2} .3685545{col 41}{space 1}    2.55{col 50}{space 3}0.011{col 58}{space 4} .2130351{col 71}{space 3} 1.663517
{txt}{space 11}2010  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.018622{col 30}{space 2} .4347952{col 41}{space 1}    2.34{col 50}{space 3}0.020{col 58}{space 4}  .163033{col 71}{space 3} 1.874212
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 11}_cons {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1096642{col 30}{space 2} .1419175{col 41}{space 1}    0.77{col 50}{space 3}0.440{col 58}{space 4}-.1696008{col 71}{space 3} .3889292
{txt}{hline 17}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict ihsklarnerranneyhatallfull if newsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,949 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
.  
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   304) ={res}    9.95
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0018
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   304) ={res}    5.68
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0038
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0000788{col 26}{space 2} .0001192{col 37}{space 1}    0.66{col 46}{space 3}0.509{col 54}{space 4}-.0001557{col 67}{space 3} .0003134
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0006297{col 26}{space 2} .0002914{col 37}{space 1}   -2.16{col 46}{space 3}0.031{col 54}{space 4}-.0012007{col 67}{space 3}-.0000586
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. //(4,3)  MODEL
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** III.B: NEW SOUTH STATES (N = 5): PRE-PARTISAN ALIGNMENT TIME PERIOD (1942 - 1980) ***
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & newsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       210{col 27}-1476.187{col 38}-1245.315{col 49}    60{col 58} 2610.629{col 69} 2811.456
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & newsouth==1, lag(6) force
{txt}note: L.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: LD.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity

Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       210
{txt}maximum lag: {res}6{col 49}{txt}F( 59,       150){col 67}= {res}    205.24
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1999153{col 34}{space 2} .0635374{col 45}{space 1}   -3.15{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4}-.3254592{col 75}{space 3}-.0743714
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.849364{col 34}{space 2} 1.253738{col 45}{space 1}    1.48{col 54}{space 3}0.142{col 62}{space 4} -.627904{col 75}{space 3} 4.326632
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2772627{col 34}{space 2} .1250589{col 45}{space 1}    2.22{col 54}{space 3}0.028{col 62}{space 4} .0301581{col 75}{space 3} .5243672
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.197509{col 34}{space 2} 1.669653{col 45}{space 1}    0.72{col 54}{space 3}0.474{col 62}{space 4}-2.101568{col 75}{space 3} 4.496586
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0876515{col 34}{space 2} .0819746{col 45}{space 1}   -1.07{col 54}{space 3}0.287{col 62}{space 4}-.2496254{col 75}{space 3} .0743225
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2310004{col 34}{space 2} 1.416198{col 45}{space 1}    0.16{col 54}{space 3}0.871{col 62}{space 4}-2.567272{col 75}{space 3} 3.029273
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  .056238{col 34}{space 2} .0874833{col 45}{space 1}    0.64{col 54}{space 3}0.521{col 62}{space 4}-.1166208{col 75}{space 3} .2290967
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.800201{col 34}{space 2} 1.355259{col 45}{space 1}    1.33{col 54}{space 3}0.186{col 62}{space 4}-.8776629{col 75}{space 3} 4.478065
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-139.5327{col 34}{space 2} 361.6926{col 45}{space 1}   -0.39{col 54}{space 3}0.700{col 62}{space 4}-854.2029{col 75}{space 3} 575.1376
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 182.2903{col 34}{space 2} 358.2968{col 45}{space 1}    0.51{col 54}{space 3}0.612{col 62}{space 4}-525.6703{col 75}{space 3} 890.2508
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-21.61713{col 34}{space 2} 92.49383{col 45}{space 1}   -0.23{col 54}{space 3}0.816{col 62}{space 4}-204.3762{col 75}{space 3} 161.1419
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 367.1649{col 34}{space 2} 107.3713{col 45}{space 1}    3.42{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 155.0094{col 75}{space 3} 579.3203
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 548.7359{col 34}{space 2} 372.6366{col 45}{space 1}    1.47{col 54}{space 3}0.143{col 62}{space 4}-187.5587{col 75}{space 3} 1285.031
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-3401.567{col 34}{space 2} 1228.728{col 45}{space 1}   -2.77{col 54}{space 3}0.006{col 62}{space 4}-5829.418{col 75}{space 3}-973.7155
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-827.1715{col 34}{space 2} 651.0226{col 45}{space 1}   -1.27{col 54}{space 3}0.206{col 62}{space 4} -2113.53{col 75}{space 3} 459.1875
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 3206.279{col 34}{space 2} 955.7607{col 45}{space 1}    3.35{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 1317.786{col 75}{space 3} 5094.772
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-39.47316{col 34}{space 2} 78.48717{col 45}{space 1}   -0.50{col 54}{space 3}0.616{col 62}{space 4}-194.5564{col 75}{space 3} 115.6101
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 16.28082{col 34}{space 2} 63.00322{col 45}{space 1}    0.26{col 54}{space 3}0.796{col 62}{space 4}-108.2076{col 75}{space 3} 140.7692
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 10.40286{col 34}{space 2} 64.78732{col 45}{space 1}    0.16{col 54}{space 3}0.873{col 62}{space 4}-117.6107{col 75}{space 3} 138.4165
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.418656{col 34}{space 2}  73.1199{col 45}{space 1}    0.02{col 54}{space 3}0.985{col 62}{space 4}-143.0594{col 75}{space 3} 145.8967
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 17}12  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 512.8731{col 34}{space 2} 161.6217{col 45}{space 1}    3.17{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 193.5239{col 75}{space 3} 832.2224
{txt}{space 17}37  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 223.4598{col 34}{space 2} 84.03606{col 45}{space 1}    2.66{col 54}{space 3}0.009{col 62}{space 4} 57.41249{col 75}{space 3} 389.5071
{txt}{space 17}47  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 147.1069{col 34}{space 2} 102.8804{col 45}{space 1}    1.43{col 54}{space 3}0.155{col 62}{space 4}-56.17499{col 75}{space 3} 350.3889
{txt}{space 17}48  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 459.0233{col 34}{space 2} 184.7126{col 45}{space 1}    2.49{col 54}{space 3}0.014{col 62}{space 4} 94.04864{col 75}{space 3} 823.9979
{txt}{space 17}51  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 555.0585{col 34}{space 2} 167.7382{col 45}{space 1}    3.31{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 223.6237{col 75}{space 3} 886.4933
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1947  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-13.39244{col 34}{space 2} 158.8584{col 45}{space 1}   -0.08{col 54}{space 3}0.933{col 62}{space 4}-327.2815{col 75}{space 3} 300.4966
{txt}{space 15}1948  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 141.3522{col 34}{space 2} 161.2987{col 45}{space 1}    0.88{col 54}{space 3}0.382{col 62}{space 4}-177.3588{col 75}{space 3} 460.0631
{txt}{space 15}1949  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 268.5161{col 34}{space 2} 153.2289{col 45}{space 1}    1.75{col 54}{space 3}0.082{col 62}{space 4}-34.24971{col 75}{space 3} 571.2819
{txt}{space 15}1950  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 629.5691{col 34}{space 2} 141.7082{col 45}{space 1}    4.44{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 349.5672{col 75}{space 3}  909.571
{txt}{space 15}1951  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  405.335{col 34}{space 2} 103.1569{col 45}{space 1}    3.93{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 201.5066{col 75}{space 3} 609.1633
{txt}{space 15}1952  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 558.5383{col 34}{space 2} 121.6363{col 45}{space 1}    4.59{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 318.1965{col 75}{space 3} 798.8801
{txt}{space 15}1953  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 463.0003{col 34}{space 2} 116.3905{col 45}{space 1}    3.98{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 233.0236{col 75}{space 3}  692.977
{txt}{space 15}1954  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  491.975{col 34}{space 2}   82.698{col 45}{space 1}    5.95{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 328.5716{col 75}{space 3} 655.3784
{txt}{space 15}1955  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 815.6682{col 34}{space 2} 92.57878{col 45}{space 1}    8.81{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 632.7413{col 75}{space 3} 998.5951
{txt}{space 15}1956  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  703.483{col 34}{space 2} 92.66024{col 45}{space 1}    7.59{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 520.3951{col 75}{space 3} 886.5709
{txt}{space 15}1957  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 455.9556{col 34}{space 2} 113.2703{col 45}{space 1}    4.03{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 232.1442{col 75}{space 3}  679.767
{txt}{space 15}1958  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 617.1056{col 34}{space 2} 112.8551{col 45}{space 1}    5.47{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 394.1147{col 75}{space 3} 840.0965
{txt}{space 15}1959  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 889.2677{col 34}{space 2} 123.3797{col 45}{space 1}    7.21{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 645.4811{col 75}{space 3} 1133.054
{txt}{space 15}1960  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 618.0181{col 34}{space 2} 120.7924{col 45}{space 1}    5.12{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 379.3438{col 75}{space 3} 856.6924
{txt}{space 15}1961  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 870.0913{col 34}{space 2} 135.3515{col 45}{space 1}    6.43{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 602.6496{col 75}{space 3} 1137.533
{txt}{space 15}1962  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 875.1766{col 34}{space 2} 120.7082{col 45}{space 1}    7.25{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 636.6687{col 75}{space 3} 1113.685
{txt}{space 15}1963  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  888.468{col 34}{space 2} 131.4905{col 45}{space 1}    6.76{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 628.6552{col 75}{space 3} 1148.281
{txt}{space 15}1964  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1113.461{col 34}{space 2}  135.227{col 45}{space 1}    8.23{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 846.2649{col 75}{space 3} 1380.656
{txt}{space 15}1965  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1110.991{col 34}{space 2} 140.4416{col 45}{space 1}    7.91{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 833.4921{col 75}{space 3} 1388.491
{txt}{space 15}1966  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1267.107{col 34}{space 2} 158.4744{col 45}{space 1}    8.00{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 953.9769{col 75}{space 3} 1580.238
{txt}{space 15}1967  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1242.889{col 34}{space 2}  178.659{col 45}{space 1}    6.96{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 889.8755{col 75}{space 3} 1595.902
{txt}{space 15}1968  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1400.24{col 34}{space 2} 192.7917{col 45}{space 1}    7.26{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1019.302{col 75}{space 3} 1781.178
{txt}{space 15}1969  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1388.077{col 34}{space 2} 227.6246{col 45}{space 1}    6.10{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 938.3123{col 75}{space 3} 1837.841
{txt}{space 15}1970  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1283.386{col 34}{space 2} 237.0372{col 45}{space 1}    5.41{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 815.0227{col 75}{space 3} 1751.749
{txt}{space 15}1971  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1513.516{col 34}{space 2}  264.791{col 45}{space 1}    5.72{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  990.314{col 75}{space 3} 2036.718
{txt}{space 15}1972  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1846.585{col 34}{space 2} 285.9313{col 45}{space 1}    6.46{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1281.612{col 75}{space 3} 2411.558
{txt}{space 15}1973  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1836.961{col 34}{space 2} 319.3101{col 45}{space 1}    5.75{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1206.035{col 75}{space 3} 2467.888
{txt}{space 15}1974  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1267.261{col 34}{space 2} 299.3725{col 45}{space 1}    4.23{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 675.7293{col 75}{space 3} 1858.793
{txt}{space 15}1975  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1298.526{col 34}{space 2}  334.336{col 45}{space 1}    3.88{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 637.9095{col 75}{space 3} 1959.142
{txt}{space 15}1976  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1819.652{col 34}{space 2} 346.2184{col 45}{space 1}    5.26{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1135.558{col 75}{space 3} 2503.747
{txt}{space 15}1977  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1756.247{col 34}{space 2} 374.5408{col 45}{space 1}    4.69{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  1016.19{col 75}{space 3} 2496.304
{txt}{space 15}1978  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2098.163{col 34}{space 2}  377.162{col 45}{space 1}    5.56{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1352.926{col 75}{space 3} 2843.399
{txt}{space 15}1979  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1541.403{col 34}{space 2} 400.2255{col 45}{space 1}    3.85{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 750.5956{col 75}{space 3} 2332.211
{txt}{space 15}1980  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1480.917{col 34}{space 2} 447.2648{col 45}{space 1}    3.31{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 597.1643{col 75}{space 3}  2364.67
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 941.3508{col 34}{space 2} 603.7614{col 45}{space 1}    1.56{col 54}{space 3}0.121{col 62}{space 4}-251.6246{col 75}{space 3} 2134.326
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallpre if year<=1980 & newsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,129 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   150) ={res}    9.90
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0020
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   150) ={res}    4.99
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0079
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.228711{col 26}{space 2} 3.111774{col 37}{space 1}    1.04{col 46}{space 3}0.301{col 54}{space 4} -2.91986{col 67}{space 3} 9.377281
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 9.250736{col 26}{space 2} 5.823948{col 37}{space 1}    1.59{col 46}{space 3}0.112{col 54}{space 4}-2.163992{col 67}{space 3} 20.66546
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. sum klarnerranney   if real_pc_inc_annhatallpre!=. & year<=1980 & newsouth==1, detail

         {txt}Annual Ranney Measure of State Legislative
               Partisan Balance (Klarner Data)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res}        0              0
{txt} 5%    {res}        0              0
{txt}10%    {res} .6666667              0       {txt}Obs         {res}        210
{txt}25%    {res} 4.857143              0       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        210

{txt}50%    {res}     13.5                      {txt}Mean          {res} 23.16234
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 23.64858
{txt}75%    {res}     34.5       86.86869
{txt}90%    {res} 63.18277       89.89899       {txt}Variance      {res} 559.2551
{txt}95%    {res} 74.43978       90.90909       {txt}Skewness      {res} 1.172876
{txt}99%    {res} 89.89899       90.90909       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 3.451806
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS OF  klarnerranney ON real_pc_inc_ann:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD *
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*25.56989  -  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*4.290876

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*25.56989 - (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*4.290876

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 196.8465{col 26}{space 2} 123.9279{col 37}{space 1}    1.59{col 46}{space 3}0.112{col 54}{space 4}-46.04762{col 67}{space 3} 439.7407
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. qui regress d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & newsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       210{col 27}-122.3374{col 38}-50.30002{col 49}    54{col 58}    208.6{col 69} 389.3438
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. newey d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & newsouth==1, lag(6) force
{txt}note: L.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: LD.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity

Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       210
{txt}maximum lag: {res}6{col 49}{txt}F( 53,       156){col 67}= {res}      5.07
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 17}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.              {col 18}{c |}{col 30}  Newey-West
{col 1}ihsklarnerranney{col 18}{c |}      Coef.{col 30}   Std. Err.{col 42}      t{col 50}   P>|t|{col 58}     [95% Con{col 71}f. Interval]
{hline 17}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1139996{col 30}{space 2} .0466605{col 41}{space 1}   -2.44{col 50}{space 3}0.016{col 58}{space 4}-.2061675{col 71}{space 3}-.0218317
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0002076{col 30}{space 2} .0001207{col 41}{space 1}   -1.72{col 50}{space 3}0.088{col 58}{space 4}-.0004461{col 71}{space 3} .0000309
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0417765{col 30}{space 2} .0530787{col 41}{space 1}   -0.79{col 50}{space 3}0.432{col 58}{space 4}-.1466223{col 71}{space 3} .0630693
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}D1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-7.62e-06{col 30}{space 2} .0002453{col 41}{space 1}   -0.03{col 50}{space 3}0.975{col 58}{space 4}-.0004921{col 71}{space 3} .0004769
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.3117913{col 30}{space 2} .0963598{col 41}{space 1}   -3.24{col 50}{space 3}0.001{col 58}{space 4}-.5021296{col 71}{space 3} -.121453
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .000141{col 30}{space 2} .0002447{col 41}{space 1}    0.58{col 50}{space 3}0.565{col 58}{space 4}-.0003423{col 71}{space 3} .0006243
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L3D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1269742{col 30}{space 2} .0863888{col 41}{space 1}   -1.47{col 50}{space 3}0.144{col 58}{space 4}-.2976169{col 71}{space 3} .0436685
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0002707{col 30}{space 2} .0001988{col 41}{space 1}    1.36{col 50}{space 3}0.175{col 58}{space 4}-.0001221{col 71}{space 3} .0006634
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 7}gov_party {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0170687{col 30}{space 2} .1364318{col 41}{space 1}    0.13{col 50}{space 3}0.901{col 58}{space 4}-.2524234{col 71}{space 3} .2865608
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1704322{col 30}{space 2} .1160159{col 41}{space 1}   -1.47{col 50}{space 3}0.144{col 58}{space 4} -.399597{col 71}{space 3} .0587327
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}dem_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0966325{col 30}{space 2} .1397077{col 41}{space 1}    0.69{col 50}{space 3}0.490{col 58}{space 4}-.1793303{col 71}{space 3} .3725953
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0817888{col 30}{space 2} .1367685{col 41}{space 1}    0.60{col 50}{space 3}0.551{col 58}{space 4}-.1883683{col 71}{space 3} .3519459
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}rep_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}        0{col 30}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}        0{col 30}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 16} {c |}
{space 2}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0601068{col 30}{space 2} .1364061{col 41}{space 1}    0.44{col 50}{space 3}0.660{col 58}{space 4}-.2093344{col 71}{space 3} .3295481
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0202193{col 30}{space 2} .1173713{col 41}{space 1}    0.17{col 50}{space 3}0.863{col 58}{space 4}-.2116228{col 71}{space 3} .2520614
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 6}state_fips {c |}
{space 13}12  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .7786856{col 30}{space 2} .2837104{col 41}{space 1}    2.74{col 50}{space 3}0.007{col 58}{space 4} .2182761{col 71}{space 3} 1.339095
{txt}{space 13}37  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3477127{col 30}{space 2} .1464279{col 41}{space 1}    2.37{col 50}{space 3}0.019{col 58}{space 4} .0584755{col 71}{space 3} .6369499
{txt}{space 13}47  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4906483{col 30}{space 2} .1679307{col 41}{space 1}    2.92{col 50}{space 3}0.004{col 58}{space 4} .1589369{col 71}{space 3} .8223597
{txt}{space 13}48  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4884668{col 30}{space 2} .2563056{col 41}{space 1}    1.91{col 50}{space 3}0.059{col 58}{space 4}-.0178104{col 71}{space 3} .9947441
{txt}{space 13}51  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .7195955{col 30}{space 2}  .280567{col 41}{space 1}    2.56{col 50}{space 3}0.011{col 58}{space 4}  .165395{col 71}{space 3} 1.273796
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 12}year {c |}
{space 11}1947  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} -.030937{col 30}{space 2} .2287088{col 41}{space 1}   -0.14{col 50}{space 3}0.893{col 58}{space 4}-.4827026{col 71}{space 3} .4208286
{txt}{space 11}1948  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0347019{col 30}{space 2} .2674423{col 41}{space 1}    0.13{col 50}{space 3}0.897{col 58}{space 4}-.4935736{col 71}{space 3} .5629774
{txt}{space 11}1949  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.3244225{col 30}{space 2} .2466277{col 41}{space 1}   -1.32{col 50}{space 3}0.190{col 58}{space 4} -.811583{col 71}{space 3}  .162738
{txt}{space 11}1950  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.2119761{col 30}{space 2} .2046803{col 41}{space 1}   -1.04{col 50}{space 3}0.302{col 58}{space 4}-.6162786{col 71}{space 3} .1923264
{txt}{space 11}1951  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2534692{col 30}{space 2} .2666713{col 41}{space 1}    0.95{col 50}{space 3}0.343{col 58}{space 4}-.2732833{col 71}{space 3} .7802218
{txt}{space 11}1952  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} -.092247{col 30}{space 2} .1723414{col 41}{space 1}   -0.54{col 50}{space 3}0.593{col 58}{space 4}-.4326708{col 71}{space 3} .2481768
{txt}{space 11}1953  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3017125{col 30}{space 2} .3044947{col 41}{space 1}    0.99{col 50}{space 3}0.323{col 58}{space 4}-.2997522{col 71}{space 3} .9031772
{txt}{space 11}1954  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0974296{col 30}{space 2} .1636765{col 41}{space 1}    0.60{col 50}{space 3}0.553{col 58}{space 4}-.2258784{col 71}{space 3} .4207377
{txt}{space 11}1955  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1644619{col 30}{space 2} .2724303{col 41}{space 1}    0.60{col 50}{space 3}0.547{col 58}{space 4}-.3736662{col 71}{space 3} .7025901
{txt}{space 11}1956  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1344793{col 30}{space 2} .2221199{col 41}{space 1}    0.61{col 50}{space 3}0.546{col 58}{space 4}-.3042713{col 71}{space 3} .5732299
{txt}{space 11}1957  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1064765{col 30}{space 2} .1929635{col 41}{space 1}    0.55{col 50}{space 3}0.582{col 58}{space 4}-.2746819{col 71}{space 3} .4876348
{txt}{space 11}1958  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1522109{col 30}{space 2} .2096195{col 41}{space 1}    0.73{col 50}{space 3}0.469{col 58}{space 4}-.2618479{col 71}{space 3} .5662696
{txt}{space 11}1959  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.3820659{col 30}{space 2} .4033924{col 41}{space 1}   -0.95{col 50}{space 3}0.345{col 58}{space 4}-1.178882{col 71}{space 3} .4147501
{txt}{space 11}1960  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0996593{col 30}{space 2} .2266409{col 41}{space 1}    0.44{col 50}{space 3}0.661{col 58}{space 4}-.3480217{col 71}{space 3} .5473403
{txt}{space 11}1961  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3857615{col 30}{space 2} .2712429{col 41}{space 1}    1.42{col 50}{space 3}0.157{col 58}{space 4}-.1500213{col 71}{space 3} .9215442
{txt}{space 11}1962  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .324387{col 30}{space 2} .3532259{col 41}{space 1}    0.92{col 50}{space 3}0.360{col 58}{space 4}-.3733357{col 71}{space 3}  1.02211
{txt}{space 11}1963  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .745131{col 30}{space 2} .3411438{col 41}{space 1}    2.18{col 50}{space 3}0.030{col 58}{space 4} .0712739{col 71}{space 3} 1.418988
{txt}{space 11}1964  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5838867{col 30}{space 2} .3641867{col 41}{space 1}    1.60{col 50}{space 3}0.111{col 58}{space 4}-.1354868{col 71}{space 3}  1.30326
{txt}{space 11}1965  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1413075{col 30}{space 2} .4253156{col 41}{space 1}    0.33{col 50}{space 3}0.740{col 58}{space 4}-.6988131{col 71}{space 3} .9814282
{txt}{space 11}1966  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4856672{col 30}{space 2} .3851412{col 41}{space 1}    1.26{col 50}{space 3}0.209{col 58}{space 4}-.2750974{col 71}{space 3} 1.246432
{txt}{space 11}1967  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.276261{col 30}{space 2} .4523733{col 41}{space 1}    2.82{col 50}{space 3}0.005{col 58}{space 4} .3826933{col 71}{space 3} 2.169828
{txt}{space 11}1968  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .8184307{col 30}{space 2} .4620643{col 41}{space 1}    1.77{col 50}{space 3}0.078{col 58}{space 4}-.0942791{col 71}{space 3} 1.731141
{txt}{space 11}1969  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.298445{col 30}{space 2} .5250493{col 41}{space 1}    2.47{col 50}{space 3}0.014{col 58}{space 4} .2613219{col 71}{space 3} 2.335569
{txt}{space 11}1970  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.134536{col 30}{space 2} .5076048{col 41}{space 1}    2.24{col 50}{space 3}0.027{col 58}{space 4} .1318706{col 71}{space 3} 2.137201
{txt}{space 11}1971  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9570851{col 30}{space 2} .5340492{col 41}{space 1}    1.79{col 50}{space 3}0.075{col 58}{space 4}-.0978157{col 71}{space 3} 2.011986
{txt}{space 11}1972  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.081719{col 30}{space 2} .6034509{col 41}{space 1}    1.79{col 50}{space 3}0.075{col 58}{space 4}-.1102703{col 71}{space 3} 2.273708
{txt}{space 11}1973  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.254889{col 30}{space 2} .6379498{col 41}{space 1}    1.97{col 50}{space 3}0.051{col 58}{space 4}-.0052455{col 71}{space 3} 2.515023
{txt}{space 11}1974  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.172603{col 30}{space 2}  .580821{col 41}{space 1}    2.02{col 50}{space 3}0.045{col 58}{space 4} .0253146{col 71}{space 3} 2.319892
{txt}{space 11}1975  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9921207{col 30}{space 2} .7248732{col 41}{space 1}    1.37{col 50}{space 3}0.173{col 58}{space 4}-.4397123{col 71}{space 3} 2.423954
{txt}{space 11}1976  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.301576{col 30}{space 2} .7560927{col 41}{space 1}    1.72{col 50}{space 3}0.087{col 58}{space 4}-.1919245{col 71}{space 3} 2.795076
{txt}{space 11}1977  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.307409{col 30}{space 2} .7427338{col 41}{space 1}    1.76{col 50}{space 3}0.080{col 58}{space 4} -.159704{col 71}{space 3} 2.774522
{txt}{space 11}1978  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.250768{col 30}{space 2} .7656632{col 41}{space 1}    1.63{col 50}{space 3}0.104{col 58}{space 4}-.2616368{col 71}{space 3} 2.763173
{txt}{space 11}1979  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.519321{col 30}{space 2} .7382683{col 41}{space 1}    2.06{col 50}{space 3}0.041{col 58}{space 4} .0610286{col 71}{space 3} 2.977613
{txt}{space 11}1980  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.496672{col 30}{space 2} .7248831{col 41}{space 1}    2.06{col 50}{space 3}0.041{col 58}{space 4} .0648196{col 71}{space 3} 2.928525
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 11}_cons {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .6469547{col 30}{space 2} .4354215{col 41}{space 1}    1.49{col 50}{space 3}0.139{col 58}{space 4}-.2131279{col 71}{space 3} 1.507037
{txt}{hline 17}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict ihsklarnerranneyhatallpre if year<=1980 & newsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,129 missing values generated)

{com}. 
.  
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   156) ={res}    5.97
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0157
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   156) ={res}    6.35
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0022
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .000404{col 26}{space 2} .0004249{col 37}{space 1}    0.95{col 46}{space 3}0.343{col 54}{space 4}-.0004352{col 67}{space 3} .0012432
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.001821{col 26}{space 2} .0014702{col 37}{space 1}   -1.24{col 46}{space 3}0.215{col 54}{space 4}-.0047026{col 67}{space 3} .0010606
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. sum real_pc_inc_ann   if ihsklarnerranneyhatallpre !=. & year<=1980 & newsouth==1, detail

        {txt}Per Capita Annual Income (1982-1984 Constant
                          Dollars)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 3490.337        3271.09
{txt} 5%    {res} 3973.358       3387.727
{txt}10%    {res} 4426.254       3490.337       {txt}Obs         {res}        210
{txt}25%    {res} 5265.581       3624.476       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        210

{txt}50%    {res} 6762.816                      {txt}Mean          {res} 7295.256
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 2427.065
{txt}75%    {res}  9338.84        12169.1
{txt}90%    {res} 11020.21       12264.53       {txt}Variance      {res}  5890645
{txt}95%    {res}  11749.2       12302.72       {txt}Skewness      {res} .4050757
{txt}99%    {res} 12264.53       12331.84       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 2.024982
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS OF real_pc_inc_ann ON ihsklarnerranney:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD 
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*9803.36   -  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*5533.502

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*9803.36 - (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*5533.502

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-7.775478{col 26}{space 2} 6.277652{col 37}{space 1}   -1.24{col 46}{space 3}0.215{col 54}{space 4}-20.07945{col 67}{space 3} 4.528494
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
.   
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. //(4,3)  MODEL
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** III.C: NEW SOUTH STATES (N = 5): POST-PARTISAN ALIGNMENT TIME PERIOD (1981 - 2010) ***
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & newsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       180{col 27}-1287.612{col 38} -1150.91{col 49}    57{col 58} 2415.819{col 69} 2597.818
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & newsouth==1, lag(5) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       180
{txt}maximum lag: {res}5{col 49}{txt}F( 56,       123){col 67}= {res}     53.90
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1392777{col 34}{space 2} .0379298{col 45}{space 1}   -3.67{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-.2143575{col 75}{space 3}-.0641979
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2.840538{col 34}{space 2} 1.828503{col 45}{space 1}   -1.55{col 54}{space 3}0.123{col 62}{space 4}-6.459948{col 75}{space 3} .7788715
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2137645{col 34}{space 2} .1277606{col 45}{space 1}    1.67{col 54}{space 3}0.097{col 62}{space 4}-.0391297{col 75}{space 3} .4666587
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.676107{col 34}{space 2} 2.076137{col 45}{space 1}   -0.81{col 54}{space 3}0.421{col 62}{space 4}-5.785692{col 75}{space 3} 2.433478
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2090054{col 34}{space 2} .0916822{col 45}{space 1}    2.28{col 54}{space 3}0.024{col 62}{space 4}  .027526{col 75}{space 3} .3904847
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.7390172{col 34}{space 2} 2.279269{col 45}{space 1}   -0.32{col 54}{space 3}0.746{col 62}{space 4}-5.250691{col 75}{space 3} 3.772657
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0291262{col 34}{space 2} .1356927{col 45}{space 1}    0.21{col 54}{space 3}0.830{col 62}{space 4}-.2394692{col 75}{space 3} .2977216
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2778719{col 34}{space 2} 2.644069{col 45}{space 1}   -0.11{col 54}{space 3}0.916{col 62}{space 4}-5.511644{col 75}{space 3} 4.955901
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-521.4126{col 34}{space 2} 1436.194{col 45}{space 1}   -0.36{col 54}{space 3}0.717{col 62}{space 4} -3364.27{col 75}{space 3} 2321.445
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 290.9761{col 34}{space 2} 1829.963{col 45}{space 1}    0.16{col 54}{space 3}0.874{col 62}{space 4}-3331.324{col 75}{space 3} 3913.276
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 110.1076{col 34}{space 2} 88.86326{col 45}{space 1}    1.24{col 54}{space 3}0.218{col 62}{space 4}-65.79175{col 75}{space 3}  286.007
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-99.43898{col 34}{space 2} 65.03067{col 45}{space 1}   -1.53{col 54}{space 3}0.129{col 62}{space 4}-228.1632{col 75}{space 3} 29.28524
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-788.8705{col 34}{space 2} 786.8236{col 45}{space 1}   -1.00{col 54}{space 3}0.318{col 62}{space 4}-2346.339{col 75}{space 3} 768.5985
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  3.01107{col 34}{space 2} 1559.211{col 45}{space 1}    0.00{col 54}{space 3}0.998{col 62}{space 4}-3083.352{col 75}{space 3} 3089.374
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 3268.029{col 34}{space 2} 8236.799{col 45}{space 1}    0.40{col 54}{space 3}0.692{col 62}{space 4}-13036.21{col 75}{space 3} 19572.27
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2654.019{col 34}{space 2} 4759.256{col 45}{space 1}    0.56{col 54}{space 3}0.578{col 62}{space 4}-6766.636{col 75}{space 3} 12074.67
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 73.38343{col 34}{space 2} 48.90975{col 45}{space 1}    1.50{col 54}{space 3}0.136{col 62}{space 4}-23.43042{col 75}{space 3} 170.1973
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 44.25688{col 34}{space 2} 75.05925{col 45}{space 1}    0.59{col 54}{space 3}0.557{col 62}{space 4}-104.3183{col 75}{space 3} 192.8321
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -104.908{col 34}{space 2} 62.53554{col 45}{space 1}   -1.68{col 54}{space 3}0.096{col 62}{space 4}-228.6933{col 75}{space 3} 18.87724
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-23.78214{col 34}{space 2} 68.86471{col 45}{space 1}   -0.35{col 54}{space 3}0.730{col 62}{space 4}-160.0956{col 75}{space 3} 112.5313
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-16.91424{col 34}{space 2} 95.50533{col 45}{space 1}   -0.18{col 54}{space 3}0.860{col 62}{space 4}-205.9612{col 75}{space 3} 172.1327
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 89.23008{col 34}{space 2} 110.3863{col 45}{space 1}    0.81{col 54}{space 3}0.420{col 62}{space 4}-129.2729{col 75}{space 3} 307.7331
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 17}12  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 459.7317{col 34}{space 2} 252.1505{col 45}{space 1}    1.82{col 54}{space 3}0.071{col 62}{space 4}-39.38472{col 75}{space 3} 958.8482
{txt}{space 17}37  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 271.4066{col 34}{space 2} 183.0451{col 45}{space 1}    1.48{col 54}{space 3}0.141{col 62}{space 4}-90.91987{col 75}{space 3} 633.7331
{txt}{space 17}47  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 305.0262{col 34}{space 2} 228.7539{col 45}{space 1}    1.33{col 54}{space 3}0.185{col 62}{space 4}-147.7781{col 75}{space 3} 757.8306
{txt}{space 17}48  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 407.3848{col 34}{space 2} 221.7343{col 45}{space 1}    1.84{col 54}{space 3}0.069{col 62}{space 4}-31.52459{col 75}{space 3} 846.2943
{txt}{space 17}51  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 634.4165{col 34}{space 2}  327.249{col 45}{space 1}    1.94{col 54}{space 3}0.055{col 62}{space 4}-13.35285{col 75}{space 3} 1282.186
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1982  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-124.2261{col 34}{space 2} 147.9578{col 45}{space 1}   -0.84{col 54}{space 3}0.403{col 62}{space 4}-417.0995{col 75}{space 3} 168.6473
{txt}{space 15}1983  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 126.7143{col 34}{space 2} 202.1341{col 45}{space 1}    0.63{col 54}{space 3}0.532{col 62}{space 4}-273.3978{col 75}{space 3} 526.8264
{txt}{space 15}1984  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 371.4014{col 34}{space 2} 183.1614{col 45}{space 1}    2.03{col 54}{space 3}0.045{col 62}{space 4} 8.844595{col 75}{space 3} 733.9582
{txt}{space 15}1985  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  110.221{col 34}{space 2} 228.0619{col 45}{space 1}    0.48{col 54}{space 3}0.630{col 62}{space 4}-341.2135{col 75}{space 3} 561.6555
{txt}{space 15}1986  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 139.9624{col 34}{space 2} 173.0391{col 45}{space 1}    0.81{col 54}{space 3}0.420{col 62}{space 4}-202.5578{col 75}{space 3} 482.4827
{txt}{space 15}1987  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 59.08041{col 34}{space 2} 166.1543{col 45}{space 1}    0.36{col 54}{space 3}0.723{col 62}{space 4}-269.8119{col 75}{space 3} 387.9727
{txt}{space 15}1988  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  337.257{col 34}{space 2} 178.6575{col 45}{space 1}    1.89{col 54}{space 3}0.061{col 62}{space 4}-16.38467{col 75}{space 3} 690.8986
{txt}{space 15}1989  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 311.5518{col 34}{space 2} 204.2478{col 45}{space 1}    1.53{col 54}{space 3}0.130{col 62}{space 4}-92.74418{col 75}{space 3} 715.8477
{txt}{space 15}1990  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-7.481831{col 34}{space 2} 218.1256{col 45}{space 1}   -0.03{col 54}{space 3}0.973{col 62}{space 4}-439.2481{col 75}{space 3} 424.2844
{txt}{space 15}1991  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 25.62478{col 34}{space 2} 173.3575{col 45}{space 1}    0.15{col 54}{space 3}0.883{col 62}{space 4}-317.5258{col 75}{space 3} 368.7754
{txt}{space 15}1992  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 593.6135{col 34}{space 2} 196.7635{col 45}{space 1}    3.02{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} 204.1322{col 75}{space 3} 983.0949
{txt}{space 15}1993  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 358.7415{col 34}{space 2} 266.8585{col 45}{space 1}    1.34{col 54}{space 3}0.181{col 62}{space 4}-169.4885{col 75}{space 3} 886.9715
{txt}{space 15}1994  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 434.0747{col 34}{space 2} 238.9302{col 45}{space 1}    1.82{col 54}{space 3}0.072{col 62}{space 4}-38.87291{col 75}{space 3} 907.0223
{txt}{space 15}1995  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 492.9955{col 34}{space 2} 216.0142{col 45}{space 1}    2.28{col 54}{space 3}0.024{col 62}{space 4} 65.40852{col 75}{space 3} 920.5824
{txt}{space 15}1996  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 496.7845{col 34}{space 2} 232.7379{col 45}{space 1}    2.13{col 54}{space 3}0.035{col 62}{space 4} 36.09405{col 75}{space 3} 957.4749
{txt}{space 15}1997  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 641.9915{col 34}{space 2} 252.8575{col 45}{space 1}    2.54{col 54}{space 3}0.012{col 62}{space 4} 141.4755{col 75}{space 3} 1142.507
{txt}{space 15}1998  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 923.1834{col 34}{space 2} 270.7405{col 45}{space 1}    3.41{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 387.2691{col 75}{space 3} 1459.098
{txt}{space 15}1999  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 552.2265{col 34}{space 2} 302.0444{col 45}{space 1}    1.83{col 54}{space 3}0.070{col 62}{space 4}-45.65183{col 75}{space 3} 1150.105
{txt}{space 15}2000  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 795.5667{col 34}{space 2} 290.2581{col 45}{space 1}    2.74{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4} 221.0186{col 75}{space 3} 1370.115
{txt}{space 15}2001  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 531.6938{col 34}{space 2} 292.2687{col 45}{space 1}    1.82{col 54}{space 3}0.071{col 62}{space 4}-46.83417{col 75}{space 3} 1110.222
{txt}{space 15}2002  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 468.0765{col 34}{space 2} 303.0373{col 45}{space 1}    1.54{col 54}{space 3}0.125{col 62}{space 4}-131.7674{col 75}{space 3}  1067.92
{txt}{space 15}2003  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 712.6434{col 34}{space 2} 279.8955{col 45}{space 1}    2.55{col 54}{space 3}0.012{col 62}{space 4} 158.6075{col 75}{space 3} 1266.679
{txt}{space 15}2004  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1045.127{col 34}{space 2} 329.8351{col 45}{space 1}    3.17{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 392.2385{col 75}{space 3} 1698.015
{txt}{space 15}2005  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 876.2067{col 34}{space 2} 374.3446{col 45}{space 1}    2.34{col 54}{space 3}0.021{col 62}{space 4} 135.2146{col 75}{space 3} 1617.199
{txt}{space 15}2006  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1002.937{col 34}{space 2} 336.7189{col 45}{space 1}    2.98{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4}  336.423{col 75}{space 3} 1669.452
{txt}{space 15}2007  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 925.6435{col 34}{space 2} 342.4352{col 45}{space 1}    2.70{col 54}{space 3}0.008{col 62}{space 4}  247.814{col 75}{space 3} 1603.473
{txt}{space 15}2008  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 639.9502{col 34}{space 2} 422.6344{col 45}{space 1}    1.51{col 54}{space 3}0.133{col 62}{space 4}-196.6288{col 75}{space 3} 1476.529
{txt}{space 15}2009  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-15.51741{col 34}{space 2} 305.2522{col 45}{space 1}   -0.05{col 54}{space 3}0.960{col 62}{space 4}-619.7455{col 75}{space 3} 588.7107
{txt}{space 15}2010  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1045.944{col 34}{space 2} 296.6932{col 45}{space 1}    3.53{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 458.6581{col 75}{space 3}  1633.23
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1632.783{col 34}{space 2} 7966.692{col 45}{space 1}   -0.20{col 54}{space 3}0.838{col 62}{space 4}-17402.36{col 75}{space 3} 14136.79
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallpost if year>1980 & newsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,159 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   123) ={res}   13.48
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0004
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENIETY)*
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   123) ={res}    8.50
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0003
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney  +  l2.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.692996{col 26}{space 2} 4.530235{col 37}{space 1}   -0.59{col 46}{space 3}0.553{col 54}{space 4}-11.66032{col 67}{space 3} 6.274326
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-20.39478{col 26}{space 2} 14.68578{col 37}{space 1}   -1.39{col 46}{space 3}0.165{col 54}{space 4}-49.17837{col 67}{space 3} 8.388808
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. sum klarnerranney  if real_pc_inc_annhatallpost!=. & year>1980 & newsouth==1, detail

         {txt}Annual Ranney Measure of State Legislative
               Partisan Balance (Klarner Data)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 9.857143       9.857143
{txt} 5%    {res} 20.92857       9.857143
{txt}10%    {res}     33.5       16.57143       {txt}Obs         {res}        180
{txt}25%    {res} 54.51075       16.57143       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        180

{txt}50%    {res} 73.73737                      {txt}Mean          {res} 68.77416
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 22.67648
{txt}75%    {res} 86.93434        99.6129
{txt}90%    {res} 95.33333       99.82796       {txt}Variance      {res}  514.223
{txt}95%    {res}       98       99.82796       {txt}Skewness      {res}-.6984991
{txt}99%    {res} 99.82796            100       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 2.710085
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS OF klarnerranney ON real_pc_inc_ann:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD *
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*85.82796   -  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*56.68817

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*85.82796 - (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*56.68817

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-594.2997{col 26}{space 2} 427.9404{col 37}{space 1}   -1.39{col 46}{space 3}0.165{col 54}{space 4}-1433.048{col 67}{space 3} 244.4481
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. qui reg d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & newsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       180{col 27}-614.5384{col 38}-568.0815{col 49}    51{col 58} 1238.163{col 69} 1401.004
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. newey d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & newsouth==1, lag(5) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       180
{txt}maximum lag: {res}5{col 49}{txt}F( 50,       129){col 67}= {res}     57.75
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 16}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 17}{c |}{col 29}  Newey-West
{col 1}D.klarnerranney{col 17}{c |}      Coef.{col 29}   Std. Err.{col 41}      t{col 49}   P>|t|{col 57}     [95% Con{col 70}f. Interval]
{hline 16}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.2730914{col 29}{space 2} .0645106{col 40}{space 1}   -4.23{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-.4007272{col 70}{space 3}-.1454556
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0011437{col 29}{space 2} .0010127{col 40}{space 1}    1.13{col 49}{space 3}0.261{col 57}{space 4}-.0008599{col 70}{space 3} .0031474
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0318145{col 29}{space 2} .0713572{col 40}{space 1}    0.45{col 49}{space 3}0.656{col 57}{space 4}-.1093675{col 70}{space 3} .1729966
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}D1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0016114{col 29}{space 2} .0029674{col 40}{space 1}   -0.54{col 49}{space 3}0.588{col 57}{space 4}-.0074824{col 70}{space 3} .0042595
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0433543{col 29}{space 2} .1087112{col 40}{space 1}    0.40{col 49}{space 3}0.691{col 57}{space 4}-.1717334{col 70}{space 3} .2584421
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  .005971{col 29}{space 2} .0043969{col 40}{space 1}    1.36{col 49}{space 3}0.177{col 57}{space 4}-.0027283{col 70}{space 3} .0146703
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L3D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0297903{col 29}{space 2} .0828007{col 40}{space 1}   -0.36{col 49}{space 3}0.720{col 57}{space 4}-.1936136{col 70}{space 3}  .134033
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0009562{col 29}{space 2} .0034344{col 40}{space 1}   -0.28{col 49}{space 3}0.781{col 57}{space 4}-.0077513{col 70}{space 3}  .005839
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 6}gov_party {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.002005{col 29}{space 2}  1.75477{col 40}{space 1}   -2.85{col 49}{space 3}0.005{col 57}{space 4}-8.473861{col 70}{space 3}-1.530149
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 4.579333{col 29}{space 2} 2.007074{col 40}{space 1}    2.28{col 49}{space 3}0.024{col 57}{space 4} .6082882{col 70}{space 3} 8.550378
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}dem_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 6.154284{col 29}{space 2} 2.501788{col 40}{space 1}    2.46{col 49}{space 3}0.015{col 57}{space 4} 1.204435{col 70}{space 3} 11.10413
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.032758{col 29}{space 2} 2.225477{col 40}{space 1}   -2.26{col 49}{space 3}0.025{col 57}{space 4} -9.43592{col 70}{space 3}-.6295966
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}rep_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-10.44575{col 29}{space 2} 2.700709{col 40}{space 1}   -3.87{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-15.78917{col 70}{space 3}-5.102335
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 6.782378{col 29}{space 2} 2.773104{col 40}{space 1}    2.45{col 49}{space 3}0.016{col 57}{space 4} 1.295724{col 70}{space 3} 12.26903
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 1}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 3.595149{col 29}{space 2} 2.454457{col 40}{space 1}    1.46{col 49}{space 3}0.145{col 57}{space 4}-1.261055{col 70}{space 3} 8.451353
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.358817{col 29}{space 2} 3.336215{col 40}{space 1}   -1.01{col 49}{space 3}0.316{col 57}{space 4}  -9.9596{col 70}{space 3} 3.241966
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 5}state_fips {c |}
{space 12}12  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.62995{col 29}{space 2}  5.51148{col 40}{space 1}    2.47{col 49}{space 3}0.015{col 57}{space 4} 2.725347{col 70}{space 3} 24.53455
{txt}{space 12}37  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 7.702461{col 29}{space 2}  3.69774{col 40}{space 1}    2.08{col 49}{space 3}0.039{col 57}{space 4} .3863923{col 70}{space 3} 15.01853
{txt}{space 12}47  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 11.91456{col 29}{space 2} 4.316697{col 40}{space 1}    2.76{col 49}{space 3}0.007{col 57}{space 4} 3.373869{col 70}{space 3} 20.45525
{txt}{space 12}48  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 9.582602{col 29}{space 2} 4.076265{col 40}{space 1}    2.35{col 49}{space 3}0.020{col 57}{space 4} 1.517611{col 70}{space 3} 17.64759
{txt}{space 12}51  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 11.07686{col 29}{space 2} 6.290705{col 40}{space 1}    1.76{col 49}{space 3}0.081{col 57}{space 4}-1.369457{col 70}{space 3} 23.52317
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 11}year {c |}
{space 10}1982  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-7.253696{col 29}{space 2} 4.793526{col 40}{space 1}   -1.51{col 49}{space 3}0.133{col 57}{space 4} -16.7378{col 70}{space 3} 2.230412
{txt}{space 10}1983  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-12.94137{col 29}{space 2} 4.953838{col 40}{space 1}   -2.61{col 49}{space 3}0.010{col 57}{space 4}-22.74266{col 70}{space 3}-3.140078
{txt}{space 10}1984  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-10.51268{col 29}{space 2} 3.621902{col 40}{space 1}   -2.90{col 49}{space 3}0.004{col 57}{space 4}-17.67871{col 70}{space 3}-3.346664
{txt}{space 10}1985  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.064221{col 29}{space 2} 6.025622{col 40}{space 1}   -0.84{col 49}{space 3}0.402{col 57}{space 4}-16.98606{col 70}{space 3}  6.85762
{txt}{space 10}1986  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-9.422811{col 29}{space 2} 5.196404{col 40}{space 1}   -1.81{col 49}{space 3}0.072{col 57}{space 4}-19.70402{col 70}{space 3} .8584003
{txt}{space 10}1987  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-7.839732{col 29}{space 2}  5.11486{col 40}{space 1}   -1.53{col 49}{space 3}0.128{col 57}{space 4}-17.95961{col 70}{space 3} 2.280143
{txt}{space 10}1988  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-7.629933{col 29}{space 2} 4.099989{col 40}{space 1}   -1.86{col 49}{space 3}0.065{col 57}{space 4}-15.74186{col 70}{space 3} .4819949
{txt}{space 10}1989  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.600497{col 29}{space 2} 5.119561{col 40}{space 1}   -0.70{col 49}{space 3}0.483{col 57}{space 4}-13.72967{col 70}{space 3} 6.528679
{txt}{space 10}1990  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-7.492055{col 29}{space 2} 5.397919{col 40}{space 1}   -1.39{col 49}{space 3}0.168{col 57}{space 4}-18.17197{col 70}{space 3} 3.187861
{txt}{space 10}1991  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-6.226863{col 29}{space 2} 4.571883{col 40}{space 1}   -1.36{col 49}{space 3}0.176{col 57}{space 4}-15.27245{col 70}{space 3}  2.81872
{txt}{space 10}1992  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.5376805{col 29}{space 2} 4.839953{col 40}{space 1}   -0.11{col 49}{space 3}0.912{col 57}{space 4}-10.11365{col 70}{space 3} 9.038285
{txt}{space 10}1993  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.056602{col 29}{space 2} 5.997933{col 40}{space 1}   -0.84{col 49}{space 3}0.401{col 57}{space 4}-16.92366{col 70}{space 3} 6.810456
{txt}{space 10}1994  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -4.15704{col 29}{space 2} 5.271176{col 40}{space 1}   -0.79{col 49}{space 3}0.432{col 57}{space 4}-14.58619{col 70}{space 3} 6.272111
{txt}{space 10}1995  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 5.998316{col 29}{space 2} 6.917755{col 40}{space 1}    0.87{col 49}{space 3}0.388{col 57}{space 4}-7.688632{col 70}{space 3} 19.68526
{txt}{space 10}1996  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.1959233{col 29}{space 2} 5.983307{col 40}{space 1}   -0.03{col 49}{space 3}0.974{col 57}{space 4}-12.03404{col 70}{space 3}  11.6422
{txt}{space 10}1997  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.9068492{col 29}{space 2} 6.138557{col 40}{space 1}   -0.15{col 49}{space 3}0.883{col 57}{space 4}-13.05213{col 70}{space 3} 11.23844
{txt}{space 10}1998  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.4897034{col 29}{space 2} 5.787826{col 40}{space 1}   -0.08{col 49}{space 3}0.933{col 57}{space 4}-11.94106{col 70}{space 3} 10.96165
{txt}{space 10}1999  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-6.592705{col 29}{space 2} 8.360434{col 40}{space 1}   -0.79{col 49}{space 3}0.432{col 57}{space 4}-23.13403{col 70}{space 3} 9.948619
{txt}{space 10}2000  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.954528{col 29}{space 2} 6.824808{col 40}{space 1}   -0.29{col 49}{space 3}0.775{col 57}{space 4}-15.45758{col 70}{space 3} 11.54852
{txt}{space 10}2001  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.071982{col 29}{space 2} 8.390561{col 40}{space 1}   -0.25{col 49}{space 3}0.805{col 57}{space 4}-18.67291{col 70}{space 3} 14.52895
{txt}{space 10}2002  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.568444{col 29}{space 2} 7.113084{col 40}{space 1}   -0.36{col 49}{space 3}0.719{col 57}{space 4}-16.64186{col 70}{space 3} 11.50497
{txt}{space 10}2003  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.459354{col 29}{space 2} 7.805503{col 40}{space 1}   -0.32{col 49}{space 3}0.753{col 57}{space 4}-17.90273{col 70}{space 3} 12.98402
{txt}{space 10}2004  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.167599{col 29}{space 2} 6.452332{col 40}{space 1}   -0.18{col 49}{space 3}0.857{col 57}{space 4} -13.9337{col 70}{space 3}  11.5985
{txt}{space 10}2005  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -2.03628{col 29}{space 2} 7.593203{col 40}{space 1}   -0.27{col 49}{space 3}0.789{col 57}{space 4}-17.05962{col 70}{space 3} 12.98706
{txt}{space 10}2006  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.8128787{col 29}{space 2} 7.598386{col 40}{space 1}   -0.11{col 49}{space 3}0.915{col 57}{space 4}-15.84647{col 70}{space 3} 14.22071
{txt}{space 10}2007  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.050217{col 29}{space 2} 8.626956{col 40}{space 1}   -0.35{col 49}{space 3}0.724{col 57}{space 4}-20.11886{col 70}{space 3} 14.01843
{txt}{space 10}2008  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.1927265{col 29}{space 2} 9.376766{col 40}{space 1}   -0.02{col 49}{space 3}0.984{col 57}{space 4}-18.74489{col 70}{space 3} 18.35943
{txt}{space 10}2009  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.125985{col 29}{space 2} 8.925732{col 40}{space 1}   -0.13{col 49}{space 3}0.900{col 57}{space 4}-18.78576{col 70}{space 3} 16.53379
{txt}{space 10}2010  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 3.724901{col 29}{space 2} 10.50039{col 40}{space 1}    0.35{col 49}{space 3}0.723{col 57}{space 4}-17.05038{col 70}{space 3} 24.50018
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 10}_cons {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.795984{col 29}{space 2} 10.76079{col 40}{space 1}   -0.35{col 49}{space 3}0.725{col 57}{space 4}-25.08647{col 70}{space 3} 17.49451
{txt}{hline 16}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict klarnerranneyhatallpost if year>1980 & newsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,159 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   129) ={res}   17.92
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   129) ={res}   10.01
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0001
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0034034{col 26}{space 2}  .005247{col 37}{space 1}    0.65{col 46}{space 3}0.518{col 54}{space 4} -.006978{col 67}{space 3} .0137848
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0041881{col 26}{space 2} .0039082{col 37}{space 1}    1.07{col 46}{space 3}0.284{col 54}{space 4}-.0034717{col 67}{space 3}  .011848
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. sum  real_pc_inc_ann    if klarnerranneyhatallpost!=. & year>1980 & newsouth==1, detail

        {txt}Per Capita Annual Income (1982-1984 Constant
                          Dollars)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res}  9356.82       9271.151
{txt} 5%    {res} 10339.99        9356.82
{txt}10%    {res} 11193.71       9500.629       {txt}Obs         {res}        180
{txt}25%    {res} 12818.21       10030.31       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        180

{txt}50%    {res} 14647.69                      {txt}Mean          {res} 14588.88
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 2505.246
{txt}75%    {res} 16150.79       20300.61
{txt}90%    {res} 17748.14       20446.41       {txt}Variance      {res}  6276257
{txt}95%    {res} 18890.45       20757.53       {txt}Skewness      {res} .1508528
{txt}99%    {res} 20757.53       20864.72       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 2.699166
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS OF  real_pc_inc_ann ON klarnerranney:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD 
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])*16574.21   -  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])*13297.69   

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])*16574.21 - (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])*13297.69

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 13.72251{col 26}{space 2} 12.80515{col 37}{space 1}    1.07{col 46}{space 3}0.284{col 54}{space 4}-11.37513{col 67}{space 3} 38.82015
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. restore 
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. preserve
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. //(5,4) MODEL
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** IV.A: OLD SOUTH STATES (N = 9): FULL TIME PERIOD (1942 - 2010) ***
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney  l4.d.real_pc_inc_ann l3.d.klarnerranney  l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if oldsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       320{col 27}-2211.205{col 38}-1937.371{col 49}    92{col 58} 4058.741{col 69} 4405.427
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney  l4.d.real_pc_inc_ann l3.d.klarnerranney  l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if oldsouth==1, lag(8) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       320
{txt}maximum lag: {res}8{col 49}{txt}F( 91,       228){col 67}= {res}    104.59
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1241338{col 34}{space 2} .0285566{col 45}{space 1}   -4.35{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-.1804025{col 75}{space 3}-.0678652
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 4.909108{col 34}{space 2} 1.866321{col 45}{space 1}    2.63{col 54}{space 3}0.009{col 62}{space 4} 1.231665{col 75}{space 3}  8.58655
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .4220982{col 34}{space 2}  .069983{col 45}{space 1}    6.03{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  .284202{col 75}{space 3} .5599944
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.789411{col 34}{space 2} 1.648301{col 45}{space 1}    1.09{col 54}{space 3}0.279{col 62}{space 4} -1.45844{col 75}{space 3} 5.037262
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0519375{col 34}{space 2} .0632946{col 45}{space 1}    0.82{col 54}{space 3}0.413{col 62}{space 4}-.0727797{col 75}{space 3} .1766546
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -3.67917{col 34}{space 2} 3.050517{col 45}{space 1}   -1.21{col 54}{space 3}0.229{col 62}{space 4}-9.689979{col 75}{space 3} 2.331639
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0871591{col 34}{space 2} .0787339{col 45}{space 1}   -1.11{col 54}{space 3}0.269{col 62}{space 4}-.2422982{col 75}{space 3} .0679801
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-3.215883{col 34}{space 2} 2.307409{col 45}{space 1}   -1.39{col 54}{space 3}0.165{col 62}{space 4}-7.762456{col 75}{space 3} 1.330689
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L4D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1682509{col 34}{space 2} .0453958{col 45}{space 1}    3.71{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  .078802{col 75}{space 3} .2576998
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.103954{col 34}{space 2} 2.883242{col 45}{space 1}    0.38{col 54}{space 3}0.702{col 62}{space 4}-4.577253{col 75}{space 3} 6.785162
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -629.724{col 34}{space 2} 394.7696{col 45}{space 1}   -1.60{col 54}{space 3}0.112{col 62}{space 4}-1407.587{col 75}{space 3} 148.1392
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 379.1236{col 34}{space 2} 434.8991{col 45}{space 1}    0.87{col 54}{space 3}0.384{col 62}{space 4}-477.8116{col 75}{space 3} 1236.059
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-51.18979{col 34}{space 2}   34.437{col 45}{space 1}   -1.49{col 54}{space 3}0.139{col 62}{space 4}-119.0453{col 75}{space 3} 16.66567
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-10.61353{col 34}{space 2} 54.25765{col 45}{space 1}   -0.20{col 54}{space 3}0.845{col 62}{space 4}-117.5241{col 75}{space 3} 96.29701
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-821.5032{col 34}{space 2} 381.8427{col 45}{space 1}   -2.15{col 54}{space 3}0.032{col 62}{space 4}-1573.895{col 75}{space 3}-69.11142
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -167.508{col 34}{space 2}   672.72{col 45}{space 1}   -0.25{col 54}{space 3}0.804{col 62}{space 4}-1493.051{col 75}{space 3} 1158.035
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-13.56364{col 34}{space 2} 481.3427{col 45}{space 1}   -0.03{col 54}{space 3}0.978{col 62}{space 4}-962.0125{col 75}{space 3} 934.8852
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 3422.264{col 34}{space 2} 951.5835{col 45}{space 1}    3.60{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1547.241{col 75}{space 3} 5297.286
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-23.11542{col 34}{space 2}  78.5652{col 45}{space 1}   -0.29{col 54}{space 3}0.769{col 62}{space 4}-177.9221{col 75}{space 3} 131.6913
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-39.83823{col 34}{space 2} 163.0777{col 45}{space 1}   -0.24{col 54}{space 3}0.807{col 62}{space 4}-361.1703{col 75}{space 3} 281.4938
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 151.8148{col 34}{space 2} 81.60903{col 45}{space 1}    1.86{col 54}{space 3}0.064{col 62}{space 4}-8.989496{col 75}{space 3} 312.6191
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-17.19939{col 34}{space 2} 168.0273{col 45}{space 1}   -0.10{col 54}{space 3}0.919{col 62}{space 4}-348.2843{col 75}{space 3} 313.8855
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-64.88728{col 34}{space 2} 47.27472{col 45}{space 1}   -1.37{col 54}{space 3}0.171{col 62}{space 4}-158.0385{col 75}{space 3} 28.26393
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-130.0434{col 34}{space 2} 180.5237{col 45}{space 1}   -0.72{col 54}{space 3}0.472{col 62}{space 4}-485.7515{col 75}{space 3} 225.6647
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 17}13  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 114.2394{col 34}{space 2} 41.38563{col 45}{space 1}    2.76{col 54}{space 3}0.006{col 62}{space 4}  32.6922{col 75}{space 3} 195.7866
{txt}{space 17}22  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 66.36373{col 34}{space 2} 35.36599{col 45}{space 1}    1.88{col 54}{space 3}0.062{col 62}{space 4}-3.322237{col 75}{space 3} 136.0497
{txt}{space 17}28  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-142.7307{col 34}{space 2} 48.96196{col 45}{space 1}   -2.92{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4}-239.2065{col 75}{space 3}-46.25495
{txt}{space 17}45  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-52.39923{col 34}{space 2} 29.71294{col 45}{space 1}   -1.76{col 54}{space 3}0.079{col 62}{space 4}-110.9463{col 75}{space 3} 6.147838
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1948  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 435.7787{col 34}{space 2} 86.23354{col 45}{space 1}    5.05{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 265.8621{col 75}{space 3} 605.6953
{txt}{space 15}1949  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 16.83328{col 34}{space 2} 122.2422{col 45}{space 1}    0.14{col 54}{space 3}0.891{col 62}{space 4}-224.0356{col 75}{space 3} 257.7022
{txt}{space 15}1950  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  370.987{col 34}{space 2} 125.4953{col 45}{space 1}    2.96{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} 123.7081{col 75}{space 3} 618.2659
{txt}{space 15}1951  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 434.8736{col 34}{space 2} 115.2039{col 45}{space 1}    3.77{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 207.8732{col 75}{space 3}  661.874
{txt}{space 15}1952  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 326.3314{col 34}{space 2} 100.3513{col 45}{space 1}    3.25{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 128.5968{col 75}{space 3} 524.0661
{txt}{space 15}1953  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 351.7117{col 34}{space 2} 83.91019{col 45}{space 1}    4.19{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 186.3731{col 75}{space 3} 517.0503
{txt}{space 15}1954  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 91.26433{col 34}{space 2}  83.9066{col 45}{space 1}    1.09{col 54}{space 3}0.278{col 62}{space 4}-74.06718{col 75}{space 3} 256.5959
{txt}{space 15}1955  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 643.5927{col 34}{space 2} 99.56041{col 45}{space 1}    6.46{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 447.4166{col 75}{space 3} 839.7689
{txt}{space 15}1956  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 426.0643{col 34}{space 2} 113.1025{col 45}{space 1}    3.77{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 203.2045{col 75}{space 3} 648.9242
{txt}{space 15}1957  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 218.8479{col 34}{space 2} 132.3861{col 45}{space 1}    1.65{col 54}{space 3}0.100{col 62}{space 4}-42.00873{col 75}{space 3} 479.7045
{txt}{space 15}1958  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 452.6177{col 34}{space 2} 113.3857{col 45}{space 1}    3.99{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 229.1999{col 75}{space 3} 676.0355
{txt}{space 15}1959  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 562.2324{col 34}{space 2} 100.3749{col 45}{space 1}    5.60{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 364.4514{col 75}{space 3} 760.0134
{txt}{space 15}1960  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 319.2664{col 34}{space 2} 115.4882{col 45}{space 1}    2.76{col 54}{space 3}0.006{col 62}{space 4} 91.70568{col 75}{space 3}  546.827
{txt}{space 15}1961  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 558.5021{col 34}{space 2} 134.2798{col 45}{space 1}    4.16{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 293.9141{col 75}{space 3} 823.0902
{txt}{space 15}1962  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 623.4854{col 34}{space 2} 123.9989{col 45}{space 1}    5.03{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  379.155{col 75}{space 3} 867.8158
{txt}{space 15}1963  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 610.0844{col 34}{space 2} 131.4444{col 45}{space 1}    4.64{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 351.0834{col 75}{space 3} 869.0855
{txt}{space 15}1964  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 706.0814{col 34}{space 2} 131.3248{col 45}{space 1}    5.38{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  447.316{col 75}{space 3} 964.8469
{txt}{space 15}1965  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 753.3381{col 34}{space 2} 134.1176{col 45}{space 1}    5.62{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 489.0696{col 75}{space 3} 1017.607
{txt}{space 15}1966  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 744.4115{col 34}{space 2} 146.5304{col 45}{space 1}    5.08{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 455.6846{col 75}{space 3} 1033.138
{txt}{space 15}1967  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 723.5559{col 34}{space 2} 146.0583{col 45}{space 1}    4.95{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 435.7593{col 75}{space 3} 1011.353
{txt}{space 15}1968  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 789.3181{col 34}{space 2} 155.7639{col 45}{space 1}    5.07{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 482.3974{col 75}{space 3} 1096.239
{txt}{space 15}1969  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 705.5462{col 34}{space 2} 165.8723{col 45}{space 1}    4.25{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 378.7077{col 75}{space 3} 1032.385
{txt}{space 15}1970  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 652.2778{col 34}{space 2} 153.6898{col 45}{space 1}    4.24{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 349.4439{col 75}{space 3} 955.1117
{txt}{space 15}1971  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 842.8612{col 34}{space 2} 152.4191{col 45}{space 1}    5.53{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 542.5309{col 75}{space 3} 1143.191
{txt}{space 15}1972  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1114.775{col 34}{space 2} 170.3635{col 45}{space 1}    6.54{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 779.0871{col 75}{space 3} 1450.464
{txt}{space 15}1973  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  968.615{col 34}{space 2} 186.1839{col 45}{space 1}    5.20{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 601.7539{col 75}{space 3} 1335.476
{txt}{space 15}1974  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  598.755{col 34}{space 2} 211.6567{col 45}{space 1}    2.83{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4} 181.7018{col 75}{space 3} 1015.808
{txt}{space 15}1975  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}   693.74{col 34}{space 2} 196.1216{col 45}{space 1}    3.54{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 307.2975{col 75}{space 3} 1080.182
{txt}{space 15}1976  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1241.742{col 34}{space 2} 195.3726{col 45}{space 1}    6.36{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 856.7755{col 75}{space 3} 1626.709
{txt}{space 15}1977  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 844.8384{col 34}{space 2} 222.5027{col 45}{space 1}    3.80{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  406.414{col 75}{space 3} 1283.263
{txt}{space 15}1978  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1147.895{col 34}{space 2} 225.2622{col 45}{space 1}    5.10{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 704.0328{col 75}{space 3} 1591.757
{txt}{space 15}1979  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 831.3741{col 34}{space 2} 245.6114{col 45}{space 1}    3.38{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 347.4156{col 75}{space 3} 1315.333
{txt}{space 15}1980  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  582.402{col 34}{space 2} 220.2188{col 45}{space 1}    2.64{col 54}{space 3}0.009{col 62}{space 4} 148.4777{col 75}{space 3} 1016.326
{txt}{space 15}1981  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1101.604{col 34}{space 2} 224.4082{col 45}{space 1}    4.91{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 659.4249{col 75}{space 3} 1543.783
{txt}{space 15}1982  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 809.8747{col 34}{space 2} 234.0793{col 45}{space 1}    3.46{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 348.6394{col 75}{space 3}  1271.11
{txt}{space 15}1983  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1153.593{col 34}{space 2} 245.5258{col 45}{space 1}    4.70{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 669.8028{col 75}{space 3} 1637.382
{txt}{space 15}1984  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1391.038{col 34}{space 2} 254.2487{col 45}{space 1}    5.47{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 890.0601{col 75}{space 3} 1892.015
{txt}{space 15}1985  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 961.1255{col 34}{space 2} 248.8398{col 45}{space 1}    3.86{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 470.8058{col 75}{space 3} 1451.445
{txt}{space 15}1986  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1083.346{col 34}{space 2} 268.6563{col 45}{space 1}    4.03{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 553.9797{col 75}{space 3} 1612.713
{txt}{space 15}1987  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1007.667{col 34}{space 2} 244.3207{col 45}{space 1}    4.12{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 526.2518{col 75}{space 3} 1489.082
{txt}{space 15}1988  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1185.826{col 34}{space 2} 250.2836{col 45}{space 1}    4.74{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 692.6615{col 75}{space 3} 1678.991
{txt}{space 15}1989  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1180.978{col 34}{space 2} 257.4904{col 45}{space 1}    4.59{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 673.6133{col 75}{space 3} 1688.343
{txt}{space 15}1990  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 998.3574{col 34}{space 2} 272.5902{col 45}{space 1}    3.66{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 461.2394{col 75}{space 3} 1535.475
{txt}{space 15}1991  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1009.752{col 34}{space 2} 268.9432{col 45}{space 1}    3.75{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 479.8203{col 75}{space 3} 1539.684
{txt}{space 15}1992  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1395.336{col 34}{space 2} 262.5143{col 45}{space 1}    5.32{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 878.0721{col 75}{space 3} 1912.601
{txt}{space 15}1993  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1121.796{col 34}{space 2} 273.6102{col 45}{space 1}    4.10{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 582.6683{col 75}{space 3} 1660.924
{txt}{space 15}1994  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1445.763{col 34}{space 2} 284.6088{col 45}{space 1}    5.08{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 884.9629{col 75}{space 3} 2006.562
{txt}{space 15}1995  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1248.19{col 34}{space 2} 296.2504{col 45}{space 1}    4.21{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 664.4517{col 75}{space 3} 1831.929
{txt}{space 15}1996  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1254.699{col 34}{space 2} 294.8685{col 45}{space 1}    4.26{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 673.6829{col 75}{space 3} 1835.715
{txt}{space 15}1997  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1374.011{col 34}{space 2} 308.1128{col 45}{space 1}    4.46{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 766.8979{col 75}{space 3} 1981.123
{txt}{space 15}1998  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1542.956{col 34}{space 2} 296.6992{col 45}{space 1}    5.20{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  958.333{col 75}{space 3} 2127.579
{txt}{space 15}1999  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1149.045{col 34}{space 2} 312.5538{col 45}{space 1}    3.68{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 533.1819{col 75}{space 3} 1764.908
{txt}{space 15}2000  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1449.204{col 34}{space 2} 306.3269{col 45}{space 1}    4.73{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 845.6102{col 75}{space 3} 2052.798
{txt}{space 15}2001  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1341.854{col 34}{space 2}  338.217{col 45}{space 1}    3.97{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 675.4231{col 75}{space 3} 2008.284
{txt}{space 15}2002  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1124.305{col 34}{space 2} 316.1162{col 45}{space 1}    3.56{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 501.4228{col 75}{space 3} 1747.188
{txt}{space 15}2003  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1319.303{col 34}{space 2}  315.703{col 45}{space 1}    4.18{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 697.2347{col 75}{space 3} 1941.372
{txt}{space 15}2004  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1583.944{col 34}{space 2} 329.8608{col 45}{space 1}    4.80{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 933.9786{col 75}{space 3} 2233.909
{txt}{space 15}2005  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1578.198{col 34}{space 2} 336.0353{col 45}{space 1}    4.70{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 916.0662{col 75}{space 3}  2240.33
{txt}{space 15}2006  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1767.167{col 34}{space 2} 432.2215{col 45}{space 1}    4.09{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 915.5075{col 75}{space 3} 2618.826
{txt}{space 15}2007  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1587.987{col 34}{space 2} 353.5686{col 45}{space 1}    4.49{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  891.307{col 75}{space 3} 2284.666
{txt}{space 15}2008  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1324.716{col 34}{space 2} 361.5818{col 45}{space 1}    3.66{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 612.2472{col 75}{space 3} 2037.186
{txt}{space 15}2009  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 892.8563{col 34}{space 2} 353.9062{col 45}{space 1}    2.52{col 54}{space 3}0.012{col 62}{space 4} 195.5113{col 75}{space 3} 1590.201
{txt}{space 15}2010  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1792.718{col 34}{space 2}  350.941{col 45}{space 1}    5.11{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1101.216{col 75}{space 3}  2484.22
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 366.8153{col 34}{space 2} 452.3647{col 45}{space 1}    0.81{col 54}{space 3}0.418{col 62}{space 4}-524.5347{col 75}{space 3} 1258.165
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallfullos if oldsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,019 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   228) ={res}   18.90
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   228) ={res}    9.70
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0001
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney +  l3.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney + L3D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-4.001688{col 26}{space 2} 7.107266{col 37}{space 1}   -0.56{col 46}{space 3}0.574{col 54}{space 4}-18.00601{col 67}{space 3} 10.00263
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  39.5469{col 26}{space 2} 13.51243{col 37}{space 1}    2.93{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4} 13.06302{col 67}{space 3} 66.03079
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. *
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. qui regress d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if oldsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       325{col 27}-174.5622{col 38} -94.7682{col 49}    83{col 58} 355.5364{col 69} 669.5939
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ****** PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. newey d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if oldsouth==1, lag(8) force
{txt}note: LD.electedjudges1 omitted because of collinearity
note: 45.state_fips omitted because of collinearity

Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       325
{txt}maximum lag: {res}8{col 49}{txt}F( 82,       242){col 67}= {res}      6.81
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 17}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.              {col 18}{c |}{col 30}  Newey-West
{col 1}ihsklarnerranney{col 18}{c |}      Coef.{col 30}   Std. Err.{col 42}      t{col 50}   P>|t|{col 58}     [95% Con{col 71}f. Interval]
{hline 17}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.2143378{col 30}{space 2} .0726364{col 41}{space 1}   -2.95{col 50}{space 3}0.003{col 58}{space 4}-.3574181{col 71}{space 3}-.0712575
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0001025{col 30}{space 2} .0000517{col 41}{space 1}   -1.98{col 50}{space 3}0.049{col 58}{space 4}-.0002043{col 71}{space 3}-6.78e-07
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0000484{col 30}{space 2} .1209749{col 41}{space 1}   -0.00{col 50}{space 3}1.000{col 58}{space 4}-.2383466{col 71}{space 3} .2382497
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}D1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} -.000113{col 30}{space 2} .0001172{col 41}{space 1}   -0.96{col 50}{space 3}0.336{col 58}{space 4}-.0003437{col 71}{space 3} .0001178
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1546402{col 30}{space 2}  .074674{col 41}{space 1}   -2.07{col 50}{space 3}0.039{col 58}{space 4}-.3017341{col 71}{space 3}-.0075463
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0000912{col 30}{space 2} .0001459{col 41}{space 1}    0.62{col 50}{space 3}0.533{col 58}{space 4}-.0001962{col 71}{space 3} .0003785
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L3D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0585935{col 30}{space 2} .0676244{col 41}{space 1}   -0.87{col 50}{space 3}0.387{col 58}{space 4}-.1918011{col 71}{space 3} .0746142
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 2.18e-06{col 30}{space 2} .0001507{col 41}{space 1}    0.01{col 50}{space 3}0.988{col 58}{space 4}-.0002947{col 71}{space 3} .0002991
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 7}gov_party {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0655808{col 30}{space 2} .0662802{col 41}{space 1}   -0.99{col 50}{space 3}0.323{col 58}{space 4}-.1961404{col 71}{space 3} .0649789
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0322457{col 30}{space 2} .0676182{col 41}{space 1}    0.48{col 50}{space 3}0.634{col 58}{space 4}-.1009496{col 71}{space 3}  .165441
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}dem_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .042248{col 30}{space 2}  .091536{col 41}{space 1}    0.46{col 50}{space 3}0.645{col 58}{space 4}-.1380611{col 71}{space 3} .2225571
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0451518{col 30}{space 2} .0886729{col 41}{space 1}   -0.51{col 50}{space 3}0.611{col 58}{space 4} -.219821{col 71}{space 3} .1295175
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}rep_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.2336914{col 30}{space 2} .0974681{col 41}{space 1}   -2.40{col 50}{space 3}0.017{col 58}{space 4}-.4256856{col 71}{space 3}-.0416972
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1046528{col 30}{space 2} .0735812{col 41}{space 1}    1.42{col 50}{space 3}0.156{col 58}{space 4}-.0402885{col 71}{space 3} .2495941
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 2}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1202051{col 30}{space 2} .0962717{col 41}{space 1}   -1.25{col 50}{space 3}0.213{col 58}{space 4}-.3098425{col 71}{space 3} .0694323
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}        0{col 30}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 16} {c |}
{space 6}state_fips {c |}
{space 13}13  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3317067{col 30}{space 2}  .139444{col 41}{space 1}    2.38{col 50}{space 3}0.018{col 58}{space 4} .0570279{col 71}{space 3} .6063856
{txt}{space 13}22  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0454379{col 30}{space 2} .0646706{col 41}{space 1}    0.70{col 50}{space 3}0.483{col 58}{space 4}-.0819513{col 71}{space 3} .1728271
{txt}{space 13}28  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1098855{col 30}{space 2} .0971553{col 41}{space 1}   -1.13{col 50}{space 3}0.259{col 58}{space 4}-.3012635{col 71}{space 3} .0814924
{txt}{space 13}45  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}        0{col 30}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 16} {c |}
{space 12}year {c |}
{space 11}1947  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0120643{col 30}{space 2} .0925149{col 41}{space 1}    0.13{col 50}{space 3}0.896{col 58}{space 4}-.1701728{col 71}{space 3} .1943015
{txt}{space 11}1948  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0294938{col 30}{space 2} .1743288{col 41}{space 1}    0.17{col 50}{space 3}0.866{col 58}{space 4}-.3139017{col 71}{space 3} .3728893
{txt}{space 11}1949  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0062215{col 30}{space 2} .1465782{col 41}{space 1}    0.04{col 50}{space 3}0.966{col 58}{space 4}-.2825104{col 71}{space 3} .2949535
{txt}{space 11}1950  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0315577{col 30}{space 2} .1116278{col 41}{space 1}    0.28{col 50}{space 3}0.778{col 58}{space 4}-.1883284{col 71}{space 3} .2514438
{txt}{space 11}1951  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.2284276{col 30}{space 2} .2940025{col 41}{space 1}   -0.78{col 50}{space 3}0.438{col 58}{space 4}-.8075582{col 71}{space 3}  .350703
{txt}{space 11}1952  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0099541{col 30}{space 2} .1306254{col 41}{space 1}   -0.08{col 50}{space 3}0.939{col 58}{space 4}-.2672621{col 71}{space 3} .2473539
{txt}{space 11}1953  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1891939{col 30}{space 2} .1786229{col 41}{space 1}    1.06{col 50}{space 3}0.291{col 58}{space 4}-.1626602{col 71}{space 3}  .541048
{txt}{space 11}1954  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0267384{col 30}{space 2} .0933114{col 41}{space 1}    0.29{col 50}{space 3}0.775{col 58}{space 4}-.1570679{col 71}{space 3} .2105447
{txt}{space 11}1955  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0421872{col 30}{space 2} .2330281{col 41}{space 1}    0.18{col 50}{space 3}0.856{col 58}{space 4}-.4168352{col 71}{space 3} .5012096
{txt}{space 11}1956  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0690949{col 30}{space 2} .1735106{col 41}{space 1}    0.40{col 50}{space 3}0.691{col 58}{space 4}-.2726888{col 71}{space 3} .4108786
{txt}{space 11}1957  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .059972{col 30}{space 2} .1064551{col 41}{space 1}    0.56{col 50}{space 3}0.574{col 58}{space 4}-.1497249{col 71}{space 3}  .269669
{txt}{space 11}1958  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0864753{col 30}{space 2} .1254813{col 41}{space 1}    0.69{col 50}{space 3}0.491{col 58}{space 4}-.1606997{col 71}{space 3} .3336503
{txt}{space 11}1959  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1617613{col 30}{space 2} .1741204{col 41}{space 1}    0.93{col 50}{space 3}0.354{col 58}{space 4}-.1812237{col 71}{space 3} .5047463
{txt}{space 11}1960  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1059843{col 30}{space 2}  .142225{col 41}{space 1}    0.75{col 50}{space 3}0.457{col 58}{space 4}-.1741726{col 71}{space 3} .3861412
{txt}{space 11}1961  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0645825{col 30}{space 2} .1207823{col 41}{space 1}    0.53{col 50}{space 3}0.593{col 58}{space 4}-.1733364{col 71}{space 3} .3025013
{txt}{space 11}1962  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1312496{col 30}{space 2} .1540192{col 41}{space 1}    0.85{col 50}{space 3}0.395{col 58}{space 4}-.1721398{col 71}{space 3} .4346389
{txt}{space 11}1963  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4926339{col 30}{space 2} .3008307{col 41}{space 1}    1.64{col 50}{space 3}0.103{col 58}{space 4} -.099947{col 71}{space 3} 1.085215
{txt}{space 11}1964  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .758101{col 30}{space 2} .3098402{col 41}{space 1}    2.45{col 50}{space 3}0.015{col 58}{space 4}  .147773{col 71}{space 3} 1.368429
{txt}{space 11}1965  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .6726055{col 30}{space 2} .4294378{col 41}{space 1}    1.57{col 50}{space 3}0.119{col 58}{space 4}-.1733075{col 71}{space 3} 1.518518
{txt}{space 11}1966  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.305929{col 30}{space 2} .3519017{col 41}{space 1}    3.71{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .6127482{col 71}{space 3} 1.999111
{txt}{space 11}1967  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.387282{col 30}{space 2} .6433093{col 41}{space 1}    2.16{col 50}{space 3}0.032{col 58}{space 4} .1200814{col 71}{space 3} 2.654482
{txt}{space 11}1968  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3519825{col 30}{space 2} .5573591{col 41}{space 1}    0.63{col 50}{space 3}0.528{col 58}{space 4}-.7459118{col 71}{space 3} 1.449877
{txt}{space 11}1969  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .6722602{col 30}{space 2} .3155676{col 41}{space 1}    2.13{col 50}{space 3}0.034{col 58}{space 4} .0506503{col 71}{space 3}  1.29387
{txt}{space 11}1970  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  1.39267{col 30}{space 2} .4187031{col 41}{space 1}    3.33{col 50}{space 3}0.001{col 58}{space 4} .5679027{col 71}{space 3} 2.217438
{txt}{space 11}1971  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .8093224{col 30}{space 2} .3302857{col 41}{space 1}    2.45{col 50}{space 3}0.015{col 58}{space 4} .1587206{col 71}{space 3} 1.459924
{txt}{space 11}1972  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.114126{col 30}{space 2} .4319911{col 41}{space 1}    2.58{col 50}{space 3}0.010{col 58}{space 4} .2631837{col 71}{space 3} 1.965069
{txt}{space 11}1973  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.200841{col 30}{space 2} .4249508{col 41}{space 1}    2.83{col 50}{space 3}0.005{col 58}{space 4} .3637665{col 71}{space 3} 2.037915
{txt}{space 11}1974  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9491791{col 30}{space 2} .4184344{col 41}{space 1}    2.27{col 50}{space 3}0.024{col 58}{space 4} .1249407{col 71}{space 3} 1.773417
{txt}{space 11}1975  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .6704858{col 30}{space 2}  .546709{col 41}{space 1}    1.23{col 50}{space 3}0.221{col 58}{space 4}-.4064299{col 71}{space 3} 1.747401
{txt}{space 11}1976  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.020531{col 30}{space 2} .4564633{col 41}{space 1}    2.24{col 50}{space 3}0.026{col 58}{space 4} .1213832{col 71}{space 3}  1.91968
{txt}{space 11}1977  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.425711{col 30}{space 2} .6466576{col 41}{space 1}    2.20{col 50}{space 3}0.028{col 58}{space 4} .1519148{col 71}{space 3} 2.699507
{txt}{space 11}1978  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.071771{col 30}{space 2} .3951861{col 41}{space 1}    2.71{col 50}{space 3}0.007{col 58}{space 4} .2933279{col 71}{space 3} 1.850215
{txt}{space 11}1979  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.298044{col 30}{space 2} .4433722{col 41}{space 1}    2.93{col 50}{space 3}0.004{col 58}{space 4} .4246824{col 71}{space 3} 2.171405
{txt}{space 11}1980  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  1.21281{col 30}{space 2} .4385085{col 41}{space 1}    2.77{col 50}{space 3}0.006{col 58}{space 4} .3490291{col 71}{space 3}  2.07659
{txt}{space 11}1981  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.342769{col 30}{space 2} .4705292{col 41}{space 1}    2.85{col 50}{space 3}0.005{col 58}{space 4} .4159138{col 71}{space 3} 2.269625
{txt}{space 11}1982  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.201624{col 30}{space 2} .4742438{col 41}{space 1}    2.53{col 50}{space 3}0.012{col 58}{space 4} .2674516{col 71}{space 3} 2.135797
{txt}{space 11}1983  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.540175{col 30}{space 2} .5589228{col 41}{space 1}    2.76{col 50}{space 3}0.006{col 58}{space 4} .4392007{col 71}{space 3}  2.64115
{txt}{space 11}1984  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.364282{col 30}{space 2} .5134306{col 41}{space 1}    2.66{col 50}{space 3}0.008{col 58}{space 4} .3529187{col 71}{space 3} 2.375646
{txt}{space 11}1985  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.776353{col 30}{space 2} .5688157{col 41}{space 1}    3.12{col 50}{space 3}0.002{col 58}{space 4} .6558916{col 71}{space 3} 2.896815
{txt}{space 11}1986  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.409756{col 30}{space 2} .5264398{col 41}{space 1}    2.68{col 50}{space 3}0.008{col 58}{space 4} .3727668{col 71}{space 3} 2.446745
{txt}{space 11}1987  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  1.75781{col 30}{space 2} .5684659{col 41}{space 1}    3.09{col 50}{space 3}0.002{col 58}{space 4}  .638037{col 71}{space 3} 2.877582
{txt}{space 11}1988  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.591327{col 30}{space 2} .5704762{col 41}{space 1}    2.79{col 50}{space 3}0.006{col 58}{space 4}  .467594{col 71}{space 3} 2.715059
{txt}{space 11}1989  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.715959{col 30}{space 2} .5922225{col 41}{space 1}    2.90{col 50}{space 3}0.004{col 58}{space 4} .5493899{col 71}{space 3} 2.882528
{txt}{space 11}1990  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.679552{col 30}{space 2} .5919944{col 41}{space 1}    2.84{col 50}{space 3}0.005{col 58}{space 4} .5134324{col 71}{space 3} 2.845672
{txt}{space 11}1991  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.723311{col 30}{space 2} .6071045{col 41}{space 1}    2.84{col 50}{space 3}0.005{col 58}{space 4} .5274275{col 71}{space 3} 2.919195
{txt}{space 11}1992  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.708897{col 30}{space 2} .6395106{col 41}{space 1}    2.67{col 50}{space 3}0.008{col 58}{space 4} .4491794{col 71}{space 3} 2.968615
{txt}{space 11}1993  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.823635{col 30}{space 2} .6506427{col 41}{space 1}    2.80{col 50}{space 3}0.005{col 58}{space 4}  .541989{col 71}{space 3} 3.105281
{txt}{space 11}1994  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.821126{col 30}{space 2} .6484423{col 41}{space 1}    2.81{col 50}{space 3}0.005{col 58}{space 4} .5438148{col 71}{space 3} 3.098438
{txt}{space 11}1995  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.997371{col 30}{space 2} .6746391{col 41}{space 1}    2.96{col 50}{space 3}0.003{col 58}{space 4} .6684565{col 71}{space 3} 3.326285
{txt}{space 11}1996  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  1.99193{col 30}{space 2} .6701014{col 41}{space 1}    2.97{col 50}{space 3}0.003{col 58}{space 4} .6719538{col 71}{space 3} 3.311905
{txt}{space 11}1997  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.964749{col 30}{space 2} .6981106{col 41}{space 1}    2.81{col 50}{space 3}0.005{col 58}{space 4} .5895998{col 71}{space 3} 3.339897
{txt}{space 11}1998  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.989927{col 30}{space 2} .7232274{col 41}{space 1}    2.75{col 50}{space 3}0.006{col 58}{space 4} .5653027{col 71}{space 3} 3.414551
{txt}{space 11}1999  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.960329{col 30}{space 2} .7330321{col 41}{space 1}    2.67{col 50}{space 3}0.008{col 58}{space 4}  .516391{col 71}{space 3} 3.404266
{txt}{space 11}2000  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 2.021431{col 30}{space 2}  .751154{col 41}{space 1}    2.69{col 50}{space 3}0.008{col 58}{space 4} .5417968{col 71}{space 3} 3.501066
{txt}{space 11}2001  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 2.056692{col 30}{space 2} .7807856{col 41}{space 1}    2.63{col 50}{space 3}0.009{col 58}{space 4} .5186885{col 71}{space 3} 3.594695
{txt}{space 11}2002  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 2.033048{col 30}{space 2} .7819195{col 41}{space 1}    2.60{col 50}{space 3}0.010{col 58}{space 4} .4928114{col 71}{space 3} 3.573285
{txt}{space 11}2003  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 2.129393{col 30}{space 2} .7966703{col 41}{space 1}    2.67{col 50}{space 3}0.008{col 58}{space 4} .5600996{col 71}{space 3} 3.698686
{txt}{space 11}2004  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 2.128779{col 30}{space 2} .8114215{col 41}{space 1}    2.62{col 50}{space 3}0.009{col 58}{space 4} .5304288{col 71}{space 3}  3.72713
{txt}{space 11}2005  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 2.153279{col 30}{space 2} .8206375{col 41}{space 1}    2.62{col 50}{space 3}0.009{col 58}{space 4} .5367747{col 71}{space 3} 3.769783
{txt}{space 11}2006  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 2.222423{col 30}{space 2} .8323452{col 41}{space 1}    2.67{col 50}{space 3}0.008{col 58}{space 4} .5828567{col 71}{space 3} 3.861989
{txt}{space 11}2007  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 2.305295{col 30}{space 2} .8502259{col 41}{space 1}    2.71{col 50}{space 3}0.007{col 58}{space 4} .6305068{col 71}{space 3} 3.980082
{txt}{space 11}2008  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 2.276772{col 30}{space 2}  .852435{col 41}{space 1}    2.67{col 50}{space 3}0.008{col 58}{space 4}  .597633{col 71}{space 3} 3.955912
{txt}{space 11}2009  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 2.271929{col 30}{space 2} .8572956{col 41}{space 1}    2.65{col 50}{space 3}0.009{col 58}{space 4} .5832151{col 71}{space 3} 3.960643
{txt}{space 11}2010  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  2.30795{col 30}{space 2} .8874864{col 41}{space 1}    2.60{col 50}{space 3}0.010{col 58}{space 4} .5597659{col 71}{space 3} 4.056134
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 11}_cons {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5598546{col 30}{space 2} .2777864{col 41}{space 1}    2.02{col 50}{space 3}0.045{col 58}{space 4} .0126668{col 71}{space 3} 1.107042
{txt}{hline 17}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict ihsklarnerranneyhatallfullos if oldsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,014 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   242) ={res}    8.71
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0035
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   242) ={res}    4.36
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0137
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000196{col 26}{space 2}  .000175{col 37}{space 1}   -0.11{col 46}{space 3}0.911{col 54}{space 4}-.0003643{col 67}{space 3}  .000325
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0004782{col 26}{space 2} .0001867{col 37}{space 1}   -2.56{col 46}{space 3}0.010{col 54}{space 4}-.0008442{col 67}{space 3}-.0001123
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. *
. 
. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. // (4,3)  MODEL
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** IV.B: OLD SOUTH STATES (N = 9): PRE-PARTISAN ALIGNMENT TIME PERIOD (1942 - 1980) ***
. 
. 
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified  i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & oldsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       175{col 27}-1211.494{col 38}-1026.209{col 49}    57{col 58} 2166.419{col 69} 2346.812
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified  i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & oldsouth==1, lag(6) force
{txt}note: L.dem_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: LD.dem_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: L.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: LD.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity

Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       175
{txt}maximum lag: {res}6{col 49}{txt}F( 56,       118){col 67}= {res}    127.86
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1571542{col 34}{space 2} .0812279{col 45}{space 1}   -1.93{col 54}{space 3}0.055{col 62}{space 4}-.3180076{col 75}{space 3} .0036992
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2.432804{col 34}{space 2} 4.032946{col 45}{space 1}    0.60{col 54}{space 3}0.548{col 62}{space 4}-5.553528{col 75}{space 3} 10.41913
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  .320019{col 34}{space 2} .1106274{col 45}{space 1}    2.89{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4} .1009466{col 75}{space 3} .5390915
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0412459{col 34}{space 2}  2.81999{col 45}{space 1}    0.01{col 54}{space 3}0.988{col 62}{space 4}-5.543101{col 75}{space 3} 5.625593
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0774373{col 34}{space 2} .0831401{col 45}{space 1}   -0.93{col 54}{space 3}0.354{col 62}{space 4}-.2420774{col 75}{space 3} .0872027
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .7798229{col 34}{space 2} 2.753363{col 45}{space 1}    0.28{col 54}{space 3}0.778{col 62}{space 4}-4.672586{col 75}{space 3} 6.232232
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1300289{col 34}{space 2} .1104516{col 45}{space 1}   -1.18{col 54}{space 3}0.241{col 62}{space 4}-.3487532{col 75}{space 3} .0886953
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2149052{col 34}{space 2} 2.812766{col 45}{space 1}    0.08{col 54}{space 3}0.939{col 62}{space 4}-5.355138{col 75}{space 3} 5.784948
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-217.2215{col 34}{space 2} 375.1478{col 45}{space 1}   -0.58{col 54}{space 3}0.564{col 62}{space 4}-960.1163{col 75}{space 3} 525.6733
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 273.2886{col 34}{space 2} 454.5947{col 45}{space 1}    0.60{col 54}{space 3}0.549{col 62}{space 4}-626.9326{col 75}{space 3}  1173.51
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  21.8012{col 34}{space 2} 57.31576{col 45}{space 1}    0.38{col 54}{space 3}0.704{col 62}{space 4} -91.6996{col 75}{space 3}  135.302
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-47.30909{col 34}{space 2} 54.98746{col 45}{space 1}   -0.86{col 54}{space 3}0.391{col 62}{space 4}-156.1992{col 75}{space 3} 61.58105
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-555.8874{col 34}{space 2} 448.6825{col 45}{space 1}   -1.24{col 54}{space 3}0.218{col 62}{space 4}-1444.401{col 75}{space 3}  332.626
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 55.28817{col 34}{space 2} 957.9928{col 45}{space 1}    0.06{col 54}{space 3}0.954{col 62}{space 4}-1841.798{col 75}{space 3} 1952.375
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-86.34367{col 34}{space 2} 622.9456{col 45}{space 1}   -0.14{col 54}{space 3}0.890{col 62}{space 4}-1319.946{col 75}{space 3} 1147.258
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 3282.097{col 34}{space 2} 1073.417{col 45}{space 1}    3.06{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} 1156.439{col 75}{space 3} 5407.755
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 82.28772{col 34}{space 2} 53.09392{col 45}{space 1}    1.55{col 54}{space 3}0.124{col 62}{space 4} -22.8527{col 75}{space 3} 187.4281
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-67.57508{col 34}{space 2} 67.44388{col 45}{space 1}   -1.00{col 54}{space 3}0.318{col 62}{space 4}-201.1323{col 75}{space 3} 65.98217
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 17}13  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  118.037{col 34}{space 2} 38.74769{col 45}{space 1}    3.05{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} 41.30605{col 75}{space 3}  194.768
{txt}{space 17}22  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 151.7277{col 34}{space 2}  56.9605{col 45}{space 1}    2.66{col 54}{space 3}0.009{col 62}{space 4}  38.9304{col 75}{space 3}  264.525
{txt}{space 17}28  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-143.6698{col 34}{space 2} 76.97161{col 45}{space 1}   -1.87{col 54}{space 3}0.064{col 62}{space 4}-296.0945{col 75}{space 3}    8.755
{txt}{space 17}45  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-21.11401{col 34}{space 2} 43.03529{col 45}{space 1}   -0.49{col 54}{space 3}0.625{col 62}{space 4}-106.3356{col 75}{space 3} 64.10758
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1947  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 234.6822{col 34}{space 2} 119.9463{col 45}{space 1}    1.96{col 54}{space 3}0.053{col 62}{space 4}-2.844146{col 75}{space 3} 472.2086
{txt}{space 15}1948  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 542.7606{col 34}{space 2} 151.7128{col 45}{space 1}    3.58{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 242.3279{col 75}{space 3} 843.1933
{txt}{space 15}1949  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 80.01865{col 34}{space 2} 143.7004{col 45}{space 1}    0.56{col 54}{space 3}0.579{col 62}{space 4}-204.5473{col 75}{space 3} 364.5846
{txt}{space 15}1950  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 383.6402{col 34}{space 2} 143.3991{col 45}{space 1}    2.68{col 54}{space 3}0.009{col 62}{space 4} 99.67103{col 75}{space 3} 667.6094
{txt}{space 15}1951  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 493.5625{col 34}{space 2} 112.9888{col 45}{space 1}    4.37{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  269.814{col 75}{space 3}  717.311
{txt}{space 15}1952  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 511.0764{col 34}{space 2} 112.3049{col 45}{space 1}    4.55{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 288.6821{col 75}{space 3} 733.4707
{txt}{space 15}1953  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 502.3738{col 34}{space 2} 98.53324{col 45}{space 1}    5.10{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 307.2511{col 75}{space 3} 697.4964
{txt}{space 15}1954  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 283.1062{col 34}{space 2} 99.85701{col 45}{space 1}    2.84{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4} 85.36218{col 75}{space 3} 480.8503
{txt}{space 15}1955  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 781.6985{col 34}{space 2} 132.4697{col 45}{space 1}    5.90{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 519.3724{col 75}{space 3} 1044.025
{txt}{space 15}1956  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 561.6308{col 34}{space 2} 139.9198{col 45}{space 1}    4.01{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 284.5515{col 75}{space 3} 838.7101
{txt}{space 15}1957  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 388.2427{col 34}{space 2} 151.9025{col 45}{space 1}    2.56{col 54}{space 3}0.012{col 62}{space 4}  87.4344{col 75}{space 3} 689.0511
{txt}{space 15}1958  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 556.2844{col 34}{space 2} 117.6603{col 45}{space 1}    4.73{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 323.2851{col 75}{space 3} 789.2838
{txt}{space 15}1959  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 727.2794{col 34}{space 2} 127.8145{col 45}{space 1}    5.69{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 474.1719{col 75}{space 3} 980.3869
{txt}{space 15}1960  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 452.8135{col 34}{space 2}  142.633{col 45}{space 1}    3.17{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 170.3613{col 75}{space 3} 735.2657
{txt}{space 15}1961  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 665.7703{col 34}{space 2} 142.0565{col 45}{space 1}    4.69{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 384.4598{col 75}{space 3} 947.0807
{txt}{space 15}1962  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 738.1638{col 34}{space 2} 135.0326{col 45}{space 1}    5.47{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 470.7625{col 75}{space 3} 1005.565
{txt}{space 15}1963  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 773.6297{col 34}{space 2} 161.8952{col 45}{space 1}    4.78{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 453.0333{col 75}{space 3} 1094.226
{txt}{space 15}1964  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 863.5506{col 34}{space 2} 149.9781{col 45}{space 1}    5.76{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 566.5532{col 75}{space 3} 1160.548
{txt}{space 15}1965  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 964.1335{col 34}{space 2} 155.3601{col 45}{space 1}    6.21{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 656.4783{col 75}{space 3} 1271.789
{txt}{space 15}1966  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 989.1905{col 34}{space 2} 168.4912{col 45}{space 1}    5.87{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 655.5321{col 75}{space 3} 1322.849
{txt}{space 15}1967  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1018.469{col 34}{space 2} 183.5376{col 45}{space 1}    5.55{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 655.0147{col 75}{space 3} 1381.923
{txt}{space 15}1968  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1096.278{col 34}{space 2} 202.3302{col 45}{space 1}    5.42{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 695.6092{col 75}{space 3} 1496.947
{txt}{space 15}1969  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1053.388{col 34}{space 2} 232.1097{col 45}{space 1}    4.54{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 593.7479{col 75}{space 3} 1513.029
{txt}{space 15}1970  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1033.859{col 34}{space 2} 240.8426{col 45}{space 1}    4.29{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  556.925{col 75}{space 3} 1510.793
{txt}{space 15}1971  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1183.926{col 34}{space 2}  262.185{col 45}{space 1}    4.52{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 664.7281{col 75}{space 3} 1703.123
{txt}{space 15}1972  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1448.735{col 34}{space 2} 288.0227{col 45}{space 1}    5.03{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 878.3712{col 75}{space 3} 2019.098
{txt}{space 15}1973  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1363.939{col 34}{space 2} 303.7047{col 45}{space 1}    4.49{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 762.5209{col 75}{space 3} 1965.357
{txt}{space 15}1974  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1000.985{col 34}{space 2}  334.617{col 45}{space 1}    2.99{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} 338.3522{col 75}{space 3} 1663.618
{txt}{space 15}1975  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1079.52{col 34}{space 2}  336.518{col 45}{space 1}    3.21{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 413.1225{col 75}{space 3} 1745.917
{txt}{space 15}1976  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1612.325{col 34}{space 2} 359.9384{col 45}{space 1}    4.48{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 899.5491{col 75}{space 3} 2325.101
{txt}{space 15}1977  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1237.61{col 34}{space 2}  392.735{col 45}{space 1}    3.15{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 459.8879{col 75}{space 3} 2015.332
{txt}{space 15}1978  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1488.225{col 34}{space 2} 408.8056{col 45}{space 1}    3.64{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 678.6783{col 75}{space 3} 2297.771
{txt}{space 15}1979  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1202.154{col 34}{space 2} 426.2035{col 45}{space 1}    2.82{col 54}{space 3}0.006{col 62}{space 4} 358.1549{col 75}{space 3} 2046.153
{txt}{space 15}1980  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1025.98{col 34}{space 2} 418.4702{col 45}{space 1}    2.45{col 54}{space 3}0.016{col 62}{space 4} 197.2948{col 75}{space 3} 1854.665
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 357.2402{col 34}{space 2} 469.6095{col 45}{space 1}    0.76{col 54}{space 3}0.448{col 62}{space 4}-572.7146{col 75}{space 3} 1287.195
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallpre if year<=1980 & oldsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,164 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   118) ={res}    3.74
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0554
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   118) ={res}    3.10
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0488
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.035974{col 26}{space 2} 5.524606{col 37}{space 1}    0.19{col 46}{space 3}0.852{col 54}{space 4} -9.90425{col 67}{space 3}  11.9762
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 15.48036{col 26}{space 2} 19.86203{col 37}{space 1}    0.78{col 46}{space 3}0.436{col 54}{space 4}-23.44849{col 67}{space 3} 54.40922
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. sum klarnerranney   if real_pc_inc_annhatallpre!=. & year<=1980 & oldsouth==1, detail

         {txt}Annual Ranney Measure of State Legislative
               Partisan Balance (Klarner Data)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res}        0              0
{txt} 5%    {res}        0              0
{txt}10%    {res}        0              0       {txt}Obs         {res}        175
{txt}25%    {res}        0              0       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        175

{txt}50%    {res} 1.904762                      {txt}Mean          {res} 5.386102
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 8.021196
{txt}75%    {res} 6.373626       26.91057
{txt}90%    {res} 20.47619       29.73803       {txt}Variance      {res} 64.33959
{txt}95%    {res} 24.90323       30.39683       {txt}Skewness      {res} 1.675314
{txt}99%    {res} 30.39683       30.39683       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 4.609163
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS  OF  klarnerranney ON real_pc_inc_ann:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD *
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*44.05263  -  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*0.9433962

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*44.05263 - (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*0.9433962

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 667.3465{col 26}{space 2} 856.2367{col 37}{space 1}    0.78{col 46}{space 3}0.436{col 54}{space 4}-1010.847{col 67}{space 3}  2345.54
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. qui regress d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & oldsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       175{col 27}-140.4509{col 38}-94.31241{col 49}    49{col 58} 286.6248{col 69} 441.6993
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. *
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. newey d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & oldsouth==1, lag(6) force
{txt}note: L.dem_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: LD.dem_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: L.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: LD.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: LD.electedjudges1 omitted because of collinearity
note: 45.state_fips omitted because of collinearity

Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       175
{txt}maximum lag: {res}6{col 49}{txt}F( 48,       126){col 67}= {res}      4.96
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 17}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.              {col 18}{c |}{col 30}  Newey-West
{col 1}ihsklarnerranney{col 18}{c |}      Coef.{col 30}   Std. Err.{col 42}      t{col 50}   P>|t|{col 58}     [95% Con{col 71}f. Interval]
{hline 17}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.2793028{col 30}{space 2} .1248739{col 41}{space 1}   -2.24{col 50}{space 3}0.027{col 58}{space 4}-.5264246{col 71}{space 3}-.0321809
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0000459{col 30}{space 2}  .000212{col 41}{space 1}    0.22{col 50}{space 3}0.829{col 58}{space 4}-.0003736{col 71}{space 3} .0004653
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0411396{col 30}{space 2} .1579671{col 41}{space 1}    0.26{col 50}{space 3}0.795{col 58}{space 4}-.2714727{col 71}{space 3}  .353752
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}D1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0002175{col 30}{space 2} .0002673{col 41}{space 1}   -0.81{col 50}{space 3}0.417{col 58}{space 4}-.0007464{col 71}{space 3} .0003114
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1567851{col 30}{space 2} .0981192{col 41}{space 1}   -1.60{col 50}{space 3}0.113{col 58}{space 4}-.3509601{col 71}{space 3}   .03739
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0001696{col 30}{space 2} .0003227{col 41}{space 1}    0.53{col 50}{space 3}0.600{col 58}{space 4}-.0004691{col 71}{space 3} .0008083
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L3D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0564507{col 30}{space 2} .0871855{col 41}{space 1}   -0.65{col 50}{space 3}0.519{col 58}{space 4}-.2289883{col 71}{space 3} .1160869
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} -.000227{col 30}{space 2} .0003679{col 41}{space 1}   -0.62{col 50}{space 3}0.538{col 58}{space 4}-.0009552{col 71}{space 3} .0005011
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 7}gov_party {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0593373{col 30}{space 2} .3140439{col 41}{space 1}   -0.19{col 50}{space 3}0.850{col 58}{space 4} -.680821{col 71}{space 3} .5621463
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} -.115835{col 30}{space 2} .3011257{col 41}{space 1}   -0.38{col 50}{space 3}0.701{col 58}{space 4}-.7117538{col 71}{space 3} .4800838
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}dem_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}        0{col 30}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}        0{col 30}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}rep_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}        0{col 30}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}        0{col 30}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 16} {c |}
{space 2}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1590607{col 30}{space 2}  .163063{col 41}{space 1}   -0.98{col 50}{space 3}0.331{col 58}{space 4}-.4817575{col 71}{space 3} .1636362
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}        0{col 30}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 16} {c |}
{space 6}state_fips {c |}
{space 13}13  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4448855{col 30}{space 2} .2203536{col 41}{space 1}    2.02{col 50}{space 3}0.046{col 58}{space 4} .0088122{col 71}{space 3} .8809589
{txt}{space 13}22  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0036764{col 30}{space 2} .1905785{col 41}{space 1}   -0.02{col 50}{space 3}0.985{col 58}{space 4}-.3808256{col 71}{space 3} .3734727
{txt}{space 13}28  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0818327{col 30}{space 2} .2110166{col 41}{space 1}    0.39{col 50}{space 3}0.699{col 58}{space 4}-.3357629{col 71}{space 3} .4994283
{txt}{space 13}45  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}        0{col 30}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 16} {c |}
{space 12}year {c |}
{space 11}1947  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0443991{col 30}{space 2} .2413032{col 41}{space 1}    0.18{col 50}{space 3}0.854{col 58}{space 4}-.4331329{col 71}{space 3} .5219312
{txt}{space 11}1948  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0313637{col 30}{space 2} .4185563{col 41}{space 1}    0.07{col 50}{space 3}0.940{col 58}{space 4}-.7969469{col 71}{space 3} .8596743
{txt}{space 11}1949  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0559264{col 30}{space 2}  .321144{col 41}{space 1}   -0.17{col 50}{space 3}0.862{col 58}{space 4}-.6914609{col 71}{space 3} .5796082
{txt}{space 11}1950  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1540195{col 30}{space 2} .2380758{col 41}{space 1}    0.65{col 50}{space 3}0.519{col 58}{space 4}-.3171255{col 71}{space 3} .6251646
{txt}{space 11}1951  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.2329667{col 30}{space 2} .4073512{col 41}{space 1}   -0.57{col 50}{space 3}0.568{col 58}{space 4}-1.039103{col 71}{space 3} .5731693
{txt}{space 11}1952  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0192366{col 30}{space 2}  .247613{col 41}{space 1}    0.08{col 50}{space 3}0.938{col 58}{space 4}-.4707822{col 71}{space 3} .5092555
{txt}{space 11}1953  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1757947{col 30}{space 2} .2475569{col 41}{space 1}    0.71{col 50}{space 3}0.479{col 58}{space 4}-.3141132{col 71}{space 3} .6657026
{txt}{space 11}1954  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0353697{col 30}{space 2} .1974975{col 41}{space 1}   -0.18{col 50}{space 3}0.858{col 58}{space 4}-.4262115{col 71}{space 3}  .355472
{txt}{space 11}1955  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0729506{col 30}{space 2} .3184661{col 41}{space 1}    0.23{col 50}{space 3}0.819{col 58}{space 4}-.5572844{col 71}{space 3} .7031856
{txt}{space 11}1956  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0839626{col 30}{space 2} .3646766{col 41}{space 1}   -0.23{col 50}{space 3}0.818{col 58}{space 4} -.805647{col 71}{space 3} .6377217
{txt}{space 11}1957  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} -.000571{col 30}{space 2}   .21371{col 41}{space 1}   -0.00{col 50}{space 3}0.998{col 58}{space 4}-.4234968{col 71}{space 3} .4223548
{txt}{space 11}1958  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0158194{col 30}{space 2} .2743384{col 41}{space 1}   -0.06{col 50}{space 3}0.954{col 58}{space 4} -.558727{col 71}{space 3} .5270882
{txt}{space 11}1959  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0373832{col 30}{space 2} .3555002{col 41}{space 1}    0.11{col 50}{space 3}0.916{col 58}{space 4}-.6661413{col 71}{space 3} .7409077
{txt}{space 11}1960  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0727217{col 30}{space 2} .3315705{col 41}{space 1}   -0.22{col 50}{space 3}0.827{col 58}{space 4}-.7288899{col 71}{space 3} .5834466
{txt}{space 11}1961  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0473215{col 30}{space 2} .3137369{col 41}{space 1}   -0.15{col 50}{space 3}0.880{col 58}{space 4}-.6681977{col 71}{space 3} .5735547
{txt}{space 11}1962  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0481819{col 30}{space 2} .3909405{col 41}{space 1}   -0.12{col 50}{space 3}0.902{col 58}{space 4}-.8218417{col 71}{space 3}  .725478
{txt}{space 11}1963  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .315371{col 30}{space 2} .4600105{col 41}{space 1}    0.69{col 50}{space 3}0.494{col 58}{space 4}-.5949763{col 71}{space 3} 1.225718
{txt}{space 11}1964  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5560115{col 30}{space 2} .5314174{col 41}{space 1}    1.05{col 50}{space 3}0.297{col 58}{space 4}-.4956478{col 71}{space 3} 1.607671
{txt}{space 11}1965  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4905125{col 30}{space 2} .6108699{col 41}{space 1}    0.80{col 50}{space 3}0.424{col 58}{space 4} -.718381{col 71}{space 3} 1.699406
{txt}{space 11}1966  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  1.08236{col 30}{space 2} .6420654{col 41}{space 1}    1.69{col 50}{space 3}0.094{col 58}{space 4}-.1882684{col 71}{space 3} 2.352989
{txt}{space 11}1967  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  1.15906{col 30}{space 2} .7514988{col 41}{space 1}    1.54{col 50}{space 3}0.126{col 58}{space 4}-.3281343{col 71}{space 3} 2.646254
{txt}{space 11}1968  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .124126{col 30}{space 2} .7558608{col 41}{space 1}    0.16{col 50}{space 3}0.870{col 58}{space 4}  -1.3717{col 71}{space 3} 1.619952
{txt}{space 11}1969  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3869584{col 30}{space 2} .6717634{col 41}{space 1}    0.58{col 50}{space 3}0.566{col 58}{space 4}-.9424415{col 71}{space 3} 1.716358
{txt}{space 11}1970  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.034383{col 30}{space 2} .7753866{col 41}{space 1}    1.33{col 50}{space 3}0.185{col 58}{space 4}-.5000838{col 71}{space 3} 2.568851
{txt}{space 11}1971  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .441087{col 30}{space 2} .7511995{col 41}{space 1}    0.59{col 50}{space 3}0.558{col 58}{space 4}-1.045515{col 71}{space 3} 1.927689
{txt}{space 11}1972  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .7331712{col 30}{space 2} .9338012{col 41}{space 1}    0.79{col 50}{space 3}0.434{col 58}{space 4}-1.114794{col 71}{space 3} 2.581136
{txt}{space 11}1973  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .7337899{col 30}{space 2} .9128495{col 41}{space 1}    0.80{col 50}{space 3}0.423{col 58}{space 4}-1.072712{col 71}{space 3} 2.540292
{txt}{space 11}1974  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4369182{col 30}{space 2} .9556703{col 41}{space 1}    0.46{col 50}{space 3}0.648{col 58}{space 4}-1.454325{col 71}{space 3} 2.328162
{txt}{space 11}1975  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1948893{col 30}{space 2}  1.03548{col 41}{space 1}    0.19{col 50}{space 3}0.851{col 58}{space 4}-1.854295{col 71}{space 3} 2.244074
{txt}{space 11}1976  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4609118{col 30}{space 2} 1.073773{col 41}{space 1}    0.43{col 50}{space 3}0.668{col 58}{space 4}-1.664053{col 71}{space 3} 2.585877
{txt}{space 11}1977  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .7240702{col 30}{space 2} 1.230566{col 41}{space 1}    0.59{col 50}{space 3}0.557{col 58}{space 4}-1.711184{col 71}{space 3} 3.159324
{txt}{space 11}1978  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5119382{col 30}{space 2} 1.114792{col 41}{space 1}    0.46{col 50}{space 3}0.647{col 58}{space 4}-1.694202{col 71}{space 3} 2.718078
{txt}{space 11}1979  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .601507{col 30}{space 2}  1.19214{col 41}{space 1}    0.50{col 50}{space 3}0.615{col 58}{space 4}-1.757704{col 71}{space 3} 2.960718
{txt}{space 11}1980  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .570913{col 30}{space 2} 1.143329{col 41}{space 1}    0.50{col 50}{space 3}0.618{col 58}{space 4}-1.691701{col 71}{space 3} 2.833527
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 11}_cons {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .013219{col 30}{space 2}  .813815{col 41}{space 1}    0.02{col 50}{space 3}0.987{col 58}{space 4}-1.597297{col 71}{space 3} 1.623735
{txt}{hline 17}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict ihsklarnerranneyhatallpre if year<=1980 & oldsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,164 missing values generated)

{com}. 
.  
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   126) ={res}    5.00
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0271
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   126) ={res}    2.69
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0721
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann + 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0002749{col 26}{space 2} .0004996{col 37}{space 1}   -0.55{col 46}{space 3}0.583{col 54}{space 4}-.0012637{col 67}{space 3} .0007138
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0001643{col 26}{space 2} .0007363{col 37}{space 1}    0.22{col 46}{space 3}0.823{col 54}{space 4}-.0012789{col 67}{space 3} .0016074
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. sum real_pc_inc_ann    if ihsklarnerranneyhatallpre!=. & year<=1980 & oldsouth==1, detail

        {txt}Per Capita Annual Income (1982-1984 Constant
                          Dollars)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 2952.088       2933.336
{txt} 5%    {res} 3473.436       2952.088
{txt}10%    {res} 3818.317       3099.246       {txt}Obs         {res}        175
{txt}25%    {res}  4532.24       3175.111       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        175

{txt}50%    {res}  5760.13                      {txt}Mean          {res} 6368.114
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 2176.994
{txt}75%    {res} 8340.499       10595.85
{txt}90%    {res} 9583.454       10638.07       {txt}Variance      {res}  4739304
{txt}95%    {res} 10076.86       10654.89       {txt}Skewness      {res} .3510838
{txt}99%    {res} 10654.89       10670.46       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 1.846573
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS OF  real_pc_inc_ann ON ihsklarnerranney:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD 
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*8432.818   -  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*4643.055

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*8432.818 - (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*4643.055

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6224928{col 26}{space 2} 2.790638{col 37}{space 1}    0.22{col 46}{space 3}0.823{col 54}{space 4}-4.847057{col 67}{space 3} 6.092043
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. // (5,4)  MODEL
. 
. 
. 
. *** IV.C: OLD SOUTH STATES (N = 9): POST-PARTISAN ALIGNMENT TIME PERIOD (1981 - 2010) ***
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney  l4.d.real_pc_inc_ann l3.d.klarnerranney  l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified  i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & oldsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       150{col 27}-1048.085{col 38}-917.8995{col 49}    56{col 58} 1947.799{col 69} 2116.395
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney  l4.d.real_pc_inc_ann l3.d.klarnerranney  l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified  i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & oldsouth==1, lag(5) force
{txt}note: L.right_to_work omitted because of collinearity
note: LD.right_to_work omitted because of collinearity

Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       150
{txt}maximum lag: {res}5{col 49}{txt}F( 55,        94){col 67}= {res}     57.76
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2194452{col 34}{space 2} .0493746{col 45}{space 1}   -4.44{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-.3174795{col 75}{space 3}-.1214108
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 7.085725{col 34}{space 2} 2.711496{col 45}{space 1}    2.61{col 54}{space 3}0.010{col 62}{space 4} 1.701985{col 75}{space 3} 12.46946
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}   .45147{col 34}{space 2} .0678778{col 45}{space 1}    6.65{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} .3166971{col 75}{space 3}  .586243
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 4.045362{col 34}{space 2} 1.998679{col 45}{space 1}    2.02{col 54}{space 3}0.046{col 62}{space 4} .0769376{col 75}{space 3} 8.013786
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1686659{col 34}{space 2}  .084625{col 45}{space 1}    1.99{col 54}{space 3}0.049{col 62}{space 4} .0006411{col 75}{space 3} .3366907
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-6.251429{col 34}{space 2} 4.398755{col 45}{space 1}   -1.42{col 54}{space 3}0.159{col 62}{space 4}-14.98526{col 75}{space 3} 2.482402
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1088285{col 34}{space 2} .1042161{col 45}{space 1}   -1.04{col 54}{space 3}0.299{col 62}{space 4} -.315752{col 75}{space 3} .0980949
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-5.665859{col 34}{space 2} 3.145921{col 45}{space 1}   -1.80{col 54}{space 3}0.075{col 62}{space 4}-11.91216{col 75}{space 3} .5804408
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L4D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2425137{col 34}{space 2} .0694037{col 45}{space 1}    3.49{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}  .104711{col 75}{space 3} .3803164
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.000721{col 34}{space 2} 4.718542{col 45}{space 1}    0.21{col 54}{space 3}0.833{col 62}{space 4}-8.368055{col 75}{space 3}  10.3695
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-551.3137{col 34}{space 2} 784.9677{col 45}{space 1}   -0.70{col 54}{space 3}0.484{col 62}{space 4}-2109.886{col 75}{space 3} 1007.258
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 705.7823{col 34}{space 2} 1178.039{col 45}{space 1}    0.60{col 54}{space 3}0.551{col 62}{space 4}-1633.241{col 75}{space 3} 3044.806
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1212.804{col 34}{space 2} 741.6633{col 45}{space 1}   -1.64{col 54}{space 3}0.105{col 62}{space 4}-2685.394{col 75}{space 3} 259.7856
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-90.97416{col 34}{space 2} 1227.419{col 45}{space 1}   -0.07{col 54}{space 3}0.941{col 62}{space 4}-2528.044{col 75}{space 3} 2346.096
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 4203.256{col 34}{space 2}  10424.4{col 45}{space 1}    0.40{col 54}{space 3}0.688{col 62}{space 4}-16494.64{col 75}{space 3} 24901.16
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 4152.309{col 34}{space 2} 4847.142{col 45}{space 1}    0.86{col 54}{space 3}0.394{col 62}{space 4}-5471.805{col 75}{space 3} 13776.42
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-15.22547{col 34}{space 2} 94.82858{col 45}{space 1}   -0.16{col 54}{space 3}0.873{col 62}{space 4}-203.5098{col 75}{space 3} 173.0589
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-67.82742{col 34}{space 2}  191.127{col 45}{space 1}   -0.35{col 54}{space 3}0.723{col 62}{space 4}-447.3146{col 75}{space 3} 311.6598
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 139.2533{col 34}{space 2} 99.80437{col 45}{space 1}    1.40{col 54}{space 3}0.166{col 62}{space 4}-58.91058{col 75}{space 3} 337.4173
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 8.402739{col 34}{space 2} 195.0896{col 45}{space 1}    0.04{col 54}{space 3}0.966{col 62}{space 4}-378.9523{col 75}{space 3} 395.7578
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-88.03352{col 34}{space 2} 66.87071{col 45}{space 1}   -1.32{col 54}{space 3}0.191{col 62}{space 4}-220.8069{col 75}{space 3} 44.73985
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -157.823{col 34}{space 2} 196.5138{col 45}{space 1}   -0.80{col 54}{space 3}0.424{col 62}{space 4}-548.0057{col 75}{space 3} 232.3598
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 17}13  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 286.6253{col 34}{space 2} 76.09385{col 45}{space 1}    3.77{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 135.5391{col 75}{space 3} 437.7114
{txt}{space 17}22  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 54.23972{col 34}{space 2} 47.28533{col 45}{space 1}    1.15{col 54}{space 3}0.254{col 62}{space 4}-39.64642{col 75}{space 3} 148.1259
{txt}{space 17}28  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-269.0366{col 34}{space 2} 79.69897{col 45}{space 1}   -3.38{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-427.2808{col 75}{space 3}-110.7924
{txt}{space 17}45  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-116.1472{col 34}{space 2}  87.0428{col 45}{space 1}   -1.33{col 54}{space 3}0.185{col 62}{space 4}-288.9727{col 75}{space 3} 56.67834
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1982  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-229.6579{col 34}{space 2} 139.9404{col 45}{space 1}   -1.64{col 54}{space 3}0.104{col 62}{space 4}-507.5128{col 75}{space 3} 48.19692
{txt}{space 15}1983  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 78.71316{col 34}{space 2} 165.7452{col 45}{space 1}    0.47{col 54}{space 3}0.636{col 62}{space 4}-250.3778{col 75}{space 3} 407.8041
{txt}{space 15}1984  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 355.0892{col 34}{space 2} 149.8177{col 45}{space 1}    2.37{col 54}{space 3}0.020{col 62}{space 4} 57.62275{col 75}{space 3} 652.5557
{txt}{space 15}1985  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-86.34513{col 34}{space 2} 193.2608{col 45}{space 1}   -0.45{col 54}{space 3}0.656{col 62}{space 4}-470.0689{col 75}{space 3} 297.3786
{txt}{space 15}1986  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 55.84115{col 34}{space 2} 197.7943{col 45}{space 1}    0.28{col 54}{space 3}0.778{col 62}{space 4}-336.8841{col 75}{space 3} 448.5664
{txt}{space 15}1987  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-9.194938{col 34}{space 2} 171.3659{col 45}{space 1}   -0.05{col 54}{space 3}0.957{col 62}{space 4} -349.446{col 75}{space 3} 331.0561
{txt}{space 15}1988  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  172.303{col 34}{space 2} 198.7512{col 45}{space 1}    0.87{col 54}{space 3}0.388{col 62}{space 4}-222.3221{col 75}{space 3} 566.9281
{txt}{space 15}1989  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 226.8619{col 34}{space 2} 203.1291{col 45}{space 1}    1.12{col 54}{space 3}0.267{col 62}{space 4}-176.4557{col 75}{space 3} 630.1795
{txt}{space 15}1990  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 40.51255{col 34}{space 2} 216.1956{col 45}{space 1}    0.19{col 54}{space 3}0.852{col 62}{space 4}-388.7488{col 75}{space 3} 469.7739
{txt}{space 15}1991  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 70.15863{col 34}{space 2} 203.4527{col 45}{space 1}    0.34{col 54}{space 3}0.731{col 62}{space 4}-333.8015{col 75}{space 3} 474.1187
{txt}{space 15}1992  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 482.1643{col 34}{space 2} 225.6678{col 45}{space 1}    2.14{col 54}{space 3}0.035{col 62}{space 4} 34.09565{col 75}{space 3}  930.233
{txt}{space 15}1993  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 231.3556{col 34}{space 2} 263.8067{col 45}{space 1}    0.88{col 54}{space 3}0.383{col 62}{space 4}-292.4387{col 75}{space 3}   755.15
{txt}{space 15}1994  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 550.1435{col 34}{space 2}  261.802{col 45}{space 1}    2.10{col 54}{space 3}0.038{col 62}{space 4} 30.32958{col 75}{space 3} 1069.957
{txt}{space 15}1995  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 405.9412{col 34}{space 2} 298.5739{col 45}{space 1}    1.36{col 54}{space 3}0.177{col 62}{space 4}-186.8844{col 75}{space 3} 998.7667
{txt}{space 15}1996  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  365.344{col 34}{space 2} 296.0093{col 45}{space 1}    1.23{col 54}{space 3}0.220{col 62}{space 4}-222.3894{col 75}{space 3} 953.0774
{txt}{space 15}1997  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 553.7744{col 34}{space 2} 311.2626{col 45}{space 1}    1.78{col 54}{space 3}0.078{col 62}{space 4}-64.24476{col 75}{space 3} 1171.794
{txt}{space 15}1998  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 688.8954{col 34}{space 2} 311.2456{col 45}{space 1}    2.21{col 54}{space 3}0.029{col 62}{space 4} 70.91001{col 75}{space 3} 1306.881
{txt}{space 15}1999  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 322.3856{col 34}{space 2} 328.7231{col 45}{space 1}    0.98{col 54}{space 3}0.329{col 62}{space 4}-330.3019{col 75}{space 3}  975.073
{txt}{space 15}2000  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 620.0941{col 34}{space 2} 298.5427{col 45}{space 1}    2.08{col 54}{space 3}0.041{col 62}{space 4} 27.33044{col 75}{space 3} 1212.858
{txt}{space 15}2001  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 567.9496{col 34}{space 2} 337.3376{col 45}{space 1}    1.68{col 54}{space 3}0.096{col 62}{space 4}-101.8421{col 75}{space 3} 1237.741
{txt}{space 15}2002  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 354.7262{col 34}{space 2}   337.93{col 45}{space 1}    1.05{col 54}{space 3}0.297{col 62}{space 4}-316.2419{col 75}{space 3} 1025.694
{txt}{space 15}2003  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  556.029{col 34}{space 2} 318.4361{col 45}{space 1}    1.75{col 54}{space 3}0.084{col 62}{space 4}-76.23327{col 75}{space 3} 1188.291
{txt}{space 15}2004  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 869.0749{col 34}{space 2} 350.8334{col 45}{space 1}    2.48{col 54}{space 3}0.015{col 62}{space 4}  172.487{col 75}{space 3} 1565.663
{txt}{space 15}2005  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 903.4039{col 34}{space 2} 386.4341{col 45}{space 1}    2.34{col 54}{space 3}0.022{col 62}{space 4} 136.1299{col 75}{space 3} 1670.678
{txt}{space 15}2006  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1103.41{col 34}{space 2}  423.135{col 45}{space 1}    2.61{col 54}{space 3}0.011{col 62}{space 4}  263.266{col 75}{space 3} 1943.555
{txt}{space 15}2007  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 912.7009{col 34}{space 2} 392.9286{col 45}{space 1}    2.32{col 54}{space 3}0.022{col 62}{space 4}  132.532{col 75}{space 3}  1692.87
{txt}{space 15}2008  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 661.1229{col 34}{space 2} 396.4664{col 45}{space 1}    1.67{col 54}{space 3}0.099{col 62}{space 4}-126.0704{col 75}{space 3} 1448.316
{txt}{space 15}2009  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 253.8513{col 34}{space 2} 391.0293{col 45}{space 1}    0.65{col 54}{space 3}0.518{col 62}{space 4}-522.5467{col 75}{space 3} 1030.249
{txt}{space 15}2010  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1140.848{col 34}{space 2} 357.4049{col 45}{space 1}    3.19{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 431.2118{col 75}{space 3} 1850.484
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1851.705{col 34}{space 2} 10222.23{col 45}{space 1}   -0.18{col 54}{space 3}0.857{col 62}{space 4}-22148.19{col 75}{space 3} 18444.78
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallpost if year>1980 & oldsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,189 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,    94) ={res}   19.75
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENIETY)*
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,    94) ={res}    9.98
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0001
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney +  l3.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney + L3D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-6.871206{col 26}{space 2} 10.07334{col 37}{space 1}   -0.68{col 46}{space 3}0.497{col 54}{space 4}-26.87205{col 67}{space 3} 13.12964
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 32.28927{col 26}{space 2} 10.76588{col 37}{space 1}    3.00{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4} 11.18854{col 67}{space 3} 53.39001
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. sum klarnerranney   if real_pc_inc_annhatallpost!=. & year > 1980 & oldsouth==1, detail

         {txt}Annual Ranney Measure of State Legislative
               Partisan Balance (Klarner Data)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 4.761905       4.761905
{txt} 5%    {res} 10.68726       4.761905
{txt}10%    {res} 16.19048        9.52381       {txt}Obs         {res}        150
{txt}25%    {res} 31.57509        9.52381       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        150

{txt}50%    {res} 63.89985                      {txt}Mean          {res} 56.57481
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 26.55981
{txt}75%    {res} 80.39683       97.89621
{txt}90%    {res} 87.58766       97.94872       {txt}Variance      {res} 705.4235
{txt}95%    {res} 94.12698       98.14165       {txt}Skewness      {res}-.2694049
{txt}99%    {res} 98.14165       99.26367       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 1.811273
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS  OF  klarnerranney ON real_pc_inc_ann:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD *
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*81.81818  -  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*39.04762

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*81.81818 - (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*39.04762

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  1381.03{col 26}{space 2} 460.4627{col 37}{space 1}    3.00{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4}   478.54{col 67}{space 3} 2283.521
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. qui reg d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l4.d.klarnerranney l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1  i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & oldsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       150{col 27}-465.0762{col 38}-410.7432{col 49}    50{col 58} 921.4865{col 69} 1072.018
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. newey d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l4.d.klarnerranney l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1  i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & oldsouth==1, lag(5) force
{txt}note: LD.electedjudges1 omitted because of collinearity
note: 45.state_fips omitted because of collinearity

Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       150
{txt}maximum lag: {res}5{col 49}{txt}F( 49,       100){col 67}= {res}     13.46
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 16}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 17}{c |}{col 29}  Newey-West
{col 1}D.klarnerranney{col 17}{c |}      Coef.{col 29}   Std. Err.{col 41}      t{col 49}   P>|t|{col 57}     [95% Con{col 70}f. Interval]
{hline 16}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.2640631{col 29}{space 2} .0827559{col 40}{space 1}   -3.19{col 49}{space 3}0.002{col 57}{space 4}-.4282484{col 70}{space 3}-.0998779
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0016616{col 29}{space 2} .0013833{col 40}{space 1}    1.20{col 49}{space 3}0.233{col 57}{space 4}-.0010828{col 70}{space 3} .0044061
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0339743{col 29}{space 2} .1232948{col 40}{space 1}   -0.28{col 49}{space 3}0.783{col 57}{space 4}-.2785877{col 70}{space 3}  .210639
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}D1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0035993{col 29}{space 2}  .002609{col 40}{space 1}    1.38{col 49}{space 3}0.171{col 57}{space 4}-.0015768{col 70}{space 3} .0087754
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0497353{col 29}{space 2} .1264822{col 40}{space 1}    0.39{col 49}{space 3}0.695{col 57}{space 4}-.2012019{col 70}{space 3} .3006725
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0043894{col 29}{space 2} .0026131{col 40}{space 1}   -1.68{col 49}{space 3}0.096{col 57}{space 4}-.0095737{col 70}{space 3}  .000795
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L3D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0205792{col 29}{space 2} .0776993{col 40}{space 1}    0.26{col 49}{space 3}0.792{col 57}{space 4}-.1335741{col 70}{space 3} .1747325
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0008889{col 29}{space 2} .0020642{col 40}{space 1}   -0.43{col 49}{space 3}0.668{col 57}{space 4}-.0049843{col 70}{space 3} .0032065
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L4D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0409203{col 29}{space 2} .0839469{col 40}{space 1}   -0.49{col 49}{space 3}0.627{col 57}{space 4}-.2074685{col 70}{space 3}  .125628
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 11}L3D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0021393{col 29}{space 2}  .002842{col 40}{space 1}    0.75{col 49}{space 3}0.453{col 57}{space 4}-.0034991{col 70}{space 3} .0077777
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 6}gov_party {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-7.220321{col 29}{space 2} 1.923822{col 40}{space 1}   -3.75{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-11.03713{col 70}{space 3}-3.403513
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 7.994541{col 29}{space 2} 1.585321{col 40}{space 1}    5.04{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 4.849309{col 70}{space 3} 11.13977
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}dem_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 7.597785{col 29}{space 2} 2.049654{col 40}{space 1}    3.71{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 3.531331{col 70}{space 3} 11.66424
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-8.982704{col 29}{space 2} 1.866387{col 40}{space 1}   -4.81{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-12.68556{col 70}{space 3}-5.279844
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}rep_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-7.259066{col 29}{space 2}  2.67256{col 40}{space 1}   -2.72{col 49}{space 3}0.008{col 57}{space 4}-12.56135{col 70}{space 3}-1.956784
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 7.759074{col 29}{space 2} 1.734111{col 40}{space 1}    4.47{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 4.318647{col 70}{space 3}  11.1995
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 1}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-7.249309{col 29}{space 2} 2.000975{col 40}{space 1}   -3.62{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-11.21919{col 70}{space 3}-3.279431
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}        0{col 29}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 15} {c |}
{space 5}state_fips {c |}
{space 12}13  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .1904307{col 29}{space 2} 2.129388{col 40}{space 1}    0.09{col 49}{space 3}0.929{col 57}{space 4}-4.034215{col 70}{space 3} 4.415076
{txt}{space 12}22  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.7463079{col 29}{space 2} 1.608519{col 40}{space 1}   -0.46{col 49}{space 3}0.644{col 57}{space 4}-3.937564{col 70}{space 3} 2.444948
{txt}{space 12}28  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.311021{col 29}{space 2} 2.394074{col 40}{space 1}    0.97{col 49}{space 3}0.337{col 57}{space 4}-2.438753{col 70}{space 3} 7.060796
{txt}{space 12}45  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}        0{col 29}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 15} {c |}
{space 11}year {c |}
{space 10}1982  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.802128{col 29}{space 2} 1.879211{col 40}{space 1}    0.96{col 49}{space 3}0.340{col 57}{space 4}-1.926174{col 70}{space 3}  5.53043
{txt}{space 10}1983  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 4.435638{col 29}{space 2} 3.137964{col 40}{space 1}    1.41{col 49}{space 3}0.161{col 57}{space 4}-1.789993{col 70}{space 3} 10.66127
{txt}{space 10}1984  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.236702{col 29}{space 2} 2.711875{col 40}{space 1}    0.46{col 49}{space 3}0.649{col 57}{space 4} -4.14358{col 70}{space 3} 6.616985
{txt}{space 10}1985  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.82359{col 29}{space 2} 5.317558{col 40}{space 1}    2.41{col 49}{space 3}0.018{col 57}{space 4} 2.273702{col 70}{space 3} 23.37347
{txt}{space 10}1986  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.266211{col 29}{space 2} 2.606974{col 40}{space 1}    0.87{col 49}{space 3}0.387{col 57}{space 4}-2.905952{col 70}{space 3} 7.438374
{txt}{space 10}1987  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 6.782553{col 29}{space 2} 4.942814{col 40}{space 1}    1.37{col 49}{space 3}0.173{col 57}{space 4} -3.02385{col 70}{space 3} 16.58896
{txt}{space 10}1988  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.991044{col 29}{space 2} 2.498395{col 40}{space 1}    1.20{col 49}{space 3}0.234{col 57}{space 4}  -1.9657{col 70}{space 3} 7.947788
{txt}{space 10}1989  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 7.447622{col 29}{space 2} 3.769528{col 40}{space 1}    1.98{col 49}{space 3}0.051{col 57}{space 4}-.0310141{col 70}{space 3} 14.92626
{txt}{space 10}1990  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 6.662014{col 29}{space 2} 3.191385{col 40}{space 1}    2.09{col 49}{space 3}0.039{col 57}{space 4} .3303963{col 70}{space 3} 12.99363
{txt}{space 10}1991  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  7.27013{col 29}{space 2} 2.992257{col 40}{space 1}    2.43{col 49}{space 3}0.017{col 57}{space 4} 1.333577{col 70}{space 3} 13.20668
{txt}{space 10}1992  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 3.802699{col 29}{space 2} 3.503561{col 40}{space 1}    1.09{col 49}{space 3}0.280{col 57}{space 4}-3.148266{col 70}{space 3} 10.75366
{txt}{space 10}1993  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.73992{col 29}{space 2} 5.113602{col 40}{space 1}    2.49{col 49}{space 3}0.014{col 57}{space 4} 2.594675{col 70}{space 3} 22.88516
{txt}{space 10}1994  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 9.154326{col 29}{space 2} 4.760575{col 40}{space 1}    1.92{col 49}{space 3}0.057{col 57}{space 4}-.2905195{col 70}{space 3} 18.59917
{txt}{space 10}1995  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 19.75803{col 29}{space 2} 5.868263{col 40}{space 1}    3.37{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 8.115567{col 70}{space 3}  31.4005
{txt}{space 10}1996  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 16.35627{col 29}{space 2} 6.302997{col 40}{space 1}    2.59{col 49}{space 3}0.011{col 57}{space 4} 3.851304{col 70}{space 3} 28.86124
{txt}{space 10}1997  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.98922{col 29}{space 2} 4.995439{col 40}{space 1}    2.60{col 49}{space 3}0.011{col 57}{space 4} 3.078414{col 70}{space 3} 22.90003
{txt}{space 10}1998  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 10.14524{col 29}{space 2} 5.303001{col 40}{space 1}    1.91{col 49}{space 3}0.059{col 57}{space 4}-.3757614{col 70}{space 3} 20.66625
{txt}{space 10}1999  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.50923{col 29}{space 2} 5.446982{col 40}{space 1}    2.30{col 49}{space 3}0.024{col 57}{space 4} 1.702573{col 70}{space 3} 23.31589
{txt}{space 10}2000  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 9.945984{col 29}{space 2} 5.270685{col 40}{space 1}    1.89{col 49}{space 3}0.062{col 57}{space 4}-.5109045{col 70}{space 3} 20.40287
{txt}{space 10}2001  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 11.53567{col 29}{space 2} 5.587692{col 40}{space 1}    2.06{col 49}{space 3}0.042{col 57}{space 4}   .44985{col 70}{space 3} 22.62149
{txt}{space 10}2002  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 10.62806{col 29}{space 2}  5.76748{col 40}{space 1}    1.84{col 49}{space 3}0.068{col 57}{space 4}-.8144529{col 70}{space 3} 22.07058
{txt}{space 10}2003  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  14.1426{col 29}{space 2}  6.03258{col 40}{space 1}    2.34{col 49}{space 3}0.021{col 57}{space 4} 2.174133{col 70}{space 3} 26.11107
{txt}{space 10}2004  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 11.54435{col 29}{space 2} 6.443128{col 40}{space 1}    1.79{col 49}{space 3}0.076{col 57}{space 4}-1.238634{col 70}{space 3} 24.32733
{txt}{space 10}2005  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  10.9492{col 29}{space 2} 7.203164{col 40}{space 1}    1.52{col 49}{space 3}0.132{col 57}{space 4}-3.341674{col 70}{space 3} 25.24007
{txt}{space 10}2006  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 10.28706{col 29}{space 2} 7.583721{col 40}{space 1}    1.36{col 49}{space 3}0.178{col 57}{space 4}-4.758825{col 70}{space 3} 25.33295
{txt}{space 10}2007  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 15.63813{col 29}{space 2} 7.124411{col 40}{space 1}    2.20{col 49}{space 3}0.030{col 57}{space 4} 1.503501{col 70}{space 3} 29.77276
{txt}{space 10}2008  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.22444{col 29}{space 2} 7.258589{col 40}{space 1}    1.82{col 49}{space 3}0.071{col 57}{space 4}-1.176393{col 70}{space 3} 27.62528
{txt}{space 10}2009  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 15.66844{col 29}{space 2} 6.994896{col 40}{space 1}    2.24{col 49}{space 3}0.027{col 57}{space 4} 1.790763{col 70}{space 3} 29.54611
{txt}{space 10}2010  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  8.92336{col 29}{space 2} 7.807154{col 40}{space 1}    1.14{col 49}{space 3}0.256{col 57}{space 4}-6.565812{col 70}{space 3} 24.41253
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 10}_cons {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-8.311699{col 29}{space 2} 12.02672{col 40}{space 1}   -0.69{col 49}{space 3}0.491{col 57}{space 4}-32.17237{col 70}{space 3} 15.54897
{txt}{hline 16}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict klarnerranneyhatallpost if year>1980 & oldsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,189 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. * 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   100) ={res}   10.18
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0019
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   100) ={res}    5.30
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0065
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann + L3D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0004604{col 26}{space 2} .0042427{col 37}{space 1}    0.11{col 46}{space 3}0.914{col 54}{space 4}-.0079569{col 67}{space 3} .0088777
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0062926{col 26}{space 2} .0044801{col 37}{space 1}    1.40{col 46}{space 3}0.160{col 54}{space 4}-.0024882{col 67}{space 3} .0150734
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. sum real_pc_inc_ann   if klarnerranneyhatallpost!=. & year > 1980 & oldsouth==1, detail

        {txt}Per Capita Annual Income (1982-1984 Constant
                          Dollars)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 8604.584       8530.043
{txt} 5%    {res} 9464.641       8604.584
{txt}10%    {res} 10060.64       8624.711       {txt}Obs         {res}        150
{txt}25%    {res}  11208.2       9026.411       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        150

{txt}50%    {res} 12913.13                      {txt}Mean          {res} 12992.21
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res}   2189.5
{txt}75%    {res} 14494.17       16986.17
{txt}90%    {res}  16003.4       17058.36       {txt}Variance      {res}  4793912
{txt}95%    {res} 16654.44        17263.1       {txt}Skewness      {res} .0270521
{txt}99%    {res}  17263.1       17584.98       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 2.198479
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS  OF  real_pc_inc_ann ON klarnerranney:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD 
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])* 14367.06   -  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])* 11208.2

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])* 14367.06 - (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])* 11208.2

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 19.87747{col 26}{space 2} 14.15198{col 37}{space 1}    1.40{col 46}{space 3}0.160{col 54}{space 4}-7.859908{col 67}{space 3} 47.61484
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
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. restore
{txt}
{com}. 
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. log close
      {txt}name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}C:\Users\mzarit\Documents\Pitt\Krause\December 2016 Work\Log files\Regional Convergence.Krause & Zarit.11-28-2016.DEEP_SOUTH.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}closed on:  {res}28 Nov 2016, 15:22:51
{txt}{.-}
{smcl}
{txt}{sf}{ul off}